Posted on 07/28/2016 10:44:40 AM PDT by Viper652
LOL no chance Hitlery is up 9. And Trump only up by 3 with men. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Suffolk_FINAL_PA_Marginals.pdf
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
The daybreak poll, which we should have a thread for every day, since it is updated every day, has Trump up by 8 across the country. So no way he is down 9 in PA.
Suffolk is one the most leftist leaning pollsters around.
It doesn’t square with a poll from a few days ago where Trump leads PA by 2%.
“ASK FOR YOUNGEST IN HOUSEHOLD}”
This poll is garbage...they don’t even try to hide it anymore, because they know the MSM will never call them out. This poll was bought and paid for by the Clinton campaign.
Ditto!
Has this happened before this is a poll that is meant to adjust the RCP poll averages to favor Hillary Clinton. Donald Trump has made a huge gain over the past several weeks and this has to change so the media is doing its part to poll in such a way as to change the averages in favor of Hillary Clinton. In other words the poll is pure b*******.
The internals are Brutal.
African Americans 13 percent, they are 10 percent of state population.
Whites 77 percent, they make up 83 percent of population.
Hillary almost tied amongst men.
Big discrepancy between Marist and Suffolk vs PPP and Quinnipiac is difference amongst men.
The former has them essentially tied, while the latter show Trump up almost 20. They are showing and incredible trunout model for african americans and a droip in turnoff for white voters.
I live in PA and I don’t believe it.
- Men in this state are overwhelmingly gun owners. We’ve never had a more anti-2A candidate run for POTUS.
- Trump’s “Can NAFTA” platform is something working class people in this state have been praying for for 25 yrs. They’re ready to crawl over broken glass to vote for it.
They have to be oversampling Pittsburgh and Philly. Or polling in environments where other people like union shop stewards can overhear the answer, so they lie.
Here, it’s those liberal college clowns from Suffolk U.
The Margin of Error is around 3.4%.
That means it is not really Hillary up be 8.5 points but maybe only 3 points.
The poll is probably just taking into account those precincts that will have 110% voter turnout and the polling locations ‘protected’ by BLM goons with billy clubs.
That is one of the contrived polls. You can make a poll reflect what ever you want. It is called “directed sample” . Or you just put numbers you like down and get paid under the table. Its all BS.
Rasmussen already has Hitlery on top!! Bogus polls all of them!!!!! Even those that have trump leading.... Don’t fall for the bogus polls! you live by the polls you die by the polls!! The only one that counts is the one on November!
Look at internals Hillary for whatever reason has an incredible ability to connect with Male voters in pennsylvania. Suffolk shows it along with Marist. In my own head I cant fathom it, but there polls show her outperforming every dem candidate amongst men in pennsylvania since lbj.
Now PPP and Quinnipiac show her losing them by over 20 someone is right and someone is dead wrong.
The media is prolapsing their collective colons while straining to drag Hillary’s carcass over the finish line. If there is enough evidence for a class action suit to have been filed June 28 against DWS and the DNC due to fraud during the primaries, the media will do that and more to aid Hillary.
They ask for the youngest because it’s a very underrepresented group. Hard to get the young to sit for a poll. Or a job interview...
The party breakout seems a little Democrat heavy and Independent light:
Democrat 48.00%
Republican 39.40%
Independent/No affiliation 11.00%
So a D+9 poll, with 48% Democrats.
I think the Rasmussen polls are more highly valued and a typical party weighting for them is 40D, 33R, 27I - a D+7 but with a more typical Independent weighting at 27%.
My view is this poll is pro-Hillary weighted.
More cheating in Philly than any other part of the state, I’m sure.
I would like to think Trump can take Pa, but I remain highly skeptical... would sure be nice though.
Sign up date 2015....HMMMM...
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