Posted on 11/01/2016 5:41:45 AM PDT by GilGil
The USC/LA TimesDaybreak poll was 9 hours late this morning. The other time it was late was when they decided that they had wrongfully placed the 95% confidence interval to decrease it to show that Hillary Clinton had gone out the gray area as many times and Donald Trump had.
So what was the explanation this time? We dont know for sure, however, seeing yesterdays results that Donald Trump showed a huge surge, one could imagine that the LA Times political portion of this team just might have objected to putting up relatively honest results. Could there have been an internal fight between the academics who are supposed to be running the poll, and the political people at the Times who have strongly endorsed Clinton?
Now thats all admittedly speculation, but that is where my professional news nose is pointing me. Now, lets get to the numbers.
In the overall national tracking poll which a 7-day rolling average of this polls 3,237 participants shows Trump surging up 6/10ths of a percent and Clinton a full 1.1% in a single day a swing of 1.7%.
Both candidates Trump on the topside, and Clinton on the bottom side of this chart are now within a half point of breaking into the gray band that means that the pollsters are at least 95% confident that the candidate with the highest percentage will win the popular vote.
And the closer to election day that this occurs, the more sure of that result we can be.
Trump now stands at 46.6% and Clinton at 43.2% - a 3.4% lead for Trump.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...
That thread, http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3487608/posts, was pulled.
A blow out would be 70/30. Single digit spreads are bunk. Sample size and split is what make the difference. One sneeze can flip the results.
DIVINE INTERVENTION
I can smell a Trump victory party, November 8th!
Its going to be yuge!
370-450 ev’s for Trump!
DIVINE INTERVENTION
Strongly agree. DIVINE PROVIDENCE intervenes.
Ya think? Let’s circle back in your prediction on 11/9.
Leonidas had 300
Trump gets 400
Like Leonidas takes no prisoners
And like Leonidas sports a mullet
... while NBC still has Clinton with a 47-41 lead.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.