Posted on 10/07/2016 1:49:03 AM PDT by bryan999
I lived through Irene on the coast of NC. We had more than puddles, I assure you. Were you there?
You folks that have lived through hurricanes, as I have, well know that it’s the flooding from both rain and storm surge that cause the most damage and deaths. Not high winds. It’s the speed it’s travelling and how far and how long it pushes water up the sounds and rivers that makes the differences in damage.
Let’s see what the storm surge does and how it compares to their estimates. That’s what will tell the story.
Sorry for double post.
>>It may be passing just far enough (50 miles) offshore that the highest winds are staying out at sea.
Bingo. That’s exactly what seems to be happening, by my read on this.
And here’s an interesting wind map site. Still just offshore at the Cape, eyewall hasn’t made landfall.
https://www.windytv.com/?28.125,-81.035,7
But but but polar bears can’t get sunglasses
For good empirical wind data, try this http://www.Windfinder.com.
Type in your location.
Fastest wind speed onshore I could find was at Titusville/ Merritt_island_titusville.
About 47 kts.
I’ve dealt with Irene & Sandy here in NJ; I don’t doubt hurricanes can do damage, but when we’re a week away and the local media is sounding warning bells about what MIGHT happen (24/7) it’s tiresome.
Now we’re a couple of days away and being told there won’t be any impact here...
But that right cross is out there. If that storm jogs left all of a sudden it is going to land a devastating punch somewhere.
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Apparently weather forecasters are saying the reason the storm will turn sharply out to sea is the blocking strong high pressure system now in place to the north of So Carolina. There can always be an “if” in any projection but in this case your “if: is almost entirely impossible.
The media is in a sad state. They no longer report the news they insist on becoming the news. This has been noticed by nearly everyone and is the reason the media is held in such low esteem.
Photos are interesting but without an explanation are really of no value.
Surface friction will drop the observed wind speed 30% or more. The wind speed measurements are done at 500 millibar, 700 millibar altitudes where surface friction will not contaminate the storm’s kinetic facts. Even relatively flat ground will greatly attenuate the wind speed observed on the ground. That and “sail-area” computes into the effects, which is why instinctively when the wind blows hard you duck and tuck lower and smaller.
#Matthew downgraded to Cat3 hurricane as it approaches Florida coast
And here is a graph that I wish someone would send to the Trump campaign so that they are ready when Hillary is goign to spout the usually warming alarmism:
Why trying to link hurricane #Matthew to Climate Change is just political hype
Hurricane Matthew is a Category 4 storm at the moment [not any longer, see above, SB], that makes it very dangerous, and (if it makes landfall) something we have not seen in the continental United States for a over a decade. Surprisingly, just today, we passed the 4000 day mark for a drought of major (Cat 3 or greater) hurricanes to make landfall on the continental USA.
The most dangerous quadrant of a hurricane is the northeast quadrant — upper right side as it goes northward. So far, Florida has been spared that side.
...”The reporters live for this stuff. The SJW AGW morons are just pushing snake oil. For weathermen these storms are Woodstock. I can tell you personally three days of sitting in the house listening to 75 mph winds is not fun even if a week of no power is the only inconvenience. I would pray to be spared three days of 75 mph winds with an hour or two of 100+. I really would.”...
We live far from FL, and in different places and have lived through an earthquake, a tornado which severely damaged our home (probably would have died, had we been home), and were without electricity for 2 weeks because of an ice storm. Mother Nature does give us weather events and she always has. In our time, the insane try to politicize what has always happened from time to time. The difference today is that political manipulations requires that the actual information be hyped for political or other purposes. Another difference is that homes and businesses have been built in places along the coast where they are vulnerable to these storms. The beauty of the beach and those areas also have a negative and that is exposure to these threatening weather events. It is a given and will be no matter how much the politicians want to rob the people in taxes, as they claim that people cause these storms through the fake claim of “global warming.” Wars do not wipe people out. It is the lying that cause the wars which will do that. Having said this, the good is that people can be warned now when these storms are forming and can go to higher ground if they wish. You will just have to decide for yourself what part of the propaganda you are going to believe, because the truth is hard to come by these days in America.
Matt Drudge made his name by reporting news that the enemedia determined we didn’t need to know. The media was aware of the Monica Lewinsky relationship and simply refused to report it; Drudge exposed it and has been famous ever since.
I’ve seen a couple of bumper stickers saying “I DON’T believe the mainstream media”; warms me up inside. It is so transparent; when talking about this election, they play “neutral” (I’m talking about small local networks, not the big lib ones) but always insert a negative comment about the Republicans after presenting poll numbers and such.
This worked for them for years, but too many Americans facing long-term unemployment, foreclosure, and bankruptcy are tired about hearing how the economy has recovered...
The hurracaine WAS a monster storm of the century.
Then, man made global warming acted like a wet blanket and sapped all of the fury, strentgh and determinination out of the storm.
Yep, Drudge said we shouldn’t evaluate so we didn’t, instead we took the opportunity to go out sailing as he recommended in the brisk winds./sarc
When your average liberal reads this story, this is what they believe happened because they first imagine and accept their fantasy as fact.
My part of NJ got 20% of our average rainfall in about 8 hours. It washed out roads all over, limiting access to my town to about 2 roads. Hell, it even washed out a section of Interstate 287 nearby and that section was less than 20 years old and was built to modern standards.
Irene was no joke to us, at all.
Although the effects of this hurricane have never been of “biblical proportions”, the drama of the local and national media coverage is being produced and presented as though there is something supernatural going on in our atmosphere.
I am not a historian, but I don’t think there has ever been a time in world history where mankind has been assigned the ability to control climate.
Also, I don’t think that there has ever been a time in world history that people have been so utterly stupid as to even entertain the thought. And certainly in American history, there has never been a presidential campaign where one candidate charged another candidate as being being prepared to kill all of us by disrupting the climate.
Hillary cannot run for the presidency by reminding the voters of her record. All she can do is run a venomous, acrimonious campaign and then accuse Trump of running a venomous and acrimonious campaign. Strategies from her favorite person in the whole world - Saul Alinsky, who dedicated his work to Satan.
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