Posted on 07/23/2015 5:45:21 AM PDT by Enlightened1
If we were going to see a stock market crash in the United States in the fall of 2015 (to use a hypothetical example), we would expect to see commodity prices begin to crash a few months ahead of time. This is precisely what happened just before the great financial crisis of 2008, and we are watching the exact same thing happen again right now. On Wednesday, commodities got absolutely pummeled, and at this point the Bloomberg Commodity Index is down a whopping 26 percent over the past twelve months. When global economic activity slows down, demand for raw materials sinks and prices drop. So important global commodities such as copper, iron ore, aluminum, zinc, nickel, lead, tin and lumber are all considered to be key “leading indicators” that can tell us a lot about where things are heading next. And what they are telling us right now is that we are rapidly approaching a global economic meltdown.
If the global economy was actually healthy and expanding, the demand for commodities would be increasing and that would tend to drive prices up. But instead, prices continue to go down.
The Bloomberg Commodity Index just hit a brand new 13-year low. That means that global commodity prices are already lower than they were during the worst moments of the last financial crisis…
" The commodities rout that’s pushed prices to a 13-year low pulled some of the biggest mining and energy companies below levels seen during the financial crisis.
(Excerpt) Read more at theeconomiccollapseblog.com ...
So lead and brass should be cheap soon.
coffee’s no cheaper at Starbuck’s....
So Obama and Soros are giggling like schoolgirls now?
WTI oil dropped below $50/barrel!
“The world is coming to an end” says TheWorldIsComingToAnEndBlog.com
Q) When were goods cheap but nobody had jobs to make money to buy anything?
A) The Great Depression.
Commodities “collapse” all the time.
LOL
2016, the commies will keep the fairy tale going until the end is nigh for Obola.
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, we’re all going to die. Are you ready?
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I'm already dead. I'm posting from the next dimension.
Jesus says "hello." And "try to behave."
TheWorldIsComingToAnEndBlog.com
A lot of interesting posts there.
“I’m already dead. I’m posting from the next dimension.”
And voting like its 1999.
Exactly, commodities go up and down based on fear and greed. However, they mostly go down based on overproduction. Commodity producers always increase production when the price goes up to meet demand. Then when demand backs off, the price of the commodity plummets and usually overcorrects to the down side.
Sometimes even in times of increasing domestic demand, like I am currently seeing in lumber, the price can go down because of factors in the world market or exchange rates.
Increases in production typically lower the per unit cost.
For example, if you have a fixed cost to have a sawmill run everyday the more lumber through the mill on a daily basis lowers your cost per board feet. Same thing for an oil refinery, steel mill, etc. So, when producers are making money they tend to reinvest to increase production and lower their fixed cost per barrel, board foot, cubic foot, etc. Eventually, they out produce demand. Then the price goes down.
The Lumber Broker
As long as the spread widens, that's all that matters for me!
You can always write a doomsday scenario on oil, no matter the price.
3 weeks ago the prognosis was doom and gloom for wheat production and prices went up. This week prognosis is all rosy and prices dropped like a rock. You cannot make me believe that this fluctuation has anything to do with reality. Commodity prices are manipulated for profit takers. Producers are screwed if we sell but it is hard not to panic. The commodity stock exchange moved to Chicago. That indicates a lot to me based on what comes out of Chicago! LOL
This from a publication whose full-time name is “Economic Collapse “.
Obviously an impartial source of economic analysis.
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