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Upset brewing in Nevada — in both Senate and presidential races?
Hot Air ^ | 26 Aug 2016 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 08/26/2016 5:10:17 PM PDT by mandaladon

Last week, I noted that Nevada polling for Donald Trump painted a brighter picture for Republicans than national numbers suggested. The missteps that drove Trump’s numbers down nationwide didn’t seem to have impacted his standing in Nevada at all, and it appeared Hillary Clinton could lose a state Barack Obama won easily twice. Yesterday, Jon Ralston offered an in-depth look into the state of the race for Politico, as well as the fight to fill Harry Reid’s soon-to-be-vacant seat in the Senate. Ralston offered Republicans more good news than they’ve heard in a while, although it may not last:

In other battleground states, where Donald Trump is trailing his Democratic rival by large margins, Trump has proved problematic for down ballot candidates like Mark Kirk in Illinois and Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire, who are taking pains to keep him at arms length on the trail. But in Nevada the volatile and unorthodox GOP presidential nominee has kept the gap with Hillary Clinton within the margin of error. As a result, Rep. Joe Heck, the Republican Senate candidate who is battling Reid’s chosen candidate Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto, has not treated the brash mogul as if he is a leper.

Could a state with a robust Hispanic population, which may make up a fifth of the November electorate, and a significant Democratic voter registration edge, which gave Barack Obama easy victories in 2008 and 2012, fall to Trump? Are Nevada voters so independent that Republicans could snatch the one seat they covet the most this cycle, the one held since 1986 by the man they love to hate? Could Republicans maintain their hold on the senate by dealing the retiring Reid a stunning blow to his cherished legacy?

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: nevada; polls; trump
There’s nearly universal agreement among experts from parties that the Republicans could pull off just such an upset. The vigorous attention of both campaigns indicate their internal polls show the same. ----------------Trump will win Nevada!!!
1 posted on 08/26/2016 5:10:17 PM PDT by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon
It’s clear that the Clinton campaign, despite President Obama’s easy victories in 2008 and 2012, believes Trump could win here. “I had wondered what the Clinton camp was seeing, but the fact they haven’t cut their TV buy after doing so in Colorado says they must be seeing a close race, too,” said one GOP campaign veteran.----------------It would be nice to see Reid sent home for good!!!
2 posted on 08/26/2016 5:14:33 PM PDT by mandaladon (It's always good to be underestimated. ~Donald Trump)
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To: mandaladon

Nevada will Kick Hillary’s fat butt.


3 posted on 08/26/2016 5:15:15 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: mandaladon

“In other battleground states, where Donald Trump is trailing his Democratic rival by large margins, Trump has proved problematic for down ballot candidates like Mark Kirk in Illinois....”

Mark Kirk is super anti-Trump. He lost a lot of votes with that and his voting more like a Democrat than a Republican much lest a conservative.


4 posted on 08/26/2016 5:27:37 PM PDT by Chgogal (A woman who votes for Hillary is voting with her vagina and not her brain.)
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To: dragnet2

Nevada is actually a pretty conservative state. All of the trouble comes from Vegas where there’s a heavy union presence.

My dh is from Nevada and he says it’s entirely winnable for Trump.


5 posted on 08/26/2016 5:30:30 PM PDT by jazminerose (oective)
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To: Chgogal

This would be a great pickup for Trump!


6 posted on 08/26/2016 5:31:31 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: mandaladon

Here in Reno I am seeing more and more Trump stickers on cars. Seems every day now someone comments, honks, waves about the one on my car. Still absolutely none for Clinton. Sanders’ stickers have disappear (and we’re not replaced with Clinton, which is a great sign).


7 posted on 08/26/2016 5:33:22 PM PDT by Reno89519 (It is very simple, Trump/Pence or Clinton/Kaine. Good riddance Lyn' Ted, we regret ever knowing you)
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To: mandaladon
I have done some phone calls in Nevada for the Trump campaign, they are behind Trump...I don't know about the Senate seat, we just call on the Trump campaign, but it's Trump country...

