Posted on 11/06/2016 7:13:23 PM PST by GilGil
Political statistician Nate Silver officially projected that Republican nominee Donald Trump will win the highly influential swing state of Florida, according to an analysis published Sunday.
Trump has a 52 percent chance of winning Florida, compared to only a 48 percent chance for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in the polls-only forecast published on 538. Trump made incredible progress in the state, coming up from a 22 percent chance as of Oct. 15. Clinton has fallen from a 78 percent chance of winning the state since Oct. 15.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailycaller.com ...
She’s skating scott-free no matter what because of Obama’s guaranteed pardons for her whole crew, whether she wins or loses. The issue of her facing legal troubles is off the table. Losing the election is the only opportunity to punish her.
LA poll show Hispanic voters have greatly moved towards Trump over the last few days and will be evenly split come election day
LA poll show Hispanic voters have greatly moved towards Trump over the last few days and will be evenly split come election day
Trump will most likely get CO or NV or both!
Sabato’s been in the ivory tower too much. Academics can be easily blinded. Been around quite a few.
Nate Silver is trying to cover his ass. He knows Trump is going to win.
I think Nate Silver’s #1 agenda for tomorrow Monday regarding the presidential race is to get it right on all or almost all of the 51 contests that make up this race. I think we need to remember that anything between 5-95% forecasts is not a “done deal” and that 0-4% or 96-100% are the predictor values to call “done deal”. Saying that Trump has 52% odds on winning Florida is that Hillary’s odds are about 48/52 or 92% as likely as Trump’s. That’s pretty close to being a coin toss.
TTTT!
Silverfish has been a pet peeve of mine.
...she is not in “a terribly safe position,” as she is “just one state away” from losing to Donald Trump, pollster Nate Silver said Sunday.
“The electoral map is actually less solid for Clinton than it was for [President Barack] Obama four years ago,” Silver, statistician and editor-in-chief, told ABC’s “This Week” with George Stephanopoulos. “Four years ago, we had Obama ahead in states totaling 320-some electoral votes.
“Clinton has about 270, so she is about one state away from potentially losing the electoral college.”
Breaking News at Newsmax.com http://www.newsmax.com/Headline/nate-silver-clinton-not-safe-position/2016/11/06/id/757311/#ixzz4PI3yNRZC
Urgent: Do You Back Trump or Hillary? Vote Here Now!
My take is the Hispanic surge in voting will be offset by Black and Millennial apathy.
If the Blacks in particular turn out at levels similar to what they did for Obama, Hillary will clearly win. If they fall short of that level, then I don’t see the Hispanic vote as being enough to win it for her.
When Trump wins NM, Silver will predict it.
YIPPEE! But a 4 point margin can still be overcome by the D party Voter Fraud, plus the D party Deceased Voting Block, plus the D party illegal Voting block, plus any of SorosNazi’s voting machines as might be in FL, plus the usual Ballot Box Stuffing in Broward, Dade, Palm Beach counties especially.
Let’s please get every Trump vote cast in FL, PLUS A LOT OF GOOD POLL WATCHERS TO TRY TO HOLD DOWN THE USUAL D PARTY VOTE FRAUD!
Then you'd be just like Hillary is most of the time when she's not getting her dopamine crank.
I live in NC. Donald Trump is coming to Raleigh tomorrow at 3 pm and Hillary is actually coming to Raleigh for a midnight “rally” tomorrow.
Shows how critical NC is to this election.
WE NEED TO PRAY THAT NC GOES FOR TRUMP IN A BIG WAY!
You are not alone in your trepidation.
If that witch wins many of us will have to prepare for very, very different lives. I don’t relish the prospect.
Yeah, now the are all saying the obvious.
[ Clinton will crush Trump cuz of the latino vote... ]
You mean THE ILLEGAL ALIEN vote!!
Wrong, he’s still short 6 EVs with those.
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