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Clinton-Trump Race Narrows on the Doorstep of the Debates (Clinton +2 despite D+10 electorate)
ABC News/Washington Post ^ | 9/25/2016 | GARY LANGER

Posted on 09/24/2016 9:40:51 PM PDT by NYRepublican72

In all, 44 percent of likely voters say they’d vote for Trump if the election were today, numerically his best since spring. Forty-six percent prefer Clinton, unchanged from an ABC/Post poll early this month and virtually unchanged since June. The 2-point gap between them is not significant, given the survey’s margin of sampling error. The race has closed from an 8-point Clinton lead in early August.

Support for third-party candidate Gary Johnson slipped to a new low, 5 percent in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, with the biggest departure among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents -- thus mainly benefiting Trump.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; elections; hillary; polls; trump; trumplandslidecoming
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Let's see. They sauce it to a D+10 electorate and the best they can come up with is Clinton +2.

Yeah, Hillary is toast.

1 posted on 09/24/2016 9:40:51 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: NYRepublican72

2 posted on 09/24/2016 9:43:33 PM PDT by Bobalu (Trump Is The Bitch Slap This Country Needs)
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To: NYRepublican72
Yeah same is ridiculous lol. Wonder why sample only totals 92%

3 posted on 09/24/2016 9:43:38 PM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: NYRepublican72

Blowout. This would be embarrassing for the media if they had any sense of shame


4 posted on 09/24/2016 9:44:03 PM PDT by Mjreagan
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To: Bobalu

5 posted on 09/24/2016 9:44:18 PM PDT by Bobalu (Trump Is The Bitch Slap This Country Needs)
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To: NYRepublican72

How much would this change if the numbers were normalized for D+4?


6 posted on 09/24/2016 9:44:53 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Bobalu

If it were (almost) anyone else suffering with these obvious medical problems I’d feel sorry for them...not enough for a pity vote but still I would have sympathy. Hillary is so vile and has caused such misery with no remorse that I can’t muster any.


7 posted on 09/24/2016 9:46:10 PM PDT by Mjreagan
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To: NYRepublican72

LOL D+10 and Clinton is up 2..gotta love Common Core math, it means Trump is up at least +6


8 posted on 09/24/2016 9:46:11 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: CatOwner
How much would this change if the numbers were normalized for D+4? It would roughly be Trump +4. Here's the actual D/R/I amongst registered and likely voters, buried of course in the second-to-last paragraph of the ABC article. "This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Sept. 19-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including 651 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect, for the full sample, and 4.5 points for likely voters. Partisan divisions are 33-23-36 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, and 37-27-28 among likely voters."
9 posted on 09/24/2016 9:47:59 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
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To: NYRepublican72
33 + 23 + 36 = 92
37 + 27 + 28 = 92
What is going on here??
10 posted on 09/24/2016 9:51:23 PM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: NYRepublican72
How much would this change if the numbers were normalized for D+4?

It would roughly be Trump +4.

Here's the actual D/R/I amongst registered and likely voters, buried of course in the second-to-last paragraph of the ABC article.

"This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Sept. 19-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including 651 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect, for the full sample, and 4.5 points for likely voters. Partisan divisions are 33-23-36 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, and 37-27-28 among likely voters."

11 posted on 09/24/2016 9:52:42 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
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To: NYRepublican72

D +10 in a national poll like this is absurd.


12 posted on 09/24/2016 9:52:56 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: Voluntaryist
33 + 23 + 36 = 92
37 + 27 + 28 = 92
What is going on here??

Probably not accounting for "others" and "refused," Others should generally should be put into Independents, I think. Refused are just refused. You don't usually get 100% with these samples.

13 posted on 09/24/2016 9:54:40 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
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To: NYRepublican72

Thank you


14 posted on 09/24/2016 9:55:21 PM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: NYRepublican72
Having it go from Hillary +2 to Trump +4 under my assumption (D+4) instead of D+10 would happen if every DEM voted for Hillary and every REP voted for Trump. But that's not quite the case.

Still, I could see this going to Trump +2.5 or so, discounting the rest of the biased opinions that forms the basis of this poll.

15 posted on 09/24/2016 9:58:10 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: NYRepublican72

Trump is def ahead in this poll.. just work of caution- only 651 likely voters nationally, usually over 1,000


16 posted on 09/24/2016 10:01:54 PM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: Voluntaryist

Yep, this is going to be a butt kicking on November 8th.

It is shaping up to be R+ 1 through +4.


17 posted on 09/24/2016 10:01:55 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: NYRepublican72

Needs more sauce to get Hillary back in the lead. Next stop is D+20 because “only a few bitter clingers are still Republicans”.


18 posted on 09/24/2016 10:03:02 PM PDT by fluorescence
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To: NYRepublican72

Interesting that among RV, it’s an exact tie, vs her up 2 with LV...


19 posted on 09/24/2016 10:03:24 PM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: NYRepublican72

It’s Sunday in New York. The days are cooler and winter is bearing down on..., Hillary Clinton.

Today and tomorrow she should focus on relishing the fact that she is a viable Presidential contender.

These are the last two days she’ll ever be able to think that, even if she still lies and says it.

By the end of the week, it’s going to turn brutal against her.

It’s over Hillary.

You can use that reservation for the old folks home now.


20 posted on 09/24/2016 10:04:17 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Forty-five days until we take measures to end this nightmare. Trump, for the Free World...)
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