If he doesn't win this election, by the phone calls I'm making and have made, it's voter fraud...that's how it is turning out...people don't like Hillary and they have no hold backs to let you know that...

I remember before Trump went into Ohio in the primaries, the people were for Trump, but said that they felt they had to vote for Kasich because he was their Governor...I haven't had any calls to Ohio yet, but I bet Ohio will be Trump country also...

8 posted on 08/26/2016 5:33:25 PM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence 100%)
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To: mandaladon

So much about polit9icsis cultural and Nevada has a huge population of expat New Yorkers and New Jerseyans etc. They like the way he talks and swaggers just like a native New Yorker.


9 posted on 08/26/2016 5:34:19 PM PDT by amnestynone (We are asked by people who do not tolerate us to tolerate the intolerable in the name of tolerance.)
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To: Chgogal
Mark Kirk was lucky to win that seat in an mid-term election with a decided Republican tilt.

He'd struggle to win re-election if John the Baptist were at the head of the ticket.

10 posted on 08/26/2016 5:34:37 PM PDT by TontoKowalski (You can call me "Dick.")
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To: Chgogal

So is Ayotte - After campaigning as a Tea Party-associated “change” in that state, she has been a reliably GROPe - democrat-friendly assistant to ANY publicity that Reid/Oboma/Hillary/Pelosi needs.

Add McConnell and Bohner/Ryan to that mix.

A near-universal FUDC! attitude is NOT going to go Ayotte’s way. At best, they will not vote for the democrat either.


11 posted on 08/26/2016 5:34:45 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: mandaladon

If Trump had been a coal miner, that would help him in West Virginia. If he was a corn farmer, that would help him in Iowa. Trump owns casinos, that helps him in Nevada, just as it hurts him in Utah.


12 posted on 08/26/2016 5:49:38 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("I'm a Contra."--President Ronald Reagan)
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To: mandaladon

If Trump had been a coal miner, that would help him in West Virginia. If he was a corn farmer, that would help him in Iowa. Trump owns casinos, that helps him in Nevada, just as it hurts him in Utah.


13 posted on 08/26/2016 5:49:39 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("I'm a Contra."--President Ronald Reagan)
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To: Dr. Sivana

If he took it up the ass he’d win California!


14 posted on 08/26/2016 6:09:45 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET
If he took it up the ass he’d win California!

The scary thing is that as California goes, so goes the nation.
15 posted on 08/26/2016 6:15:21 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("I'm a Contra."--President Ronald Reagan)
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To: mandaladon
Democratic

Stopped reading right there. Why bother with an author who can't even get the party name correct.

16 posted on 08/26/2016 6:42:02 PM PDT by ASA Vet (Jus Soli + Jus Sanguinis = NBC)
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To: mandaladon
Gonna be tough, not because of ethnic concerns but because Nevada has powerful unions who are wholly owned subsidiaries of the Dem party.
17 posted on 08/26/2016 7:08:52 PM PDT by HChampagne (Cruz supporter but I will support and vote for Trump.)
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To: ASA Vet
Democratic is the correct name for the party.

The Democratic Party is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States, along with the Republican Party. Tracing its heritage back to Thomas Jefferson and James Madison's Democratic-Republican Party, the modern-day Democratic Party was founded around 1828, making it the world's oldest active party.

Unless of course you think they should be required to reveal they are actually Communists/Marxists.

18 posted on 08/26/2016 7:19:39 PM PDT by itsahoot (GOP says, Vote Trump. But if your principles won't let you, Hillary is OK.)
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To: mandaladon

This is very good, NV helps offset PA.

Must win: OH, FL.

If he wins those two with NV, IA and NH...

...it’s a tie 269-269.


19 posted on 08/26/2016 7:40:49 PM PDT by JPJones ( You can't help the working class by paying the non-working class.)
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To: Chgogal

And Ill. is not a battleground State.


20 posted on 08/26/2016 11:59:37 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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