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Hillary Clinton Has The Most Statistically Improbable Coin-Toss Luck Ever
The Blaze ^ | Feb. 2, 2016 | Leigh Munsil

Posted on 02/02/2016 5:38:46 AM PST by Krosan

DES MOINES, Iowa — One of the most bizarre details to emerge from Monday’s Iowa caucuses was that in six Democratic counties, the ownership of six delegates was decided by a coin flip.

A single delegate remained unassigned at the end of caucusing in two precincts in Des Moines, one precinct in Ames, one in Newton, one in West Branch and one in Davenport, The Des Moines Register reported.

In all six instances, the coin toss was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

There may have been more coin tosses, but those are the ones we know about for now.

Now, get ready to do some math.

In a single coin toss, the probability of calling the toss correctly is 50 percent, or one in two. Heads or tails.

But the probably of winning every flip out of six flips is one in 64, or 1.56 percent.

The online study tool “Coin Toss Probability Calculator” has a really intense formula that explains why, but the bottom line is, the probabilities stack on each other.

You’re 50 percent likely to win one coin flip. But you’re only 25 percent likely to win two consecutive coin flips, because there are now twice as many possible outcomes. So bump that up to six coin flips, and your chances of winning them all are slim:

(Excerpt) Read more at theblaze.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: clinton; hillarycointoss; iowa; iowacaucus
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1 posted on 02/02/2016 5:38:46 AM PST by Krosan
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To: Krosan

1/64 is small compared to her cattle futures odds.


2 posted on 02/02/2016 5:40:42 AM PST by heartwood (If you're looking for a </sarc tag>, you just saw it.)
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To: Krosan

You mean it was rigged.....


3 posted on 02/02/2016 5:41:23 AM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: Krosan
"Blind luck!"


4 posted on 02/02/2016 5:42:07 AM PST by a fool in paradise (Obama is more supportive of Iran's right to defend its territorial borders than he is of the USA's.)
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To: Krosan

I think they are picking on Hitlery, after all a few years back she won big on cattle futures, so what’s the big deal? I mean, it’s her turn anyway!


5 posted on 02/02/2016 5:42:13 AM PST by redfreedom (Voting for the lesser of two evils is still voting for evil.)
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To: Krosan

The Clinton Lorenz machine added another rotor!


6 posted on 02/02/2016 5:42:51 AM PST by Dr. Ursus
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To: heartwood

lol beat me to it.


7 posted on 02/02/2016 5:43:24 AM PST by JudyinCanada
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To: a fool in paradise

Should you preface your post with a barf alert?


8 posted on 02/02/2016 5:43:33 AM PST by redfreedom (Voting for the lesser of two evils is still voting for evil.)
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To: Krosan

1 in 64 is improbable, but not impossible. Turning $1000 into $100,000 in the cattle futures market is as likely as OJ’s blood belonging to another person whose 1 in a billion DNA is an exact match.

Maybe Hillary had hired that NFL ref who can flip a coin without having it turn over.


9 posted on 02/02/2016 5:43:49 AM PST by TruthShallSetYouFree (If Hillary's last name were anything but Clinton, she'd already be behind bars.)
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To: Krosan

Why didn’t they tally the votes instead of a coin toss? Did Sanders supporters get bamboozled into going along with it? If it’s rigged is it voter fraud, or just part of Iowa caucus charm?


10 posted on 02/02/2016 5:44:47 AM PST by grania
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To: heartwood

We need a new Ted Wells investigation!


11 posted on 02/02/2016 5:45:01 AM PST by major-pelham
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To: Krosan

I wonder whether Bernie will suddenly develop an interest in Hillary’s “damn emails.”


12 posted on 02/02/2016 5:45:32 AM PST by Madame Dufarge
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To: Krosan

When Hillary wins the coin toss, she says, “ I will defend the left goal.”


13 posted on 02/02/2016 5:46:45 AM PST by TruthShallSetYouFree (If Hillary's last name were anything but Clinton, she'd already be behind bars.)
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To: grania
"Why didn’t they tally the votes instead of a coin toss? "

I notice the raw vote totals are being reported for the republicans but not the democrats. Hmm? I noticed the the republican vote totals exceeded prior levels of turnout but we don't know much about the democrat levels of enthusiasm. Hmm!?

14 posted on 02/02/2016 5:48:21 AM PST by outofsalt ( If history teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything.)
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To: Krosan

Not unusual when the Beast’s “luck” can turn 1K into 100K!


15 posted on 02/02/2016 5:48:38 AM PST by golf lover (goingf)
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To: redfreedom

The Queen of Mean-a strikes again!


16 posted on 02/02/2016 5:49:06 AM PST by donozark (There is no murder in paradise.)
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To: Krosan

From the article:
And the bottom line is, Clinton won the Iowa caucuses on a coin flip.


17 posted on 02/02/2016 5:49:20 AM PST by iontheball
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To: Sacajaweau
Uncle Bernie won big. They just let her have a tie.

Uncle Bernie doesn't run a quid pro quo foundation which launders money for the right crowd.

18 posted on 02/02/2016 5:50:01 AM PST by blackdog (There is no such thing as healing, only a balance between destructive and constructive forces.)
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To: outofsalt

Just sayin’....the best way to make things real difficult for hillary would be to catch her in voting fraud. Or will Sanders throw up his hands and say “nobody cares about the damn vote-counting”


19 posted on 02/02/2016 5:51:37 AM PST by grania
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To: Krosan

Anybody check the coins to see if each side was different?


20 posted on 02/02/2016 5:51:56 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Viruses and diseases must be DemocRATS. They love open borders.)
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