Iowa Caucus Live Thread

2/1/16

[markomalley]

A search shows that nobody's opened up a live thread for tonight's caucuses. So here goes.

Predictions? For both the GOP and Dem nominations?

Eyewitness Accounts? See any funny business going on?

[JustaCowgirl]

Thanks for the thread! My prediction:
Republicans:
Trump 30%
Cruz 23%
Miami used car salesman 18-20%
Jeb <5%
The others: a few each.

Democrats:
I have no idea. But given the strong arm tactics that the Dem process lends itself to, I’d say Hillary wins by a fingernail.

[Jim W N]

Well, if DoughtyOne’s FR Caucus is any indication, Trump’s in good shape.

FR Caucus as of end of day yesterday:

Running totals: Trump 56%, Cruz 40%.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3391222/posts

[BigEdLB]

Trump by 7, Bernie by 5.
Trump 35 Cruz 28 Rubio 22.
Bernie 50 Hillary 45.

[GraceG]

[ Miami used car salesman 18-20% ]

BWAHAHAHAHAH!!!

[pollywog]

Go Ted Cruz! Win convincingly!

BIG DITTOS

[snarkpup]

Iowa blizzard—weather radar

[goodnesswins]

bfl

[Charles Henrickson]

The Big Three—Cruz, Rubio, and Trump—all will likely be in the 15%-35% range, perhaps all in the 20s. In what order, though, is hard to say. If any of them finishes out of the top three, or drops below 15% or goes above 35%, that will be significant. In any case, we should get some weeding out of the lowest finishers.

[fortheDeclaration]

Close!

[jjotto]

People can’t be locked out, unless they simply show up way too late. Nobody knows who supports who unless attendees choose to wear buttons or hand out literature. Party regulars are never unified, and are used to accommodating each other.

[WTFOVR]

Just like Cruz supporters to bring a “squirt” gun to a bazooka fight.

[dfwgator]

I predict no matter who wins tonight, the media is going to be gushing over Rubio.

[fortheDeclaration]

I would love to see Hillary lose!

[over3Owithabrain]

My prediction. This thread will get coyote ugly by 7:30 pm.

Opuses will rain down like locusts in Egypt.

[RKBA Democrat]

Thanks for starting the thread. Most of us were thinking....I’m not gonna start the live thread, are you gonna start it?....I’m not gonna start it....

[tennmountainman]

Since Friday, Faux has been a Rubio informercial. 24/7

[DoughtyOne]

Look again.

Be sure to check out the numbers for the 31st.

It went way lopsided.

D1

http://www.hotr.us/fr/caucush160131.html

[Charles Henrickson]

I don’t think the mailer thing is going to be that big of a deal. Maybe one or two points, at most. That will be more than offset by Trump skipping out on the last debate, which will hurt him.

[fortheDeclaration]

Another Establishment guy no one wants!