Posted on 06/20/2016 10:45:25 AM PDT by usafa92
West Long Branch, NJ – In a head-to-head contest for president, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 7 points among registered voters and by 8 points among likely voters. The Democrat’s lead shrinks by a point when potential third party support is taken into account.
Both major party nominees remain unpopular, but more voters say it is important to keep Trump rather than Clinton out of the White House. The latest Monmouth University Poll also finds that attitudes towards terrorism and the Republican nominee’s proposed Muslim ban have not changed much since the Orlando tragedy. Currently, Clinton holds a 7 point lead in a direct match-up against Trump – 47% to 40% among registered voters nationally. Among those who are likely to cast ballots in November, the Democrat’s edge expands to 49%–41%. Importantly, Clinton holds a 47% to 39% lead in the all-important swing states – ten states where the winning margin in the 2012 election was less than seven points.
(Excerpt) Read more at monmouth.edu ...
I continue to maintain my opinion that Hillary is definitely ahead, although she is not in a strong position. Trump is at 84% with Republicans which is good. There's room to grow there. Almost the entire difference in this poll is Hillary's slight lead with Indies and the D/R spread.
These polls are now always skewed because a higher percentage of libs get polled. That said this is encouraging because it means Johnson is pulling more Democrats from Killary than he is from Trump.
I lie to pollsters.
I suggest we all do the same..........................
It all has to do with turnout. Also, we have three debates and the slim possibility of indictment.
This is still heavy D sample. GOP is about 32%. They are ignoring the party switch from Den to GOP and Indy.
Still hard to believe so may Americans are so duped.
The Ryan/Romney effect. Trump has to fight a two front war all the time.
Hillary is going to get about 42% of the vote, Trump is going to blow her out.
During the primaries, from NY to IN, Trump exceeded his Real Clear Politics average by 9 percentage points. I suspect that there may be more people out there who will vote for him, but just don’t tell the pollsters.
Did the Monmouth pollsters venture into New York City to ask a cabbie or a union member or did the pollsters all remain in their classrooms in New Jersey and call their parents and friends?
There is NO WAY Hillary has 47%. NO WAY! Bill doesn’t even like her!
I refuse to believe hillary is actually do this well. I don’t see her supporters anywhere. I see no bumper stickers, here in Connecticut. Her events are poorly attended.
Strange the registered vs likely swings in a direction it usually doesn’t.
Polls are really an echo chamber for the pollster’s turnout model. They got it right in 2012 and 2008...but were wrong in 2004.
I’m waiting for the first debate before paying too much attention to the polls.
“Both major party nominees remain unpopular, but more voters say it is important to keep Trump rather than Clinton out of the White House.”
That right there is the problem. Yes, very few like Hillary, but they hate Trump more and fear him far more. That being the case, Hillary should win easily. The American people are hopelessly stupid.
Polls haven’t changed my view we’ll see Cankles in the White House next year.
We don’t live in a center-right country.
Not that people think conservatism means what it used to mean.
Don’t blame; I’m a realist and things are what they are.
Agree. Hillary is less popular than Bern.
Sounds about right to me. Lots of work to do, but not impossible.
Ask Bill about the tens of millions of dollars as he has made in speaking fees around the world, paid for by the same cast of characters, and you will get an equally charitable explanation: It’s evidence of his desire to help people. By giving these highly paid speeches, Clinton says, “ I try to help people think about what’s going on and organize their lives accordingly.”
http://www.cntraveler.com/stories/2007-08-15/q-a-how-bill-clinton-is-changing-the-world.
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