Posted on 10/24/2016 10:58:08 AM PDT by TigerClaws
Published on Oct 22, 2016
Helmut Norpoth discusses problems with poll numbers
His lips to God’s ears.
Me and a couple of the boys are gonna go visit him and keep him company on election day.
He better come through :)
This is how the Lefties are looking at this professor: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oik6dXm-0l0
this is helpful for the coming post-election fraud bloodbath
Because the msm, whom we all hate and disbelieve, is lying and corrupt
Vote Trump
Get Out The Vote
Exactly, may GOD’s will be done! Keep praying! Ignore the poll and focus on the goal as Diamond and Silk (look them up on youtube if you don’t know who they are) remind us.
The polls reflect the forced reply to an unexpected question. It is based on the person’s fleeting emotional response.
About 1000 people are asked. Pollsters like to think that is the optimum number. It isn’t. They like to poll people in proportion to their numbers in the general population. So if White women with a college degree are x% of the population, they like to poll a proportionate number of women. They they extrapolate to the general population.
Sure. That means that the inevitable error in the sampling is multiplied by a large factor. 32 million. (320 million in the USA divided by the 1000 sampled).
Vote for Trump/Pence! Get your friends, family and neighbors off their butts to vote Trump/Pence.
There are still a lot of “oh noes” here at Freep, those who post on the LATimes poll every day.
The Clinton trips to Texas and such are a headfake; the caller to Rush today at about 1:45pm was a good example of one who sees through it, the scam of the 10-12point lead. It is a lie meant to suppress your vote.
He’s right - turnout cannot be gauged, but the primaries give a good indication of interest in candidates. Almost all states had anemic Democrat and blowout Republican primaries. NC alone had 1 MILLION primary votes shift from D to R (counting depressed D votes and inflated Rs) from 2008 to 2016. That is a monumental shift in a voter pool of 6 million registered voters.
No one buys the 12-point lead, but Kellyanne Conway herself said they are behind in the polls yesterday. If they had internal polls saying otherwise, she would probably be saying that instead.
Behind in the polls doesn’t mean behind on election day necessarily. And he has time to catch up. But we need to focus less on the polls at this point and on helping his campaign. I’ve been on Twitter and other boards trying to argue to the #nevertrumpers that they should vote for him. Pretty much like talking to a brick wall though.
We will find out two weeks from tomorrow.
Never underestimate the full force militant ignorance or shallow thought processes of many voters.
Polls don’t count people who have never voted. TONS of people have never voted, and my polling shows:
60% of first-time voters under age 23 are voting Trump.
70% of first-time voters age 23-40 are voting Trump.
80% of first-time voters over age 40 are voting Trump.
Additionally, of Democrats who are “more excited” to vote than in 2012:
75% are “more excited” because they are voting Trump.
25% are “more excited” because they are voting Clinton.
Lastly, on a scale of 1-10, how excited are you to vote for your candidate?
Clinton:
44% say 1-6
56% say 7-10
Trump:
15% say 1-6
85% say 7-10
delusional
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