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Vanity: 76 days and the political wind leaves Trump
11/16/15 | me

Posted on 11/16/2015 3:52:15 PM PST by spacejunkie2001

There are about 76 days remaining until Iowa. The polls, overall, show Trump blowing it out and he depends on/lives by, being high in the polls. His "stump" speeches are all about where he is, compared to the other candidates, in the rankings.

Iowa is a state that votes very conservative, very Christian. I contend the entire race has a different fact at the end of voting there, as I believe Cruz will win Iowa. At that point you'll see a seismic shift in the political ring, where Trump is no longer at the top. Part of it will be that someone else won Iowa, but Cruz will gain huge traction by winning, which will also be a major factor.

So...I like Trump and am glad he's taking the machete to the path and bringing out issues that prior to now have been taboo, like deporting illegals.

But...the shift is coming and it will be so because he won't win Iowa.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: cruz; iowa; trump
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To: spacejunkie2001

Not a very good track record.


41 posted on 11/16/2015 5:44:40 PM PST by McGruff (Trump-Cruz 2016. Make America Great Again.)
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To: Kenny

Exactly. They haven’t exactly been getting it right the past few cycles. How many times can they screw the pooch before they become irrelevant.


42 posted on 11/16/2015 5:45:45 PM PST by moehoward
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To: spacejunkie2001

43 posted on 11/16/2015 5:47:23 PM PST by McGruff (Trump-Cruz 2016. Make America Great Again.)
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To: spacejunkie2001

Everyone has one.


44 posted on 11/16/2015 5:51:04 PM PST by Stentor ("The best lack all conviction, while the worst are full of passionate intensity.")
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To: spacejunkie2001

I dont think you have a good wind direction indicator.


45 posted on 11/16/2015 5:53:56 PM PST by corkoman
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To: spacejunkie2001
With Carson crashing there is no doubt that Cruz will pick up Carson's evangelical support. With his existing reserves of hard money, there is, again, no doubt Cruz will win Iowa.

None.

Then likely, he goes the way of Santorum and Huckabee. I don't believe he wins a single primary.

46 posted on 11/16/2015 5:55:34 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: spacejunkie2001

Stop pretending you give a chit about Trump. You are just whistling past the graveyard. Trump will likely win Iowa and run the table. If not he will run the rest of the table. :-)


47 posted on 11/16/2015 6:03:23 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: SaxxonWoods

“Cruz’s problem is Carson”.

You nailed it. Trump effectively hobbled Carson last week, but did not kill him off. He wants Carson to stick around to keep Cruz down in the polls.
Carson may still win Iowa, but that will be all he’ll win.
Trump should run the tables from New Hampshire on out.


48 posted on 11/16/2015 6:37:32 PM PST by calisurfer
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To: spacejunkie2001

Right....

Cause I remember when Howard Dean won Iowa and then screamed he would go on to win the other states... Oh, yeah, he never did. Kerry was the nominee.

And I remember when Rick Santorum won Iowa and then went on to... no, nevermind.

And I remember when Mike Huckabee won Iowa and then went on to... Oh, nevermind that, too!

Iowa is no factor in who wins at then end in MOST elections. Sorry.


49 posted on 11/16/2015 6:53:01 PM PST by Alas Babylon! (As we say in the Air Force, "You know you're over the target when you start getting flak!")
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To: Zenjitsuman
Go watch the youtube of the rally in Texas, nobody connects with his audience like Trump.

I know!

Some here say nobody can beat Hillary, others say they want Cruz over Trump.

Our best shot is Trump.


50 posted on 11/16/2015 6:58:59 PM PST by 867V309 (Trump: Bull in a RINO Shoppe)
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To: Lakeshark
Iowa does NOT decide the race.

The author is right a Trump loss will be devastating to his brand of invincibility. 0-1 is not what the Trumpkins had envisioned.

51 posted on 11/16/2015 8:55:36 PM PST by Mike Darancette (CA the sanctuary state for stupid.)
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To: datura
Just appoint Iowa to elect the president for us.

That is just what the GOPe intended.

52 posted on 11/17/2015 12:35:00 AM PST by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: Mike Darancette

exactly my point Mike. Iowa will change things because he won’t be at the top anymore. He counts on that.


53 posted on 11/17/2015 2:14:07 PM PST by spacejunkie2001
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