Trump makes big gains in latest Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of Pa. voters

Morning Call ^ | 25 Sep 2016 | Laura Olson

[mandaladon]

WASHINGTON — On the eve of the first presidential debate, a new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows a narrow gap between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump amid rising support for Trump within his own party.

Clinton still leads Trump in a head-to-head matchup, but only by a 3-point margin, 44 percent to 41 percent. Those results showed Clinton's support dropping and Trump's gaining compared with a Morning Call/Muhlenberg poll a week earlier, which showed Clinton at 47 percent and Trump at 38 percent.

In a four-way matchup, Clinton leads by 2 points, at 40 percent to Trump's 38 percent. Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson dropped to 8 percent — down from 14 percent a week ago — and Green Party nominee Jill Stein went from 5 to 3 percent.

Pennsylvania's competitive U.S. Senate race also shifted in the GOP's favor, with Republican Sen. Pat Toomey on top by 1 point, 41 percent to 40 percent for Democratic challenger Katie McGinty.

[mandaladon]

A demographic analysis showed a double-digit jump in Trump's support among Republicans after Trump underperformed with that group previously. This week, 85 percent of likely GOP voters said they'd choose him over Clinton, compared with 71 percent in the prior survey.--------------------Trump keeps on gaining support...

[mandaladon]

In traditionally Republican regions outside the southeast and southwest, Trump gained 9 points and Clinton dropped by 6 points. He also gained among voters between 30 and 49 years old; Trump rose by 10 percentage points to tie with Clinton at 42 percent.--------------How nice!

[Mjreagan]

Maybe my generation isn’t hopeless

[Mjreagan]

I had 3 reactions to this

- Even these clowns can’t hide the truth

- They could be setting the stage for Hillary’s ‘comeback’

- Get out the vote

[jiggyboy]

I think a lot of PA counties are going to be showing more than a ten point increase in R vs D results this time compared to 2012. I will say again that I have seen surveys for Luzerne County for example that show more than a 20 point increase compared to 2012.

[justlurking]

In a four-way matchup, Clinton leads by 2 points, at 40 percent to Trump's 38 percent.

Clinton isn't "leading". This is a statistical tie.

[Uncle Sam 911]

Its all coming together nicely.

[Leep]

I don’t know about polls but i see a lot more Trump signs.
NO hillary signs.

[woweeitsme]

Same here. I live in York County, which is traditionally red, but I saw a bunch of Obama signs in 2012. Don’t see any Hillary signs, except for the “Hillary for Prison” ones.

[GilGil]

[Graybeard58]

Easy and early call on election night when Trump takes all three.

*************************************

Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida.