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UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 7 of 8 (Trump +22%)
UMass of Lowell ^ | February 7, 2016

Posted on 02/07/2016 12:46:03 PM PST by Red Steel

Survey produced by Prof. Joshua J. Dyck, Ph.D. Field Dates: 2/4/16-2/6/16

N=1413 New Hampshire Registered Voters (RVs) N= 516 Republican Primary Likely Voters (LVs); N= 428 Democratic Primary Likely Voters Adjusted Margin of Error: +/-2.97% for all RVs; +/-4.82% for Rep LVs; +/-5.38% for Dem LVs Margins of error have been adjust ed to include for design effects resulting from weighting and survey design features

-snip-

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

(N=516 LVs)Q8 If the NEW HAMPSHIRE REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY was being held today would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER: candidate list below]?

Q8a Do you lean more towards...[order as Q8]? [if DK/NA/REF]

Q8b. Did you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER:candidate list below]? [if already voted, q5=6]

LVs RVs

36% 35% Donald Trump
13 12 Ted Cruz
14 13 Marco Rubio
9 8 John Kasich
10 11 Jeb Bush
4 4 Chris Christie
3 3 Ben Carson
4 5 Carly Fiorina
* * Other Candidate (Specify)
7 8 (VOL) Don't know/Unsure/Refused

(Excerpt) Read more at uml.edu ...


TOPICS: Extended News
KEYWORDS: cruz; elections; newhampshire; polls; trump
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1 posted on 02/07/2016 12:46:03 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Before the debate or after?

I’m assuming before.


2 posted on 02/07/2016 12:48:02 PM PST by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittancez)
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To: Red Steel

Its Cruz or Trump for me. I don’t think anyone else on that list could earn my vote!


3 posted on 02/07/2016 12:48:35 PM PST by mouse1
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To: tennmountainman

4-6 Feb, so yes.


4 posted on 02/07/2016 12:49:23 PM PST by datura (Proud Infidel)
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To: tennmountainman

There’s only 48 hrs before NH primary.


5 posted on 02/07/2016 12:51:10 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Any guesses on how it will be in here on Wednesday?


6 posted on 02/07/2016 12:52:39 PM PST by datura (Proud Infidel)
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To: Red Steel
Trump holds 38 percent NBC/SurveyMonkey poll
7 posted on 02/07/2016 12:54:43 PM PST by entropy12 (Trump is the only one not bought off by ultra-rich donors.)
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To: datura

Yeah Trump wins New Hampshire by a substantial margin. This is not Iowa, or does Trump have some small tenuous lead here.


8 posted on 02/07/2016 12:55:06 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Exactly. And people go in, vote and go home. Less time for shenanigans.


9 posted on 02/07/2016 12:58:18 PM PST by lovesdogs (Think Mr Trump can't make Mexico pay for the wall? He made the media give him a free campaign)
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To: Red Steel

Thank God Cruz can’t do any shady tricks due to being a Primary. I think the entire Cruz campaign needs to be watched like a hawk in Nevada another opportunity for Cruz to steal another election.


10 posted on 02/07/2016 1:03:04 PM PST by napscoordinator
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To: napscoordinator

Yeah he should be watched closely. Cruz is way behind there too as Trump has a substantial lead in double digits in Nevada.


11 posted on 02/07/2016 1:24:30 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: entropy12

That’s from January 19th.


12 posted on 02/07/2016 1:34:49 PM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: Red Steel

We always have to say, though, now: “IT’S A POLL.”


13 posted on 02/07/2016 1:36:55 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: CaptainK

I saw that in latest edition of The Hill. Should have checked date closely. My bad, Sorry!


14 posted on 02/07/2016 1:41:36 PM PST by entropy12 (Trump is the only one not bought off by ultra-rich donors.)
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To: lovesdogs

NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY IS ON TUESDAY: Trump advised New Hampshirites that ‘If you’re not going to vote for me, do not vote’

OK.


15 posted on 02/07/2016 2:07:43 PM PST by pilgrim
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To: entropy12

Why didn’t you double check. That is what all GOOD posters do. Did you call and see if that was true, etc, etc, etc!

LOL!!!


16 posted on 02/07/2016 2:09:50 PM PST by pilgrim
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To: Red Steel

That is an awful large margin of error.


17 posted on 02/07/2016 2:13:08 PM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: datura

Lots of sobbing.

But we will get inspiration from HRC getting whacked.


18 posted on 02/07/2016 2:14:00 PM PST by Vermont Lt
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To: Vermont Lt
That is an awful large margin of error.

Nowhere near like the WMUR NH poll a few days ago that only polled 209 people.

19 posted on 02/07/2016 2:35:19 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Yep. Iowa was a tainted election.


20 posted on 02/07/2016 2:57:42 PM PST by xzins (Have YOU Donated to the Freep-a-Thon? https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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