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Who will win the presidency? - Nate Silver
FiveThirtyEight ^

Posted on 10/11/2016 4:42:07 PM PDT by Blue Turtle

There's a 21% chance of Clinton landslide: Change of winning: Hillary - 83.5% Trump 16.5%

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
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Frank Luntz Twitter: That's higher than the chance of even a close Trump victory. (16.4% in polls-only forecast, 20.1% in polls-plus)
1 posted on 10/11/2016 4:42:07 PM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: Blue Turtle

B L O A T


2 posted on 10/11/2016 4:43:23 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: Blue Turtle

Its all BS to demoralize the Trump supporter

Just show up and vote

My neighbor, who works for the New York Times is a Trump supporter as well......


3 posted on 10/11/2016 4:43:44 PM PDT by arl295
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To: Blue Turtle

Silver is a pansy pajama boy in the tank for Hitlery. His model works when a GOPe-er is running who he knows won’t challenge cheating. Well, the secret is out. He’s a butt boy.


4 posted on 10/11/2016 4:44:29 PM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy...)
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To: Blue Turtle

Could things really have gone from Trump slightly ahead to a complete blowout in 6 days? Are we being played? Is the media that effective at grabbing the “pu$$y” narative and changing the vote by 12% in 4 days? Or is it a massive phy-ops?


5 posted on 10/11/2016 4:45:08 PM PDT by BRL
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To: Blue Turtle

Lol


6 posted on 10/11/2016 4:45:16 PM PDT by piytar (http://www.truthrevolt.org/videos/bill-whittle-number-one-bullet)
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To: Blue Turtle

Well, it is what it is.

The Republic may be coming under her final judgment by God.

Hitlery’s regime may be our last.

Our Bible study recently pointed us to the Greek woman of Tyre and Sidon in Mark 7. She was challenged by Jesus when she begged for a miracle for her daughter.

She recognized her low position, not being deserving of His mercy. But at the same time, she asked for a “crumb” from under the table—acknowledging Jesus’ ability to give what she wanted.

I do pray for mercy, while acknowledging I do not deserve the same. He has saved my soul.

In the same way, I pray for this nation, knowing we don’t deserve the same. God is sovereign.


7 posted on 10/11/2016 4:46:32 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Blue Turtle

somebody explain HOW all these separate polls can be faked or just be wrong?

we know the mechanics of rigging elections in Chicago.
bussing voters from precinct to precinct to vote multiple times...

so how is this massive poll fraud going on without anyone spilling the beans?


8 posted on 10/11/2016 4:46:59 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: Blue Turtle

I am confused. How does Nate Silver think Trump is going to lose when according to Nate Silver DonaldmTrump doesn’t even have a shot at the nomination?


9 posted on 10/11/2016 4:48:30 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Blue Turtle

This is absurd.


10 posted on 10/11/2016 4:49:24 PM PDT by Talisker (One who commands, must obey.)
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To: Blue Turtle

The posters at The_Donald subreddit started out calling him Nate Bronze. The most recent is Nate Scrapmetal.


11 posted on 10/11/2016 4:49:51 PM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: FlipWilson

Yep,... it was a joke that Trump won the nomination. Polls are used to demoralize.

Remember, they laughed at Brexit voters too.


12 posted on 10/11/2016 4:50:30 PM PDT by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: longtermmemmory

The same way that the entire government and media is totally corrupt without anyone spilling the beans.

However, that being said, it will be nothing short of a miracle if Trump wins.

It’s Trump versus the Axis of Evil.


13 posted on 10/11/2016 4:52:41 PM PDT by chris37 (It's time to burn the GOP down.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

I fear you may be right.


14 posted on 10/11/2016 4:53:20 PM PDT by COBOL2Java (Hillary's screeching voice is like the pipe organs of hell)
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To: FlipWilson

Is that true? Did Nate Silver not predict a Trump victory?


15 posted on 10/11/2016 4:53:20 PM PDT by Hildy
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To: chris37

This is not your normal election cycle that he can use his Computer God to try to sleuth the polls and predict a winner.


16 posted on 10/11/2016 4:53:49 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: Blue Turtle

The media is trying to gaslight us — to get us to question what we see happening all around us and to question our memory, perception, and sanity. That somehow we are ‘bad’ It doesn’t help that there are plenty of useful idiots out there to play the heavy on the Witch’s behalf.

For what it’s worth, Bernie’s supporters were accusing the media of the same during the primaries.


17 posted on 10/11/2016 4:54:23 PM PDT by GCC Catholic (Stay out of the weeds! Let's hold fast to the path and Make America Great Again!)
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To: longtermmemmory

That’s my worry. I wonder how almost every single poll can be wrong? Except for LA Times and occasionally PPD, he’s behind everywhere. I look at the poll constructs and they are obviously bull$hit, but I played that game in 2012. So I’ve decided to just do my part and vote, say a few prayers and leave this one up to God. There’s 28 days left and anything can happen.


18 posted on 10/11/2016 4:54:38 PM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again!)
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To: BRL
"Could things really have gone from Trump slightly ahead to a complete blowout in 6 days?'

Me thinks support for Clinton has not increased. The support for Trump has declined after the tape release. Thus there is still a chance, especially in a four way race.

19 posted on 10/11/2016 4:55:27 PM PDT by buckalfa (I am deplorable.)
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To: GCC Catholic

LA Times Daybreak poll still shows Trump up +2. They were spot on in 2012. I would bet anything the last week sudden it becomes a close race !!!


20 posted on 10/11/2016 4:55:52 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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