2016's Data Hero is Nate Silver, It's Sam Wang

Wired ^ | 11/07/2016 | Jeff Nesbit

[AC Beach Patrol]

"...Wang has been the intrepid election data explorer furthest out this election cycle, never once wavering from his certainty of a Clinton win. The only real uncertainty left on Tuesday, he said, is how many people show up to vote. But even that doesn’t change the presidential election outcome...

So when the smoke clears on Tuesday; when enough non-white and female voters haven’t been harassed or intimidated enough to stay home; when Clinton crosses the finish line with something close to 300 Electoral College votes and a popular vote victory somewhere between two and five percentage points; and Nate Silver is telling his 1.7 million Twitter followers that he’d been right all along this election, Sam Wang will be standing tall above the fray, draped in his 'median-based probability election' cloak.

Long live the new election data king."

[AU72]

Frank Luntz tweeted at 7PM that Hillary wins period.

[SuperLuminal]

The Nixons called it in the early 1970’s...

[HerrBlucher]

I remember a cute chinese girl named Anne Wong running for student body president way back in 1966. Her campaign slogan was “the right way is the Wong way.” She won of course. The fact that I remember her slogan from 50 years ago shows how effective it was.

[dynachrome]

“Scott (Dilbert) Adams, as best as I can recall, never doubted it.”

He had some sort of ‘persuasion’ model he said worked for Trump. (can’t find it now on his blog)

[dynachrome]

It was crickets with honey.

[DAC21]

“Frank Luntz tweeted at 7PM that Hillary wins period”

When is that fat turds 15 seconds up? Must be getting close, he was booted off Fox. Supposedly he is a Republican.

[laconic]

Yes, I remember how “certain” Luntz was. Funny as can be!

[Gay State Conservative]

[gaijin]

Sam Wang

[Gay State Conservative]

with something close to 300 Electoral College votes

I guess 218 is *kinda* close to 300.....

[arthurus]

Scott Adams called it early on.

[reaganaut]

Thank you. That is the best laugh I have had all day.

[Zeppo]

So when the smoke clears on Tuesday; when enough non-white and female voters haven’t been harassed or intimidated enough to stay home;

Although subsequent events have incontrovertibly demonstrated that Jeff Nesbit was totally, monumentally, laugh-out-loud wrong in his hagiographic treatment of Sam Wang, at least he was very skillful in pushing the ugly and false leftist trope about white men suppressing minority and female votes.

So despite the Sam Wang glitch, it's abundantly clear that Jeff Nesbit is still in the running for the 'Leni Riefenstahl lifetime achievement award'.

[steve8714]

his tears of unbearable sadness are delicious.

[reaganaut]

Ping (read the article and the comments)

[jiggyboy]

This year, Wang called the election at 8:55 PM on October 18. He promised to eat more than just his hat if Clinton loses: “It is totally over. If Trump wins more than 240 electoral votes, I will eat a bug,” Wang tweeted to his 23,000 followers.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/12/politics/pollster-eats-bug-after-donald-trump-win/

[HonkyTonkMan]

Would not want guys like Wang and silver near my money. They are too confident in data models and out of touch with the actual subject (sports, politics,etc.).

They are entertainers. Keep them away from financials and environmental health and safety systems.

[America_Right]

No one foresaw a Trump upset.

My bank account disagrees. I made a few $k on PredictIt betting that Pence would be the Veep and Hillary would lose FL and NC. She was never ahead. We saw the +10 Dem polls for what they were, and I made some good cash on that.

[America_Right]

Scott Adams called it early on.

You have no idea...

I saw a Dogbert cartoon today from 1990 where a Soviet dog asked Dogbert if his God of Capitalism was Trump. Dogbert said "It's not official yet."

[fortheDeclaration]

LOL! What a clown.