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Posted on 06/22/2015 11:42:23 AM PDT by SoConPubbie
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz is now the leader in Texas among GOP 2016 presidential candidates, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll.
In February, the poll had found Cruz's numbers close to Gov. Scott Walker's of Wisconsin, but as the Tribune's Ross Ramsey reports, Cruz has now jumped ahead among those registered voters who would vote in the GOP primary:
Walker was running neck-and-neck with Cruz in February, when his entry into the race was making daily news, but the Texans’ home-field advantage is showing again. Cruz had the support of 20 percent of registered voters, followed by (Rick) Perry at 12 percent, Walker at 10 percent, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 8 percent and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 7 percent.
Poll co-director Daron Shaw, a professor of government at the University of Texas at Austin, said the results reflect a “native son effect” in Texas that boosts the performance of candidates who are from here in comparison with their showings in national polls...
And although Cruz has the lead, it’s not a commanding one. Three more candidates — author and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee — each were the choice of more than 5 percent of those who said they would vote in the GOP primary. Eight others had the support of 3 percent or less.
Jim Henson, co-director of the poll and head of the Texas Politics Project at UT-Austin, said there's a "clear front-runner here, but not a winner."
Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, had 53 percent support from registered voters who said they planned to vote in the 2016 Democratic primaries.
Disclosure: The University of Texas at Austin is a corporate sponsor of The Texas Tribune. A complete list of Tribune donors and sponsors can be viewed here.
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Ted Cruz Ping! BOOM!
me likey !!! :)
I cant remember, is Texas winner take all?
Those who known Cruz the best like him the most.
Oh so now we are taking polling seriously.....how typical.
Ted Cruz was born in Alberta, Canada. Both Rick Perry and Jeb Bush were born in Texas.
I dont personally care if Cruz were born on the moon, he is the right man for the job.
I have been taking polling seriously since Fox announced it would only let the top 10 in polling into its debate.
I agree with you entirely. I was just trying to point out that the argument that Cruz is polling well in Texas because he is the "native son" is bullsh!t.
Perry and Bush are the "native sons." Cruz is just a far better candidate. Those who know him the best like him the most.
Get Cruz a cheap Hawaiian B.C. Should be no problem.
LOL.
And yet, Naps, you’d be the first to tout a similar poll with Walker leading..
The problem you have is that this jives with what is really going on in the grassroots....poll after poll of ACTUAL Republican grassroots voters puts Cruz in the lead...
Surely, you don’t take the recent MSNBC polls seriously, do you?
Texas is winner takes all; however, the primary usually falls so late here that the nomination is pretty much decided. In 2012, the primary got held up by redistricting lawsuits so we didn't even get to vote until May 29. By then Romney had the nomination locked up (I didn't vote for him).
In the general election, the last Democrat to win Texas was Jimmy Carter in 1976 (I didn't vote for him either). So pretty much whoever gets the Republican nomination will carry the state.
There are two types of citizens in the U.S. - natural born citizens and naturalized citizens. All citizens are either one or the other. (Non-citizens are either resident aliens or illegal aliens, but that is another topic).
Cruz did not have to apply to become a U.S. citizen. Under U.S. citizenship laws that were in effect when Cruz was born, he was automatically a U.S. citizen at the time of his birth (because his mother was a U.S. citizen who resided in the U.S. for the requisite number of years prior to his birth). Cruz is therefore a natural born citizen and not a naturalized citizen.
” Texas is winner takes all; however, the primary usually falls so late here that the nomination is pretty much decided. In 2012, the primary got held up by redistricting lawsuits so we didn’t even get to vote until May 29. By then Romney had the nomination locked up (I didn’t vote for him).
In the general election, the last Democrat to win Texas was Jimmy Carter in 1976 (I didn’t vote for him either). So pretty much whoever gets the Republican nomination will carry the state.”
That’s all changed this cycle. Texas is scheduled to hold their primary on March 1, which is a week after Nevada and the same day as Colorado, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Tennessee,Vermont, Virginia and North Carolina. This may help explain Cruz’s brilliant strategy of visiting many of the above states and grabbing all that free publicity while everybody else has set up camp in IA, NH and SC.
Because they are going in the first two weeks of March, they are not allowed to be a total “winner take all” state. However, they are using a modified “winner take all” system that is within the RNC rules. To win all the delegates, you must either receive 51% of the vote and/or have no other candidate reach 20% of the vote. Given Cruz’s popularity in TX, 51% is very doable.
If God has ordained Ted Cruz to be our next president then nothing can stay God’s hand.
Don’t mess with Texas.
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