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Manufacturing Slides Further But May Turn A Corner
Investors Business Daily ^ | 11/02/2015 | ANDREA RIQUIER

Posted on 11/03/2015 5:16:04 AM PST by expat_panama

Manufacturing eased slightly in October, an industry report showed Monday, but its details suggested that the factory sector may be stabilizing in the face of strong headwinds.

The Institute for Supply Management's closely watched Purchasing Managers' Index fell 0.1 point to 50.1, just a tick above the neutral 50 line that separates expansion from contraction. Economists expected a 50 reading.

Details of the ISM report were mixed: The production gauge rose 1.1 percentage points to 52.9. New orders, which foreshadow future activity, rose 2.8 points to 52.9. Both were below post-recession averages.

Still, after months of mostly declining activity, they may signal that manufacturing — battered by a slump in global demand, a plunge in oil prices that sapped capital-expenditure budgets, and a much stronger dollar — has found a bottom.

Stabilization Soon?

The exports gauge also rose but...

[snip]

"Generally, disruptions cause downturns," Englund said. "When oil prices go down, we are a petro economy."

The impact for the Federal Reserve is less clear. Economists such as Englund believe that the Fed is focused on jobs above all else and that the decline in ISM's October gauge could be a red flag if not offset in other sectors.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; investing; manufacturing
The IBD article included this graphic showing the ISM index they're talking about, but since they only showed recent history and since we'll be for sure hearing something about how we need to import jobs with high tarrifs to stop them, here's the ISM index going way back to NAFTA:

 

1 posted on 11/03/2015 5:16:05 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

That looks suspiciously like steady improvement.


2 posted on 11/03/2015 5:28:32 AM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: expat_panama

Cat, Deere, and other large manufacturers have been laying people off. The market was flooded a few years ago with people buying large equipment, now the market is very soft.

Monsanto is laying people off, 3M is cutting back.. This isn’t good.


3 posted on 11/03/2015 5:31:49 AM PST by redgolum
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To: redgolum

Spiked about 2011, but overall trend is downwards since.


4 posted on 11/03/2015 5:33:26 AM PST by rstrahan
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To: 1010RD; A Cyrenian; abb; Abigail Adams; abigail2; AK_47_7.62x39; Aliska; aposiopetic; Aquamarine; ..

Another beautiful day today and the forecast is no relief in sight!  Yesterday's stock indexes saw "solid gains in lower trade" and today's futures are either ecstatic at +1.24 or going into mixed/profit taking.  Whatever, at least we can tell that metals are settling back into their 3-month bases and gold/silver are now at $1,132.10/$15.37.

Reports:--

10:00 AM Factory Orders
5:00 PM Auto Sales
5:00 PM Truck Sales
 

--and:

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5 posted on 11/03/2015 5:35:06 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

That patient is having a heart attack.


6 posted on 11/03/2015 5:35:37 AM PST by mindburglar (When Superman and Batman fight, the only winner is crime.)
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To: redgolum
Cat, Deere, and other large manufacturers have been laying people off. The market was flooded a few years ago with people buying large equipment, now the market is very soft.

Trump has been pounding on this almost from day 1, and gives the reasons.

The reason boils down to this; They send viciously smart people to negotiate with the children we send to the table.

It's like taking candy from a baby.

7 posted on 11/03/2015 5:36:41 AM PST by Balding_Eagle (The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: expat_panama

“...may turn a corner...”

Yes, the minute Obama is out of office.


8 posted on 11/03/2015 5:36:49 AM PST by Jack Hammer
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To: 1010RD
looks suspiciously like steady improvement.

Yeah, sure it's great for rich traitor corporate businesses that want to import all those foreign jobs w/o paying heavy punitive taxes on them.

9 posted on 11/03/2015 5:37:50 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: Jack Hammer
the minute Obama is out

If I understand correctly, that's actually what a lot of folks are thinking.   The Keystone project seems to be on hold with the hope that putting it "on ice will forestall any move by the outgoing President to kill the pipeline project."

10 posted on 11/03/2015 5:41:34 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: Balding_Eagle

I have sat in a few of those negotiations.

The best was with a former Spanish boss and a major equipment manufacturer. He said “Red, sit down and I will teach you how to negotiate”.

We were looking at buying 30 high speed decanters. I had worked out what I thought was a good price with the engineer. My boss listened to the speech, got up and pulled over the screen showing the price he would pay, which was 15% less than what I had worked on. He then sat down and pulled out the contract and said “Sign this, or I tell Red to go talk to the competitor”.

They signed, and we got the machines. The VP of the other company laughed all night about it. Said that Americans don’t know the art of the deal, because we have been made “Sissy’s by your Mommies”.


11 posted on 11/03/2015 5:44:46 AM PST by redgolum
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To: redgolum

Your simple, real life example shows how quickly, how easily, things can be turned around.

Thanks for that.


12 posted on 11/03/2015 5:48:04 AM PST by Balding_Eagle (The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: expat_panama

Mean while, Caterpillar inc. is laying off workers with the goal of eliminating 10,000 jobs by 2018. Sales are down both domestic and international.


13 posted on 11/03/2015 6:15:59 AM PST by Graybeard58 (Bill and Hillary Clinton are the penicillin-resistant syphilis of our political system.)
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To: redgolum

Caterpillar Inc. to eliminate 10,000 jobs by 2018.


14 posted on 11/03/2015 6:17:43 AM PST by Graybeard58 (Bill and Hillary Clinton are the penicillin-resistant syphilis of our political system.)
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To: expat_panama

I thought Roubini was Dr. Doom...

Dr. Doom’ Nouriel Roubini: Europe’s Politics of Dystopia


15 posted on 11/03/2015 6:25:15 AM PST by citizen (America is-or was-The Great Melting Pot. JEB won't even speak American in his own home. NO Bush!!)
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To: citizen

Is there any setting or other thing I can do to get rid of these weird characters?
I am guessing it is a FR problem because it is happening on my win 7 work pc, my win 10 home unit and on Android phone.


16 posted on 11/03/2015 6:37:19 AM PST by citizen (America is-or was-The Great Melting Pot. JEB won't even speak American in his own home. NO Bush!!)
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To: expat_panama

Which corner? The up or the down? Wake-up. The economy stinks.


17 posted on 11/03/2015 6:45:56 AM PST by mulligan (I)
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