Posted on 11/05/2016 11:13:08 PM PDT by Helicondelta
Counted? Maybe in terms of total number. But no one knows how they voted (well, it's NV, so maybe someone does).
I don’t think Trump is going to take Nevada, because Reid’s machine is just too strong. But it’s only six electoral votes and there’s plenty of other places to make it up
No. No. NO!!!
The EV cannibalize the votes that would normally be cast on Election Day!!!
There is no study, article, fact or any other bullshit that proves early voting magically creates more votes or indicates more votes are gonna be cast in any particular election. It means that the early voting, process, mechanism, procedure has been made to work well or at least better than before.
That is all it means man! Jesus!
NV...MAY be crucial.
Dude. I get it. Here is Nate Silver’s crew on this subject, which I believe.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
Great but still not quite what we need to overcome crooked D vote rigging in Vegas
Money Quote from Nate Silver and Early Vote signals:
“Generally, though, if you want to know what’s going to happen on Election Day, you’re far better off consulting the polls. Or, you know, waiting two weeks.”
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
Would be more helpful the next few days tapping into the phone bank for Trump and making calls for him instead of debating polls.
I would suggest as many FReepers that can, do that.
I did it or six weeks early on then it wore on me.
Will tap in next two days.
Ciao all
Not a single vote has been counted. Early Votes have been cast. None have been counted. No one is talking about the almost 30% of Nevada voters who are Independents (I’m one of them).
Early vote is primarily Clark County - the rest of the state ( a third of the population) is the conservative part, and they vote on Election Day overwhelmingly. Everyone is jumping to conclusions because the Democrat gas lighting strategy is full operation right now.
I hear you. I hope you and AZ don’t think I am part of that EV doom and gloom crowd. I was merely pointing out the source of the hand-wringing and what possibly be motivating them.
That is not a Presidential election. Reid doesn’t have the horses to overcome this sweep by Trump!
Yep!
Scott Rasmussen said there was no hope in Nevada. Jennifer Griffin just reported that Trump would need to open up a 10% lead to catch up.
Early Voting Total: 702,278
D: 298,419 (42.5%)
R: 250,218 (35.6%)
I: 153,641 (21.9%)
Like others have said, these are BALLOTS. We do not know how they actually VOTED. We do not know how many D’s are not voting for Clinton, nor do we know how many R’s are never-Trumpers.
Someone on another thread mentioned an Axiom poll (taken 10/30). That particular poll said that 74% of D’s are voting for Clinton while 21% are voting Trump. For the R’s 81% are voting Trump while 14% are voting for Clinton. I have no idea to the accuracy of that and I find it hard to believe. I would think both candidates would win at least 90% of their own party. In 2012 Obama won 96% of the D’s and Romney won 93% of the R’s.
For Independents, Axiom has Trump with 44% of I’s while Clinton has 37%. In 2012 Romney won I’s 50 to 43.
It will be interesting to see what the turnout on Election Day will be.
EV means exactly nothing! I am not interested!
If the Dems have a massive ground game turning out latinos, that will easily negate the polls. The poll is judging likely voters. If the Dems on Friday forced a bunch of Mexicans to vote, they changed the electoral makeup by turning apathetic voters who weren’t likely into real voters.
The CNN/ORC poll has Trump ahead in Nevada by 3.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3488640/posts
My word. Just slit your wrists already.
NV was important to his paths. Without it, the paths narrow considerably. He then needs either CO or NH...or just PA. And that assumes he gets FL. If he loses FL, he needs PA and MI, then one of either NH or CO.
“open up a 10% lead to catch up”
LOL. Catch up with what? Do you have a source for this?
I haven’t seen any recent commentary from Scott Rasmussen.
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