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This Iowa poll shows just how amazing Donald Trump’s rise has been
WaPo ^ | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 08/30/2015 7:51:19 AM PDT by RoosterRedux

Donald Trump leads the Republican 2016 field in a new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics of Iowa voters. But that's not the real story.

The real story is contained deeper in the poll. In May, when the Register last polled, 27 percent of likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers viewed Trump favorably while 63 percent regarded him unfavorably. In the new poll, which was released Saturday night, Trump's favorable number is at 61 percent and his unfavorable at 35 percent.

Um, WHAT?

Let me put it another way: W-H-A-T???

Numbers just don't reverse themselves like that in the space of a few months (or ever). Especially when the politician in question is totally known by the electorate. Once you are both totally known and broadly disliked — as Trump was in May both in Iowa and everywhere else — you are doomed. One hundred times out of one hundred.

That's why I was SO certain of Trump's inability to matter at all in the 2016 race when he, somewhat stunningly, decided to enter it 70-odd days ago. In the almost 20 years — gulp — I have spent following politics closer than close, I've never seen anything like the total reversal in how Trump is perceived by Republican voters. It is, quite literally, unprecedented.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; trump
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To: going hot
And with so much being consumed, might just become scarce and costly, perfect for snobs.

I don't know. Has anyone ever tried to market the emperor's new clothes? ;)

21 posted on 08/30/2015 8:31:21 AM PDT by papertyger (Trump: Throwing off such Government!)
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To: RoosterRedux

“—better smothered in Ketchup.’

Kerry/Heinz, of course!


22 posted on 08/30/2015 8:31:45 AM PDT by GGpaX4DumpedTea (I am a Tea Party descendant...steeped in the Constitutional Republic given to us by the Founders)
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To: RoosterRedux

Agree about Carson’s personae. I am see that Trump would find a place for Carson’s considerable talents.


23 posted on 08/30/2015 8:33:40 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Theorks for Hillary.y need to target the 'Ministry of Virtue' which has nothing to do with virtue.)
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To: RoosterRedux

Rush calls Carson “Gentle Ben.”


24 posted on 08/30/2015 8:33:55 AM PDT by flaglady47 (TRUMP ROCKS!)
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To: Liz

Liz do you have his confirmation picture


25 posted on 08/30/2015 8:35:01 AM PDT by hoosiermama ( Read my lips: no more Bushes)
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To: flaglady47

“Gentle Ben” was a black bear on an old tv show.


26 posted on 08/30/2015 8:36:11 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: papertyger; RoosterRedux

Crow: the other white meat!


True!

Funny how Cilizza describes this Trump favorability phenomonon as “unprecedented”. For once, I believe the MSM’s use of the term Unprecedented™ :)

Welcome to the party, Chris Cilizza.


27 posted on 08/30/2015 8:38:01 AM PDT by Jane Long ("And when thou saidst, Seek ye my face; my heart said unto thee, Thy face, LORD, will I seek")
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To: papertyger

That sombritch has been prancing about naked for some 7 plus years.


28 posted on 08/30/2015 8:40:00 AM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: RoosterRedux

> “That’s why I was SO certain of Trump’s inability to matter at all in the 2016 race when he, somewhat stunningly, decided to enter it 70-odd days ago. In the almost 20 years — gulp — I have spent following politics closer than close, I’ve never seen anything like the total reversal in how Trump is perceived by Republican voters. It is, quite literally, unprecedented.”

Well Chris Cillizza that’s what you get when you go working for WAPO which no longer does any public or private research on public personas like they once did. Instead you stand around the WAPO office kitchen reminiscing about what your liberal profs said in college forming an opinion of people based on office chit-chat with other metrosexual nobodies.

I’d advise you to find a real job in a real conservative news outlet but then I would be advocating the spread of your disease. I don’t know what can be done with the likes of you, I really don’t know other than you should be nowhere near journalism as a profession.

Well, there is one thing that can be done with you that will force you to grow up and grow a pair. The draft could be reinstituted and you could be parachuted into Syria even maybe as a war journalist because your hero Obama just gave away the farm to the Iranians and THERE WILL BE WAR in the not-so-distant future, 100% certainty. Even if you’re an old man, it would still be good for the country and you.


29 posted on 08/30/2015 8:41:03 AM PDT by Hostage (ARTICLE V)
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To: going hot
That sombritch has been prancing about naked for some 7 plus years.

Why is it whenever parents tell that story to their children they always leave out the part where the emperor's advisors put the little kid in reform school, audit his parents, and shoot the family dog?

30 posted on 08/30/2015 8:46:28 AM PDT by papertyger (Trump: Throwing off such Government!)
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To: papertyger
LOL.

'Cause they don't want it to happen one more time?

31 posted on 08/30/2015 8:48:27 AM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: RoosterRedux

Numbers do reverse themselves. The first poll was out of complete ignorance. Since then Trump has become a national narrative and the people have seen him for themselves without the MSM filter.


32 posted on 08/30/2015 8:52:01 AM PDT by freedomjusticeruleoflaw
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To: RoosterRedux

Rox Laird wept...


33 posted on 08/30/2015 8:56:43 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks ("If he were working for the other side, what would he be doing differently ?")
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To: RoosterRedux

It’s simple, the more people got to know him, the better they liked him.


34 posted on 08/30/2015 9:03:03 AM PDT by kanawa
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To: freedomjusticeruleoflaw
I don't think the first poll was taken in ignorance...darned near everyone knows Trump.

It was just that many folks didn't like him.

As one man said when he spent a few minutes with Trump in Dubuque, "Trump's different in person. He's a regular guy, vy down to earth, even kind of humble."

I think as people get to know the real Trump, they like him.

