The NBC, ABC, FOX polls have a terrible track record. That's a fact.
In 2012 they were way off.
The USC Daybreak poll nailed it.
Posted on 10/04/2016 7:09:33 AM PDT by GilGil
Trump Leads Clinton by a Bigger Margin than Obama Beat Romney
Let the MSM crow all they want about Hillary Clinton’s small lead in their skewed polling. Trump is doing great in the only two polls that seem to portray an accurate picture of US sentiment – the USC Daybreak poll, and the UPI/CVoter polls, both the national daily version, and the state-by-state weekly poll.
I didn’t realize this, but the USC poll actually existed during the last cycle, during the 2012 election. But at that time it was run by the Rand Corporation. It was therefore called the Rand American Life Panel. It was the only poll that didn’t show Romney either beating Obama, or tied with him. The final results of the Rand poll were published on the Sunday before the election and predicted Obama beating Romney by a 49.4 to 46.8 for a 2.6% margin.
In the final tally Obama won by 51.1 to 47.2 - a 3.9% margin.
So what’s today’s USC Daybreak poll look like? Trump still has an even bigger lead over Clinton than Obama got over Romney – Trump 47% - Clinton 42.4% - a 4.6% margin – and Clinton shows no signs of closing the gap.
How can we know that? Because of Trump’s male vs female numbers.
Clinton’s lead with women – once well over 20% - has now shrunk to a mere 6.5% margin – 47.9 Clinton to 41.4% for Trump. This is not nearly enough to overcome Trump’s whopping 16.2% lead with men 52.9% Trump to 36.7% for Clinton.
Even Larry Sabato – the respected Professor of political science from the Univ. of Virginia, who is on Fox a lot, can’t ignore the basic facts anymore.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...
In just a few more weeks, President-elect Trump will be the talk all over the planet.
” The problem is that the entire Washington to New York political and media elite are stuck in the herd mentality – you know – in times of trouble, there is protection in the herd.
But the herd is being led around by the nose by special skews built into polls to bring forth the desired result – all polls shall show Hillary Clinton with a slight lead – that is until the first week in November. Then you can expect to see a giant shift as the professional pollsters start covering their lies with real numbers.”
Now, that is shocking. The MSM would have you believe that 95 percent of women are voting for Hillary.
This one poll is based on a small number of voters being polled over and over and over again.
I’d like to believe it, but the Clinton advantage among women is just much larger in many other polls using a more traditional methodology.
I’d like to believe it, but the Clinton advantage among women is just much larger in many other polls using a more traditional methodology.
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Except that this poll predicted Obama’s win precisely.
Hillary is completely falling apart. Don’t let your fears paint reality.
I think more likely is them showing a statistical tie a week before the election. Showing a Trump lead would be anathema to them. Ok here is a prediction. I will bet you by end of next week, even the USC poll will show a Clinton lead. Pearl clutchers in the conservative press and talk radio cabal fainting, FReepers getting frustrated and angry. talk of ...oh the Romney fade is happening, Trump tweeting again, markets showing Clinton win, Nate Silver..... It will look very grim. I hope you guys are bracing for it. Last push of the glabalists.
Now, that is shocking. The MSM would have you believe that 95 percent of women are voting for Hillary.
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Women were never for Hillary as has been reported.
Or you could be totally wrong!
No matter the polls...We just need to vote in such overwhelming numbers that the massive democrat fraud will not be enough for them....
The NBC, ABC, FOX polls have a terrible track record. That's a fact.
In 2012 they were way off.
The USC Daybreak poll nailed it.
We have to take into account election fraud though. Too many people in power want Trump to lose. He has to move way way ahead to overcome that.
We have to take into account election fraud though. Too many people in power want Trump to lose. He has to move way way ahead to overcome that.
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Election fraud is an excuse not to win!
“Looks like Hillary’s numbers are collapsing in a very, very big way.”
So look for the voter fraud to be very very large.
The MSM, it seems to me, has been telling me that the race has been narrowing for about 5 months. Whereas, back in May, Clinton led Trump by about 5 points, after narrowing for month after month after month, Clinton’s lead at this point (according to many MSM reports) has narrowed to about 5 points.
It’s right out of Orwell.
Look, folks, the Models that the Clinton/Obama media are using to poll this election are useless. Just go back in time to the Republican primary polls...and you will find the same faults with those polls....that the media is using now as their polling models. The media is trying everything to bring Trump down....but it is not working...just like the millions spent by Clinton on political ads have not moved anything positive her way!!!
Bank on this: Trump will win Texas, Florida & Ohio with landslide victories, Trump will also win Pennsylvania, handily. He will win North Carolina, squeak out a victory in Virginia. There’s more wins coming!!!
So look for the voter fraud to be very very large.
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Or not! Give Trump a break. He is in it to win and has a plan to deal with that. This election fraud meme is an excuse not to win. Total BS.
Look, folks, the Models that the Clinton/Obama media are using to poll this election are useless. Just go back in time to the Republican primary polls...and you will find the same faults with those polls....that the media is using now as their polling models. The media is trying everything to bring Trump down....but it is not working...just like the millions spent by Clinton on political ads have not moved anything positive her way!!!
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Finally some common sense. Social media is one hundred times more powerful that the media. unfortunately Hillary is waging a 1990’s campaign where there was no social media.
Dems pick up 7 points through their fraud constituency.
The Monster vote is out there. The polls have no way of detecting it. The libtards are going to be reliving nightmares of being smitten like the Phillistines.
“We have to take into account election fraud though. Too many people in power want Trump to lose. He has to move way way ahead to overcome that.”
We have to cross that bridge when it comes. For right now saying this prevents us from building the best vote totals for Trump we can by dispiriting everyone.
This isn’t head in the sand. Fully acknowledge the dems use it (why are they so against voter ID and for early voting?) but for right now we have to concentrate on building a fraud-proof majority or as I’ve heard others say win outside the margin of fraud.
It can be done but for everyone who does so to always post after a good Trump number “... yeah but voter fraud” prevents that margin from being built.
Again if there is massive fraud that has to be up to us on Election Day and Trump’s campaign and the RNC to be prepared for it and act upon it if it happens. Until then we need to build the vote total as high as possible for Trump.
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