Posted on 02/09/2016 12:53:16 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
They might not make national headlines, but local endorsements in presidential primaries matter. According to the influential book "The Party Decides," such endorsements reveal party elites trying to come to a decision about which candidate they should mutually support. They are leading indicators of vote - and delegate - outcomes. In many ways, they are better at predicting how the race will turn out than opinion polls.
As we'll explain below, in New Hampshire, Ted Cruz has built up a commanding lead of these endorsements - especially compared with Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, which indicates a reservoir of strength that current polling might be missing.
This echoes our post from a week ago (before the caucus), in which we argued that Ted Cruz's underappreciated strength in Iowa endorsements - he led the field with more than a quarter of the sitting legislators' endorsements - could help him outperform the polling average. And indeed, he did.
On the other hand, there are many endorsements for candidates like Carly Fiorina and Chris Christie. The message is that of a Republican party in New Hampshire deeply divided between a more moderate wing supporting Fiorina and Christie, and a more libertarian wing that now is owned by Cruz (and was for Paul, when he was running).
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Your guy was lucky to barely beat the tard for third. Not a winning campaign going into SC. Trump is currently leading there at 36%. With a full head of steam coming out of NH he’s going to be tough to beat. If Trump takes SC he’s a shoe in for NV and then the SEC.
Sour grapes make the best whine. :-)
You’re dreaming.
Cruz will take SC, especially if the foul mouthed wannabe spouts off a time or two more.
Cruz is still fighting it out with the tard for third in NH. Sad and not Lucy impetus going in against the strong frontrunner.
So much for that theory.
Ted Cruz was the only one that mentioned religious liberty in his speech last evening.
President Cruz will pick some really great judges.
It’s the mkjessup and looney tunes show!
One thing I’ve realized over the past several weeks....In many cases Trump supporters are unserious, shallow thinking and oftentimes childish in both thought and behavior.
It’s kind of like what one has come to expect from the left but with 20 or so less IQ points involved. Their obtuse attitude toward the issues and kneejerk reactionism in general are troubling if not just plain scary.
I would not have fathomed this from even one Freeper let alone a bevy of them 10 years ago. It’s as though all cogent thought and analysis has been replaced with brazen raw emotion.
Not sound reasoning for the selection a Republican nominee and hence, the future of this country.
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