[Sooth2222]

Even if Johnson triples Ed Clark's 1980 performance, that's still only 3.2%. And Jill Stein is Ralph Nader. She is unlikely to get 2.7%. My guess is that a good number of potential Trump votes are "parked" with Johnson and Stein.

I'd rather see Trump ahead by 2 in the "best" poll from 2012 than behind by 8 as Reagan was at this point in 1980. Trump has been outspent about 5:1 on ads so far. It will be interesting to see what happens when he spends nearly the same amount.

We will find out, "in the fullness of rime"!

[rb22982]

Eh, both Carter and Reagan had positive favorability ratings. Clinton and Trump are both very high. I know quite a few people voting Johnson this year in roughly even numbers from Rs and Ds based on registration/2012 vote. Now if wikileaks or Project Veritas drops a monster bomb a week before the vote (or something against Trump), you are probably right but otherwise I think 3rd party will get a lot more votes this time than normal.

[gogeo]

Just remember, rime waits for no one.