[Tzimisce]

Nate was right in 2012.

But he hasn’t been right about Trump even once.

[KavMan]

So do we leave the UPI/CVoter daily presidential tracking poll alone too? lol

[KavMan]

Nate was only right because he had polling straight from the Obama people lol

[july4thfreedomfoundation]

A stopped clock is correct twice a day.

Little Nate was correct once.

[Sooth2222]

"Nate was right in 2012."

I think he was right in 2008, too. But that one was a no-brainer in retrospect, given two unpopular wars plus an economic implosion.

In 2012, as the Rand Poll, the USC/LA Times poll was very accurate. Yes, it's cherry picking but I'm okay cherry picking as long as it's from the tasty cherries on the tree instead of the spoiled cherries on the ground. The polling techniques that worked in 1936 and failed miserably in 2012 probably haven't gotten any better in 2016. If Gallup did so badly in 2012 that it gave up on presidential election polling, the polls that did okay in 2012 using the same techniques were probably right for the wrong reasons.

The #1 poll in 2012, IBD/Tipp, had Trump -7 but that was two weeks ago, the week following the Democrat convention. #5 in 2012, CNN ORC had Trump -8 but that poll was taken immediately following the Democrat convention. Reuters/Ipsos had Trump -4 as of Wednesday. Their previous poll was Trump -5. It's going in the right direction. Several of the better polling firms haven't even started polling for 2016. What all the polls seem to have demonstrated is a post convention bump for Trump, followed by a post convention bump for Clinton and now it's settling back.

[tcrlaf]

Nate was right in 2012.
But he hasn’t been right about Trump even once.

He is SHILLING to protect his paychecks.
He predicted Brexit would LOSE by 10% the day before the vote, IYR...

Dems ARE NOT going to turn out for Hillary at HIGHER levels than they did for Obama in 2012.
Blacks are NOT going to turn out in 2012 numbers to vote for the Old White Plantation Slavemaster.

They KNOW THIS (And it’s why #BLM exists), but he is demanding that other pollsters acoount that way, and some have.