Posted on 08/26/2016 5:22:06 PM PDT by mandaladon
The last two polls, from FAU and the Florida Chamber of Commerce, had Trump ahead narrowly. This new one from Mason-Dixon has Hillary ahead by two, but I think the actual margin is less important right now than the fact that it does appear to be tight in Florida. Remember, last week Monmouth had Hillary ahead by nine and a few days ago Saint Leo’s had her up by 14(!!). There were inklings that she was pulling away in a state that’s must-win for Trump. Now, suddenly, it looks like she isn’t.
Many of the numbers here will look familiar:
Trump ahead comfortably with men and Hillary ahead more comfortably with women? Yep, we’ve seen that before. Trump polling miserably with the youngest voters while Gary Johnson does surprisingly well? Not the first time we’ve seen that either. Hillary polling a bit better with her own party than Trump is with his? That too, yeah. And of course there’s the familiar racial splits, with Trump up big among whites and Hillary up big among blacks and Latinos. Check the 2012 exit polls for Florida and you’ll see that the numbers above also line up very well with how Obama and Romney did in different demographics, which explains the two-point Clinton lead. Obama, after all, won the state by one point.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Democrat 254 (41%)
Republican 238 (38%)
Independent or Other 133 (21%)
Male 298 (48%)
Female 327 (52%)
TRUMP is up 3 in FLorida in the Florida Chamber of Commerce poll!
Who is “Allahpundit?”
They know enough to stay away from Independent voters. They used 21% but the real number is 27%. The FAU poll showed Trump winning Indies 47/26. See how easy it is to lie and look legit? Trump is really up in this one too. It was just a Democrat answer to Trump’s surge.
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