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The Startup That Predicted Brexit Has Some Bad News for Hillary Clinton
Fortune.com ^ | 9/22/2016 | Alfred Miller

Posted on 09/23/2016 8:46:21 AM PDT by Big Otto

The US presidential race appears to be neck and neck. The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied at 39% among likely voters, while the latest WSJ/NBC News poll says it’s 43% to 37% in favor of Clinton and Nate Silver has Clinton’s probability of winning at 59%.

But is it possible that these pollsters are wrong?

(Excerpt) Read more at fortune.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016prediction; brexit; hillary2016; polls; trumppoll
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1 posted on 09/23/2016 8:46:21 AM PDT by Big Otto
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To: Big Otto

This matches my gut feel from my daily looking around the net. Hillary supporters on non political websites i visit use to be very vocal but have grown very very thin. The Hate Trump Always social media postings I am seeing have dropped way way off.

There is zero energy on Hillary’s side. I am really afraid for Oct. The ‘rats have to be getting very very desperate at this point. Their tame meida spin machine is not carrying them this year. This years Oct Surprise is going to be a doozy.


2 posted on 09/23/2016 8:52:35 AM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: MNJohnnie
I am really afraid for Oct.

Especially if Trump has a good debate. I certainly want him to have a great debate but she will be even more desperate then. She will stop at Nothing and do Anything to win. "End justifies the means" and all of that. Hope Donald adds extra private security. . Bill? . . No, she wouldn't. .

3 posted on 09/23/2016 9:01:13 AM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only Hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: Art in Idaho

That what I am thinking. Candidate is the spouse of a recently dead ex President would be a hell of an Oct Surprise.


4 posted on 09/23/2016 9:03:00 AM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: MNJohnnie

I am worried about the vote counting machines that can snatch a victory and hand the election to ... anyone of the hackers’ choosing. Easily and with no evidence. This needs to be addressed and no one is discussing it at the national level.


5 posted on 09/23/2016 9:05:27 AM PDT by ArtDodger
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To: MNJohnnie
That what I am thinking. Candidate is the spouse of a recently dead ex President would be a hell of an Oct Surprise.

I almost hate the fact I even thought of it, but hey, look who we're dealing with.

6 posted on 09/23/2016 9:06:16 AM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only Hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: Art in Idaho

To be effective at threat assessment and self defense you have to be able to think like the threat.

What you have there is a survival skill to be cultivated.


7 posted on 09/23/2016 9:08:25 AM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: Big Otto

Nate Silver has Clinton’s probability of winning at 59%.”

Keep in mind that in Nate’s world....this is not a huge advantage.


8 posted on 09/23/2016 9:11:10 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: MNJohnnie

You are not alone in your assessment of The Coughing One. She lusts for the presidency to a degree that we may not be able to comprehend. She wants this so badly that she is willing to do things that we find chilling and unthinkable in order to plop her arse into the Big Chair in the Oval Office.


9 posted on 09/23/2016 9:11:38 AM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: MNJohnnie

10 posted on 09/23/2016 9:14:34 AM PDT by Red Badger (YES, I'm Deplorable! I Deplore the entire Democrat Party!....................)
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To: Art in Idaho

A move on Trump would take the form of a synthetic scandal. (Like Carrot Top coming out saying he is Trumps Love Child) a Harry Read declaration. (Trump pays no taxes! I just know it!) An out and out lie. (Trump is in bed with a Mafia Family and beholden to them) or a Drone strike to take out Trumpforceone (Clitons did something like this to a Mr. Brown)
or out and out Assassination of Trump by a classic double hit (one guy shoots him, a second shoots the hit man so he will never talk). But! They must get TRump with the first shot—if he survives—the counter-strike may well see Hillary and Bill “rubbed out” in retaliation.


11 posted on 09/23/2016 9:17:33 AM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll Onward! Ride to the sound of the guns!)
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To: Big Otto

Within the “margin of lawyer”.

If it remains this close the Democrats will steal it.


12 posted on 09/23/2016 9:24:07 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: MNJohnnie

#TrumpTrain reaches 30 million, changes how campaigns use Internet

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/trump-crashing-the-internet-with-30-million-followers-billions-of-views/article/2602541


13 posted on 09/23/2016 9:27:16 AM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: ConservativeDude

Keep in mind that in Nate’s world....this is not a huge advantage.


Well put. A few little nudges in one direction and it is basically dead even.


14 posted on 09/23/2016 9:33:37 AM PDT by Hieronymus ( (It is terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged. --G. K. Chesterton))
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

Interesting take. Like I said, I hate even thinking about this. . I never really thought about it in previous elections. I’ll just be glad when Trump is called election night and takes the oath in January. Seems like a long way away today. . Pray for Trump, Pray for America and prepare.


15 posted on 09/23/2016 9:36:02 AM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only Hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: Art in Idaho

No, Hillary needs a failed assassination attempt by a gun-owner, radical right-winger, neo-Nazi white Trump anti-abortionist.


16 posted on 09/23/2016 9:48:50 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

No, the other way around.

Hillary needs to SURVIVE “miraculously!” the failed assassination attempt by a gun-owner, radical right-winger, neo-Nazi white Trump anti-abortionist.

Can you not see the headlines that would result in her victory, in our loss?


17 posted on 09/23/2016 9:51:15 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Art in Idaho

It would be poetic justice if Bill himself fell victim to the “Arkancide Machine” that he build and used. Remember Bill, you are the Don of the Mafia until you are not and the you are dead.


18 posted on 09/23/2016 10:21:03 AM PDT by WMarshal (Trump 2016)
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To: ArtDodger

I’d love it if some genuinely patriotic hacker got into even a single state’s system and made Mickey Mouse the winner of 100% of the votes. That’d wake people up.

Of course, he/she would have to record the actual votes somewhere, and release them without more than a day or 2 of delay.

We need to go back to paper ballots, and adopt the idea that we gave to the Iraqis - indelible purple ink on the thumb. I’d even allow someone to vote twice, so long as they had only a single thumb. :>)


19 posted on 09/23/2016 10:22:33 AM PDT by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
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To: Big Otto

The methodology tracks digital chatter, and Trump is making more of it by appearing and speaking more often. One of two things will come out of this: either it will turn out that Hillary can’t hide, or it will turn out that campaigning in person isn’t as effective as it’s supposed to be. I’m guessing the former.


20 posted on 09/23/2016 10:30:08 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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