Posted on 10/26/2016 12:58:20 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
I wish they would. But, they are in the tank for “her”. Besides, for AZ they were +34 D - Just to give her a +5. That allowed for the sports twerp, Nate Silver, to tell everyone that she is killing him.
It is deep but there are not many.
In the amazingly unlikely event McMullin resulted in neither Trump nor Clinton getting to 270 the House would pick Trump. Those guys jobs are on the line every two years. There is a big majority of House delegations that are GOP - Each state gets one vote. A few could be flakey and Trump still wins. Evan’s only purpose is throw the election in battleground states with Mormon populations.
Trump will win AZ easily.
C’mon, he was gonna lose a state with a R +5 registration?
Hillary didn’t fall for MSM clickbait and campaign there.
Unaffiliated will go big for Trump.
Its over.
I'd love to read that article. Do you have a link?
I'm in AZ, too. I'm a Mormon who has been 100% behind Trump. I don't know much about this McMullin guy, aside from his hilarious nickname given to him by fellow Freepers.
I pray for a landslide for Trump 11/08. He's just what this country needs at this time.
I know the visible GOPe leaders who are NeverTrump are vocal about their opposition. But the NeverTrump crowd is a very small minority, and they will probably stay home rather than go out of their way to vote. I look at the percentage of Republicans backing Trump. It’s over 80% now, and will get close to 90% by November 8.
Remember, it’s not the percentage of Republicans that favor the candidate, but how many of them turn out to vote. Many conservative Republicans stayed home in 2012, either due to weak support for Romney, or feeling that Obama had it locked.
Countering that less than optimum Republican support is the large union vote that sees Clinton as hurting their jobs with regulations, slow economy and high levels of immigration. They will file a protest vote against the Democratic ticket.
Write-in.
Luna: You can read it here http://conservativepath.blogspot.com/2016/10/guest-article-truth-about-evan-mcmullin.html
I suspect that a good chunk of that 'other' are conservatives who USED to be 'Republicans'.
Thanks so much, azcap!! :)
And the only state where Evan matters is in Nevada, but it’s a big one. Any state where McCain and Romney won is not likely to be turned as a result of Evan. A lot of these states the Democrat has trouble even getting a third of the vote, so it’s mathematically impossible for a 3rd party candidate to throw it to the Dems.
Nevada is the big problem though. Trump almost certainly NEEDS to win Nevada. But Obama won it twice, by 7% last time. Bush won it with less than 5% margin. It’s the 6th most Mormon state, with them at 4% of the population, but they’re likely to be an even higher percentage of the voters.
Trump needs every vote he can get there. That is the one state that Evan could easily throw to Hillary and it is a crucial one.
The AZ Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer
10/27 @SecretaryReagan unofficial #earlyvoting totals for #AZ: 882,198 ballots received. 39.1% Republican, 35.9% Democrat, 25% Other.
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