Posted on 04/30/2015 4:56:05 AM PDT by RoosterRedux
Chinese strategists see a window of strategic opportunity for China early in the 21st century, though they haven’t publicly outlined the basis for that view. But we can make a good stab at it. Firstly, an air of inevitability is important in winning battles. While China is perceived to have a strong, growing economy that is crushing all before it, that perception of inevitability rubs off on China’s military adventures. To use that perception, China has to attack before its economy contracts due to the bursting of its real estate bubble. This explains the current rush to build the bases in the Spratly Islands.
Another problem for China is that its aggression and increased military spending has caused its neighbors to rearm and form alliances. China is better off attacking before its neighbors arm themselves further.
Another consideration is the US presidential electoral cycle. President Obama is perceived to be a weak president and the Chinese might rather attack before he is replaced. President Obama has made the right noises, though, about Chinese irredentism and the coming war remains quite popular in the US military, in that the different services are jockeying for position, which means they have official blessing to the highest level. President Obama does have some inconsistent policies that aid China, though, in that while a strong economy is needed to fight China, his administration is doing its best to choke the US economy with carbon dioxide-related regulations. The two ends are mutually exclusive.
President Obama spent a period of his childhood in Indonesia and would have heard a lot of anti-Chinese sentiment (the Chinese were and are more successful merchants and shopkeepers) in those formative years. As with Valerie Jarrett’s childhood in Iran, this will affect policy.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Because Obama is on their side.
In his third term, Obama is going to be even more flexible.
You can see the same thing in islam where young girls are not aborted but are basically sold to old men with money who seek multiple wives.
If that happens, you'll see old white folks burning down CVS pharmacies (most of them posters on FR).;-)
There’s also getting human trafficking from foreign countries, or simply going into a gang and getting fragged.
Historically and practically, China’s best target is Russia China has no capable sea lift resources. The bulk of their army still is not mechanized so their troops will march overland. China has an army that is circa 1960
Their one advantage is the overwhelming size of their army Putin in looking west may wind up with a very nasty surprise on his hands
A war with China is possible but is nevertheless unlikely for three reasons: (1) China’s armed forces are weakened by corruption and a lack of recent combat experience and realistic training; (2) even in victory, the economic effects of the war and loss of access to the markets of the US, Japan, and their allies would lead to mass unrest and the overthrow of the regime; and (3), China’s leadership has demonstrated an attachment to the traditional national virtues of caution and a patient accumulation of advantages.
I get the feeling it will happen before Obama is out of office, giving him the excuse to instill martial law, becoming der leader indefinitely, then surrendering to China to “keep peace.”
China doesn’t need to wage war on us, they can simply continue to buy us out. Much more cost-efficient.
Not to worry - we won’t make it to 2017....
Some one may fight China but it won’t likely be us. They could line up folks and march them into machine guns for days. Months, maybe years. Eventually they would get there.
They could line up folks on beaches and start them swimming. Until the crack of doom. Not one will ever get here.
Me no speak Chinese.
Communism is always a front for the mutual enrichment of the ruling oligarchy.
This fact always escapes the morons who promote it.
It wont be a huge war, it will be a series of skirmishes with a easy target. Likely Vietnam because Americans aren’t going to be high on the idea of helping the “Vite Cong” against the source of most of their mall goods, and it will serve as a cheap propaganda win to intimidate Japan, the Philippians, Malaysia, and Taiwan because they will utterly flatten Vietnam. Attacking any of the others will be too risky politically.
A wildcard is that they invade N. Korea as “liberators” and turn it into a protectorate (not that it isn’t already).
Maybe not. The ruling Chinese oligarchy is pragmatic. They could well prefer to sit back and enjoy the suicide of the Western nations, especially the U.S.A.
John Huntsman to the rescue!
Later
"while a strong economy is needed to fight China, his administration is doing its best to choke the US economy with carbon dioxide-related regulations."
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