New York Times Declares Ohio No Longer ‘Bellwether’ as Trump Pulls Ahead

Breitbart ^ | 30 Sep 16 | JOEL B. POLLAK3

[kerry431]

Now we need prayer more than ever..USA today and the UN are saying Trump must be stopped (at all costs) so we know now that they will stop at nothing (including Murder) which they have already talked about. Pray like your life and country’s life depends on it (which it does).

[pburgh01]

Your map if we were to put probabilities on it is most likely. I think Trump take 1 or 2 of the 3 upper midwest states, maybe Wis and Michigan and surprises by taking NH, that gets near my 300EV prediction. Also current polls show Trump looks to be surging to a win in NM. Big shocker election night will be Hilary does not win a single state by double digits and squeaks out a few deep blue states like MA, NY, or NJ. Oh and what’s not been said is the Senate looks to be staying Republican and the remote chance of the House is a pipe dream for Nancy P.

[romanesq]

Think there will be a lovely Pennsylvania surprise on Election Day.
Keep the faith.

[Rockitz]

Way to go, Ohio!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-WXcexId5s8

[Fantasywriter]

Hillary isn’t Richard Nixon. She isn’t going to give up her last chance at the Oval Office just because some Dem poobahs want her out.

[wbill]

Trying not to be a concern troll here....but Trump is spending an awful lot of time here in NC. You can't turn on the TV without seeing a commercial for Clintoon, and there's been a Clinton of some flavor somewhere in this state every week for the past couple of months.

I'm hoping that Trump cleans up here by 20 points. Nothing would make me happier. However, in watching what they're *doing* .... I need to wonder if it will be close, at least in NC.

GA, on the other hand... If Trump loses GA, then he's sunk anyway. Will lose the national election in a landslide.

Hint: He's not going to lose Georgia.

[xzins]

Same here in southern ohio.

Until yesterday I’d not seen one Clinton sign. It is now about one thousand Trump to one Clinton.

[Fantasywriter]

‘She may be running for her life. Lots of people have donated money to her over the past 25 years, and are expecting payback. I can’t believe that they’ll happily write off that investment.’

This is how I see it. The Clinton Foundation raked in massive hauls. Some of it Hillary paid back as SoS, but she hasn’t held that office for four years. The Foundation has contained to haul the $ in. Those donors paid to play. That can only happen if Hillary wins. She won’t, but it won’t be for lack of trying/cheating—and it certainly won’t be on account of her dropping out.

[romanesq]

Yes, a two point spread isn’t much but in a large state like Ohio or Florida it’s more significant if the baseline data is significant.

The guess here is that it’s probably more like 2.5% and trending which would mean that no reasonable available amount of resources is going to turn it around.

So they have to basically just keep it steady and make it look like they are continuing to work the state even as they unplug TV commercials, radio, etc.

Remember, Hillary Clinton has been in the public eye for 30 years. No last minute ad blitz is going to change minds outside the margin of error.

[wareagle7295]

It is funny...

I have just had a sinking feeling all week. I think it was more the 'first week of fall blues', but regardless, you get weary getting attacked all the time from all angles. But then this morning I woke up early and felt so at peace. Hillary has to deal with so many things they did not expect, and I honestly believe Johnson and Stein are more of an issue for her than Trump. The number of Republicans voting for Johnson or Stein is minuscule. I do not expect those two to grab the 10% or so that they seem to poll each time, but it will also not be the traditional 1% either.

So out of the gate, Hillary is behind. In a state like California or New York this won't matter...but in a state like Pennsylvania it is huge (and they Dems know that which is why they keep going there), and I think it could put him over the top there. Obama won that state by alittle over 300,000 votes in 2012 - 52 to 47. Oh yeah...2012 Republican primary Romney got around 460,000 votes. The Donald 2016 almost doubled that in PA - over 900,000 votes . So not only are they having to deal with a great Republican turnout, but also Dems switching, Dems not voting and Dems voting for Johnson or Stein. 2012 Gary Johnon received 50,000 votes in PA or .87 and Stein 21,000 or .37. So total alittle over 1%. Well what if we make that 4% which is not unlrealistic this election. That would potentially be 200,000 votes - almost all of which would be taken from Hillary. I have no doubt that Trump could win that state by over 100,000 votes. And make no doubt about it, this is why the media is doing anything they can to negate Johnson. But for many ex-Bernie supporters, it is eitehr Johnson, Stein, or staying at home. No Hollywood celebrity is going to change that.

[LS]

I calculate that JUST based on absentees Trump will win FL by 750,000-1 million. I can’t calculate % of Ds voting R, but assume Trump will get a tiny 5% edge in Is.

Most polls show him at 10-20%.

Reality will dawn soon on the liars.

[LS]

1) They do think we’re stupid and their little manipulations can control the vote.

2) They believe their own lies, especially Natey Silver.

3) They hate Trump so much they WANT it to be true.

[Chgogal]

Yeah, Mr. Teabagger, the top notch well respected journalist, will be fair and balanced as usual.

[wbill]

Figure in the Black vote as well.

They're not going to turn out for Hillary like they did for Obama. And, more of them are voting for Trump.

So, Trump is taking a larger slice of a smaller pie, at least in this demographic. Might only be a few percentage points, but that's the margin which put Obama over the top in a lot of states in 2012.

[xzins]

What about the Soros plan to register Americans in Europe?

[wareagle7295]

Agreed...and I don't have the stats in front of me, my hunch is they(AA) voted slightly less as a group in 2012 just because it was almost a given. But even if that voting block remains the same, it is the white libs, especially millennials that are deserting her. If they only had the option of voting for Hillary or not voting - they probably would just go ahead and vote Hillary. As it is...they have 2 other choices based on how left that voter leans. This is probably what is also making Colorado such a close race.

Figure in the Black vote as well. They're not going to turn out for Hillary like they did for Obama. And, more of them are voting for Trump. So, Trump is taking a larger slice of a smaller pie, at least in this demographic. Might only be a few percentage points, but that's the margin which put Obama over the top in a lot of states in 2012.

[Grampa Dave]

Apparently her big butt is getting beaten so bad in Ohio in her own polls, Illiarily has pulled her thugs out of Ohio to go pollute other states.

“Trump pulled ahead of Clinton in the Buckeye State in the RealClearPolitics poll average on Sep. 13, and has never looked back. The latest average, as of Sep. 24 — prior to the first presidential debate on Sep. 26 — has Trump ahead of Clinton by 2%.”

“revised its view of Ohio’s importance: “After decades as one of America’s most reliable political bellwethers, an inevitable presidential battleground that closely mirrored the mood and makeup of the country, Ohio is suddenly fading in importance this year,” writes Jonathan Martin, who notes that Clinton has basically conceded the state.”

[wbill]

I disagree a little - I think that millennials just won't bother to show up. I can't see them waiting in line (what? I can't just Tweet my vote on Twitter??) to vote for a candidate that they don't care about.

But, frankly, either your opinion, or mine, is perfectly fine with me, as the end result - Hillary loses - is the same. :-)

[The_Media_never_lie]

Thank you John Kasich.

[Grampa Dave]

When will Illiarily and her mediots become lost in their underground bunkers while still claiming to be winning, like another bad leader did in Germany in the mid 1940’s?