Posted on 07/30/2015 7:27:50 AM PDT by Laissez-faire capitalist
The African American voter has been 8:1 or 9:1 Democrat since the 1960s. This is unlikely to change. However, let's assume that the group's voting percentage drops from 13% to 11%. Using 2012 figures, that means that there will be about 2.5 million fewer black voters, which, assuming a 89% Democrat support level (Gore won 90% in 2000 and Kerry won 88% in 2004) means 2.2 million fewer Democrat votes.
How would this translate in 2016 terms? Specifically, what would be the effects in the voting booths in Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbus, Jacksonville, Tampa-Saint Petersburg, Miami-Fort Lauderdale, Richmond, Newport News-Norfolk? Small declines in black voter turnout can make a lot of difference in these purple states. I don't doubt Rick Scott in Florida will use the force of his office to keep the Democrats from cheating in Dade and Broward Counties, including cracking down on Northeastern "dual voters". I'm not so sure about Kasich, however. Virginia's governor is a Clinton crony, so we can assume Democrat ballot box stuffing will occur.
The only no way in Hell candidates for me are the GOPE losers.
If Cruz or Trump wins the nod, I’ll vote for them.
I’m not interested in any of the others.
Nobody knows anything about Sanders or Hillary except for their psychotic liberal base. Once the American public sees a direct battle between the respective nominees, their poll numbers will plummet, just like with Reagan and Carter.
Huck is a low-budget hanger-on. He will manage to stick around late into the spring. He doesn’t have anything else to do since he dropped his FoxNews gig.
Perry will likely get by SuperTuesday (1st week of March). If he hasn’t soared by then, he will soon drop out for a lack of money.
That will happen to many of them. If they are not making a decent showing — being no lower than 4th after SuperTuesday — they will be dropping like flies. There may be a few low-budget stragglers who make it into April, but not much further.
Sorry, I meant for Walker...
Veep for Walker.
I’m surprised Huckleberry has so much support. Perry too.
Maybe, but I sense that VP will be a woman, either Fiorina or Susana Martinez.
Ah, good thought.
If Jeb, God Forbid, is the nominee, I go with Martinez...
Otherwise, Carly might fit the bill.
Cruz is my guy too!!! But I could vote for Trump, Carson, or Walker. Hope Cruz catches fire.
Trump/Martinez, you’d have to admit, would make heads explode, after the way the Latinos have gone after Trump.
If Jeb gets it, personally I don’t care
If Jesus is his running mate. Not that my
Opinion or vote matters. I live in
Californistan.
Yeah. I add Carson to that list.
Some of his interviews seem to suggest that he is much more liberal than his outward appearence indicates.
If Trump would cause a Democrat win then why are all the Democrat publications so concerned about Trump being in the race?
Just over the last 30 days.
Quinnipiac forgot to mention that part:)
He has the very same paymasters as Bush and they told him to stay out of FLA.
He's only the "Plan B".
Easy.
SF Giants.
Nah, it's an odd-numbered year.
Never truer words were spoken.
We either fight or eventually cease to exist.
As that is a principal objective or the majority of the worlds citizens and the political representation.
Perry is the designated attack chi Wawa to help jbush. Just a useful idiot.
He should stay at the kid table debate.
Trump will devour them like PacMan during a power surge.
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