Posted on 07/26/2016 12:45:17 PM PDT by 867V309
Those anti TPP signs are Bernie supporters, Hillary CAN NOT escape NAFTA HER husband signed it!!!!
Trump’s anti NAFTA/FREE TRADE stands are what has been needed for a Republican to make in roads for years in these states, instead sadly thanks to neocon dogma the party just blindly kept pushing “free trade” that was decimating these regions.
Trump, thankfully is not being beholden to horribly bad policies that are not conservative and need to be gone.
IL is lost. They are going to be looking for a Federal bailout in the not too distant future, and you don’t elect a Republican in that case.
MN? The same DFL frostbite of the brain that cause them to elect Jesse Ventura, Al Franken and Mark Dayton will prevail.
But I’m telling you, working class people in PA are really fired-up over Trump. The local Dems are quite freaked-out over it.
I have a lot of Mormon friends and Hillary will be lucky to outdraw Gary Johnson among this demographic just as H. Ross Perot outdrew Clinton in 1992.
I agree, republicans have finally put up someone that can connect in the rust Belt. Trump will take PA, OH, MI, WI and IN for certain on NOV 8.
Winner will be known by 10pm at the latest, only reason to stay up after that is just to see how bad Hillary’s drubbing is going to be.
If that happens then I will be up till dawn celebrating.
I live in PA. Trump signs all over the place. I believe he’ll win it.
Of course, I don’t live in Philadelphia...and Dems do cheat. It’s probably a matter of how much they can cheat.
Another thing I’ve noticed, traveling this state: a lot of the Trump signs are hand-made, one of a kind signs. People didn’t wait for signs they could purchase. They are practically making their own billboards. Driving along the highway this afternoon I saw TRUMP in letters that had to be 2ft tall, painted on the side of a private home.
TRUMP signs have been up for a year, some of them, in big bold letters. There was enthusiasm early on; it has not diminished, it has increased.
I have yet to see ONE Clinton sign.
Im in SoCal and for the first time today(Had a doc’s appointment) I saw an apartment building with a HUGE sign inside that said DONALD TRUMP MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN it was AWESOME to see..it was the first Trump sign I have seen here in LA in well, ever..you only see Bernie Sanders stickers on cars and signs in front of houses so this was awesome to see..now CA will NOT go Republican, too many unions here, La Raza..leftists run the show here but it would be nice to make it sort of competitive here
When you see a Hillary sign around here you KNOW the house belongs to some apparatchik City or County Employee.
In 1980, both campaigns knew by Election Day what was likely to happen (due to the late-breaking, post-debate polls), but the networks were still believing their “too close to call — it’s going to be a long night” routine. Then the first returns came in, and by 8 pm or so, it was all over. (Nancy Reagan had to get RR out of the shower to take Carter’s concession call, at like 5 pm Pacific!) No long night, just long faces in the MSM. Would love to see that again this year.
If the mid atlantic/rust belt states drop the way I expect them to, it will be an early night.. may not be 8pm early, but early.
Thing is, even if Hillary were to somehow pull off Florida and VA.... it won’t matter if Trump takes PA, OH and MI.. let alone WI as well.
I don’t think Hillary has a shot in hell at FLORIDA and I think VA is wishful thinking as well, though I think that one would be more likely than FL.
I also expect Trump to make inroads in New England as well, taking states there no one wants to even thing about possibly going republican.
I expect a very early night, in terms of knowing who the winner is, don’t expect 8pm early... because even if Hillary knew she was drubbed by 20 points nationally at 7pm based on her polling, I wouldn’t expect her to concede immediately.
Time will tell, but I honestly just don’t see a way she can turn her ship around... even the folks who keep saying she “should” win, never really give you a solid argument why... best they offer is some ephemeral she’s more organized and has more money.... That’s not an argument, that’s an observation.
A lot of the Republicans were better organized and had more money, and they all fell like dominoes.
You can look at this race in 2 ways, that are at least based in some reality.
1) Trump and Hillary are both such badly flawed candidates for various reasons, that this is going to boil down to a generic D vs generic R election... the actual candidate doesn’t matter... under this model, electorate should be motivated by general fundamentals, economy, jobs, security... Well, based on this model, D loses, but its a close election. This is where I think most pundits live, they are just too much inside their echo chambers to see anything else... and while the fundamentals of such a race would favor the party out of power with such fundamentals, they believe the discord in the R party probably is such that Hillary has a shot and may even win. (I think this entire view of this election is absolutely WRONG on every level, other than yes, the general fundamentals right now do not favor the democrats, but it is at least an analysis that can be justified at some rational level)
2) This election is a disruptive election, with an electorate who is mad as hell at the political class, and justly so. They are indeed tired of watching the political class sell the nation out, and their jobs and futures etc with it to enrich connected folks etc. In this view of the election, Trump is the disruptor candidate, seen by folks as outside the class that the electorate feels has been screwing them, and his jingoist campaign will connect across party lines and classic affiliations and create a coalition that is not typically seen for any candidate of a particular party in a standard election model. In this view of the election, which is the view I believe represents what is going on, Hillary, being an establishment person, with decades of history of corruption, won’t stand a chance in hell, and will only be able to rely on the folks who always vote for her party, no matter who the candidate is, the independent voter she will lose by huge margins.
Results from the republican and democratic primaries both support the secondary viewpoint, not the first, and internals of most polls also tend to support the latter view of the election, with Trump up in the high teens to 20 points with independents. The only reason this race has remained close so far is because Trump is running about 12 points behind a typical republican nominee among republican voters. There is every expectation that Trump will close most of this historic gap, if not all of it by election day, and that results in a landslide for Trump.
I believe most people who are not part of the elite/establishment viewing this election recognize inherently that this election is the second type... but those inside those circles are just so caught up in their echo chamber they either cannot see it, or are too afraid to buck convention to voice it... so they stick with the first view of the election....
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