Posted on 01/04/2017 6:15:36 PM PST by artichokegrower
These people are absolutely insane! We just went through five years of low rainfall (right on schedule — every 10-12 years), now we are back to an average rainy season. A couple years ago they were predicting a 1,000 year drought and we’d never see rainfall again. Now they are predicting more rain than ever before.
They’ve been predicting apocalypse for 45 years now and nothing has changed.
Total insanity. All they really want I see for their perpetual money-tree to keep showering lucre on their “research.”
"No way, pal!"
Shoot, sometimes they can’t even predict accurately a day out. We are in the Mid-South, so there’s more than adequate data gathering on anything coming our way. Recently NWS missed our forecast low, one night, by, IIRC, over 10 degrees.
No, they're not. They make lots of money, hyping weather / climate.
You are correct, they are not called the weather guessers for nothing.
I didn’t know Sharknado could have so many remakes.
When living in LA I remember in the 90’s when the State “Drought Office” quickly changed it’s name to the “Flood Management Office”...:^)
It’s a cycle like you say.
More bullcrap. Nobody can predict climate 80 years out. How about predicting monster storm frequency by 2030, and we’ll see how well that prediction works before we go out 80 years.
As usual, they know they can make 80 year predictions with impunity because nobody living will remember it.
Jackasses.
One factor few people want to talk about is what happens if we have a major volcanic eruption. The eruption of Mount Pinatubo actually resulted in California getting WAY above normal rains for nearly a decade! And there are plentiful active volcanoes around the world capable of a large eruption that can change winter climate, too. (Indeed, the eruption of the Eyjafjallajökull volcano on Iceland in the spring of 2010 was why California had record level of rains in the winter of 2010-2011.)
“They found that California will experience three times the number of extreme storms by 2100 if as expected the world’s average temperatures are 4 degrees Celsius higher then they are today.”
It would help their credibility if they could at least get next week’s forecast accurate. They STILL have to use probability for next week, but tend to get concrete for one hundred years into the future. Strange.
Gosh, it was only decades ago when I recall seeing stories about lots of rain causing really nice houses to slide off the cliffs they were perched upon for a nice view of the Pacific....
“In a corollary study of the excess water penetrating the ground and pooling, calculations by computer models clearly indicated that the additional stress of the added weight could affect various faults. The water induced stress on the Hayward Fault or perpendicularly to the Hayward line, could have severe consequences for Bay Area populations disrupted by the resulting quakes. Although the San Andreas fault line extends for hundreds of miles, the near coastal location is thought to not be adversely affected by the water force induced stress.” said the California university professor.
One of my favorite professors on my dissertation committee would not allow anyone (except his mother) to refer to him as Doctor. Despite being employed at a world-class institution and each being universally renowned in their discipline, the four members of my dissertation committee were the most unpretentious men you'd ever meet. I cannot stand pretentious people and the Weather Channel's use of the honorary title bothers me.
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