Posted on 10/02/2015 11:32:47 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
It's possible, just possible, that the final battle to become the 2016 GOP standard-bearer will come down to a pair of first-generation Cuban-American, first-term senators. Yes, I'm talking about the same Republican Party that has proven so incompetent in reaching out to Hispanic voters that it followed up its 2012 post-mortem determination to get better at it by, arguably, getting worse. Not that a final showdown between Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas and Marco Rubio of Florida will necessarily help on that score, but more on that later.
How does this scenario play out? It starts with the assumption that the three current front-runners, according to RealClearPolitics' average of polls – former reality TV star Donald Trump (23.3 percent), neurosurgeon Ben Carson (16.3) and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (11.8) – will all fade.
There are good reasons to expect this both in general and specific to each candidate. Trump's have been repeated and recycled for months: He's an egomaniacal, serially insulting, loud-mouth and while that might not sink him in a GOP primary, his ideological incoherence and departures from standard Republican policy positions probably will. After being endlessly foretold since his announcement the great Trump decline appears to finally be under way: He still leads but his share of supporters has dropped from 30.6 percent on the night of the second debate to 23.3 percent, more than a 7 percentage point drop in two weeks. That is, as the man might say, yuuuuge.
Carson too, while presenting a contrastingly lower-key mien, has been a gaffe-machine, suggesting that prisons make convicts gay, comparing the U.S. to Nazi Germany....
(Excerpt) Read more at usnews.com ...
Fiorina is fading as people learn about her past
(and she makes ridiculous statements about Syria just like Hillary and McCain....the 3 stooges?)
++++
I agree. Right now I’m waiting to hear what Cruz thinks about the Fiorina-Clinton No-Fly-Zone. I hope he gets it right. Trump certainly did.
What Robert Schlesinger doesn’t take into account is that 25-30% of base will STAY HOME if Jeb! or Rubio is the nominee! I know I will
Me thinks you got the “fade” candidates wrong.
LOL, Trump’s numbers are falling every day if we just read ABCCBSCNNNBCFOX/AP headlines.
They will not fade.
It’s possible, just possible, that I may win the lottery soon.
Another GOPe California dreaming. :-)
Speaking of Trump, he will be holding a rally in Nashville, TN tomorrow at 2:30 p.m. He was supposed to be in Virginia Beach, VA today, but had to cancel due to all the rain.,
Neither are natural born Citizens.
Trolls get zotted.
Begone, troll.
Coward.
I am a Cuban-American. I would like Cruz to be President. But neither Cruz nor Rubio will have enough broad appeal to win the nomination. TRUMP WILL WIN the nomination.
Yep I see this boiling down to Cruz vs Rubio.
I didn’t call him the first time, but you persisted.
These folks need to examine their premises.
Trump is not fading and the slowdown in his polling number is simply the fact that that there are not many more voters left to convert.
I have said it before...the primary from this point on will be a matter of winning over the supporters of those who drop out.
I do not think that a Rand Paul supporter will join the Trump side.
I do not think that a Christie supporter will join the Trump side.
Trump’s road to the nomination will now be convincing these orphaned supporters to join his side.
This likely explains his increasing focus on the issues and less on calling his opponents names.
Trump isn’t going to fade, and Rubio is a joke.
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