Posted on 04/09/2016 11:49:42 AM PDT by Strac6
A serious question about potentially brokered (free vote) convention.
Some real world givens here. Trump may make it on the first ballot. If he does not, he still has a chance on the second, but that is a lesser chance. If he doesn't win on the first or second, then he is out of the race.
Cruz, probably little chance on the first, better on the second, perhaps about the same on a 3d ballot, and if not successful there, he is gone.
But they do have to nominate someone, and remember, any Convention Rule can be changed by a simple voice vote.
PLEASE DO NOT LET THIS POST JUST TURN INTO A RA RA TRUMP, or a RA RA CRUZ OR ANYTHING SUCH AS THAT, or A FLAME WAR / RANT, BUT LET IT BE A SERIOUS DISCUSSION, OK?
If Trump and Cruz are gone, Kasich has a chance, but he is not the type of candidate everyone suddenly has a Eureka moment about.
I don't see Palin reemerging, nor McCain, nor Romney, nor Christie. Not Walker, nor Carson.
Paul Ryan is not a "strong" person.
How about Rudy Giuliani? He is still "America's Mayor" from 9/11.
Who else has some ideas.
Let's also NOT make this a place to just knock every other person's suggestion or complain the named candidate isn't Conservative "enough". Remember, Heinrich Himmler isn't running. Let's just see where this goes.
Who's got the best Crystal Ball, and can pick the winner of a possible contested convention 3 months early?????
Newt?
Rubio? Although there a lots of burned bridges there.
Condi Rice for VP?
What's your best guess
Yeb and kasich
They would never nominate Guiliani. He is pro-choice and they always have pro-life as part of the platform.
Yeb and Rubio, act of love 2016.
Jeb? Possibly, but he would have to have about 4 double espressos before he made any speech.
NONE of the ones you listed in post #1. If neither Trump or Cruz make it, the nominee should be someone such as Senator Sessions - a nominee that BOTH Trumpsters & Cruzers could support enthusiastically.
Should be, but the herd of rinos will collude.
I don’t think Cruz has any chance at all. Cruz may think that the anti-Trump crusade is a pro-Cruz crusade, but it surely is not.
“Here’s exactly how a brokered Republican convention would work”
According to WaPo AND Frontloading HQ:
Josh Putnam is a lecturer in the Political Science Department at the University of Georgia. But, to political junkies, he’s better known as the founder of Frontloading HQ (FHQ, for short), a site that tracks the presidential primary calendar and all that comes with it. With an open convention on the Republican side looking more and more likely, I reached out to Josh to ask a few questions about the rest of the primary calendar and to clear up all of the fuzziness about exactly how that convention might work. Our conversation, conducted via email and edited only for grammar, is below.
But the people love him, and remember, as well as we may be pro-life, it is not a major vote DECIDING issue for most voters.
First, they vote their wallet, then jobs, then safety from international terrorism.
Trump will win on the first ballot.
Barring that, a “savior” will emerge from the ranks of the GOPe. It won’t be Cruz, more likely Rubio or Kasich. Bernie wins the General.
Since Trump and Cruz will have the most Delegate votes they will be able to write the convention rules and I’m sure they will keep Rule 40...
Cant even bear to think about any of those choices. Honestly if they do something this stupid and out of touch, they really will have a very bad situation on their hands. Two large groups of disenfranchised voters who have very viable candidates (Cruz, Trump) that are being cheated. Is this what our founding fathers designed—somehow i think not and the greed for money and power have perverted it.
I think the staff for both candidates should talk and discuss what happens in this event because they cannot take this lying down.
What worries me is this whole thing of what “candidates” are allowed to do to or give delegates.
Good idea.
At the end of the day...there is only one candidate for the Republican Party to support, and that is Donald J. Trump. Cruz will never beat any Democrat, he ticks peo[ple off, when he says Good Morning to them, and, boring, Paul Ryan puts people to sleep when he talks...he would be a total loss to the Democrats. Forget McCain, Romney, Graham, Fiorina, Bush, etc., they are all deadbeat losers.
There is only Donald J. Trump for the Republican Party, the American people, all of them, every single one of them, & the American nation!!!
GO DONALD J. TRUMP!!!
Put simply, If it is not Trump, no one has a path to become president— Trump supporters are loyal and passionate and already irritated with the establishment ignoring them and without approximately 1/3rd of the base, all Republicans will be crushed.
It’s going to be a problem because there really is no type of candidate that has genuine majority support in the GOP.
The choice will have to be a GOPe/Establishment candidate. I’m not sure that the Establishment would select Rudy.
You also have to consider that the GOPe might rather have Hillary as President, so that they continue to get their (GOPe) percentage of the Democrats’ graft and corruption.
In that case, it will be another “Designated Loser”; someone who has good optics, like Romney had in 2012. Romney looked “presidential”, but he clearly wasn’t interested in winning. He made a good “poster boy” for the GOPe. I think it will be someone similar.
OTOH, I believe it was Prince Reebus who said that the candidate will be someone who is already running. That being the case; it would have to be Kasich, Rubio, or ?.
Obama keeps saying that Trump won’t be Preezy. So the Dem fix is already in with their election-fraud machine. The GOPe knows they can’t fight that, so they’ll just pick a pretty face that personifies the Establishment.
My 2¢.
“Bernie wins the General.” Because the GOP/Conservative voters have gone out of their way to find the worst possible candidates - so bad that when the General comes Bernie will look good.
How ‘bout:
Romney/Jeb ... for really really bad but might beat Bernie, assuming Hillary is Charged.
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