35 posted on 08/30/2015 9:07:17 AM PDT by RoosterRedux (First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. Mahatma Gandhi)
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To: RoosterRedux

Maybe it’s me, but when people hear an obnoxious (I know, strong term, but it gets the point across) entertainer is running for President, something they consider a very serious position, they will naturally recoil.

...then they heard what Trump had to say.


36 posted on 08/30/2015 9:08:12 AM PDT by BobL (REPUBLICANS - Fight for the WHITE VOTE...and you will win (see my 'profile' page))
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To: kanawa
Ditto.

He reminds me of an old uncle. He cuts up and makes jokes but always says exactly what he thinks...and he's a lot of fun to be around because he's basically unpretentious.

37 posted on 08/30/2015 9:09:48 AM PDT by RoosterRedux (First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. Mahatma Gandhi)
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To: RoosterRedux

It’s NOT surprising that the mainstream media folks can’t figure out the rise of Trump, because they tend to view the world through eyes of ideals (a false utopia) rather than reality. The ideals themselves aren’t even well thought out.

Trump rose for a reason. Early on, he showed actual leadership ability, it’s part of who he is, his personality.

And regardless of the bluntness of his words, the fact of the matter is that he has actual convictions that he’s willing to put out there, and stand by. Comparing this aspect of his presentation with the usual politician, the politician is wishy-washy and without backbone.

I once saw a tagline in an online profile that said something like, “If you don’t stand for something, you will fall for anything.”

Because politicians are so “politically correct” they indicate that they have NO real and lasting values that they are willing to put their necks out for. They indicate fear. They are afraid to ‘offend’ any of their voter base and risk loosing the opportunity for power. the problem is, this fear is ALSO a form of “me-ism”. Granted, it’s subtle, but it exists. The concerns aren’t for leading a nation and representing a people as they should be, but the concern is acquiring a position of power and influence.

Trump already has power and influence within his sphere of existence so those things are NOT an issue for him. And because he’s not bought and paid for, he is FREE to put his neck out there to address the issues that do concern the broad base of Americans.

All of us are strangling under the tyranny which has slowly crept upon us. We can’t do what Andrew Carnegie did, sell books of matches on the street corners to an eventual rise in business and wealth. If anybody stood on the street corner today to sell books of matches, he’d be arrested for any number of foolish laws such as doing business without a permit/license /tax evasion/vagrancy/supporting terrorism...you name it, there’s a law against it.

The very laws designed to stiffle competition had the opposing effect in the destruction of a steady flow of new business opportunities and with it, the destruction of that which made us prosperous. The protections afforded the corporations became a noose around the necks of those who would innovate to keep capitalism alive and well. Now we all starve for jobs, good incomes, opportunities for businesses of our own.

At the turn of the century, 90% of all people were self employed. Now, over 90% of the people are employed by someone else, or are out of work, and starving.

The protective fence became a deadly noose for the nation.

The noose has to be released, Trump knows this. But the left is more willing to play head games utilizing all the smoke and mirrors they can muster in order to take the attention off of reality and focus it on other issues like racism, or the benefits of abortion, or the injustice of stating truth.

The left has been playing psychological head games with themselves for so long, they can’t function with the real thing!

Trump is a wake up call. He’s not one of the ‘’good-ole-boys” within the political sphere so he resonates with the PEOPLE.

The PEOPLE aren’t part of the good ole boys club, either. They’ve been fed pablum after tasting meat. They weren’t raised in a cage never knowing what freedom is, so to try stuffing them into a cage and convincing them that they are free, just isn’t working!

So why is it such a surprise to the left when someone like Trump comes along with the key to the cage with the hope of release? Because the left functions on insanity. They don’t know right from wrong, reality from fantasy, freedom from slavery and oppression because they ARE the oppressors!

Like Hitler, they have NO clue as to what others think and feel, nor do they care as long as those others can be stuffed into their mold of what otta be.

The implication is out there that Trump is a narcissist. Maybe he is, but so is the left because they are so focused on their own idealisations which is nothing more than self focus! It’s just a bit more subtle due to the head games.

I’m not surprised that people are listening to Trump. It’s about time someone had a spine!


38 posted on 08/30/2015 9:10:44 AM PDT by PrairieLady2
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To: SamAdams76
Correct. The political establishment simply doesn’t know what hit them. Here’s why:

Traditional media acted as gatekeepers of public opinion by careful control of the narrative. They determined the “issues” that were deemed newsworthy and simply ignored everything else. But Trump has reversed that and he is controlling the narrative. Themes like “illegal immigration”, “China”, “bad trade deals", etc., simply wouldn’t be in the conversation otherwise. The “news of the day” is what he is doing and talking about, not what some editor wants to talk about. In effect, he’s forcing the media to report the news rather than create the news as they’ve done for so many years.

That’s happening because he knows that more than ideology, what really motivates the media is ratings, and he’s delivering that. So he’s masterfully turned that systemic weakness to his advantage by giving them what they want and thereby allowing him to do or say whatever he wants. His mastery of social media has been one of his main tools for doing this.

Whether you agree with his methods and style, it’s hard not to admire his effectiveness in being able to work within a flawed system to move it in a direction of his choosing. If he can do that with the media, what could he do with the dysfunctional cronyism that’s infested Washington? That is the real issue to ponder, and it's the reason the establishment truly fears him.

39 posted on 08/30/2015 9:16:44 AM PDT by AustinBill (consequence is what makes our choices real)
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To: RoosterRedux
He's bright, thoughtful, and gentile

Well I suppose he is gentile but why does that matter to you? Normally anyone who thinks that's important is a supporter of Paul.

40 posted on 08/30/2015 9:22:06 AM PDT by rhinohunter (Freepers aren't booing -- they're yelling "Cruuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuz")
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