Posted on 03/26/2015 3:08:46 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Beltway pundits routinely grant Democrats in 2016 an advantage in the Electoral College. The magic number is 270 electoral votes.
Twenty-four states are almost certain to go Republican: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming, with a combined total of 206* electoral votes. Any Republican candidate who fails to carry any of those states is going to lose the presidential election anyway.
Where will the 66 electoral votes needed to win the election come? The last four presidential elections have been relatively close in the popular vote nationally, and in four states not in the twenty-four already noted, the Democrat nominee has actually received a smaller percentage of the popular vote than the nominee received nationally over the last four presidential elections. These four states are Colorado (48.63%), Florida (49.18%), Ohio (49.28%), and Virginia (48.42%), compared to the average percentage of the popular vote nationally over the last four elections of 49.83%.
State government in Florida and Ohio is strongly Republican, with increased numbers of Republican states legislators after 2014 in both states. These states are not just winnable, but probable for any Republican nominee who splits the national popular vote evenly with the Democrat nominee. Add the 69 electoral votes of Colorado (9 votes), Florida (29 votes), Ohio (18 votes), and Virginia (13 votes) to the 204 electoral votes, and Republicans win the presidential race with 273 electoral votes.
The Democrat nominee’s percentage of the vote in Iowa (6 electoral votes) and New Hampshire (4 electoral votes) has tracked very closely what the Democrat nominee received nationally in those last four elections,
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Not if the Left has anything to say about it.
The west coast, Colorado, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, the NE, North Carolina, and Florida go dem.
Virginia is almost lost as there are way too many DC Liberals living in the Arlington area! But we can hope for Wisconsin if Walker is somewhere on the ticket!
We need to win outside the margin of cheating.
We’re working toward a proportional electoral system in Michigan. Naturally democrats are livid.
I don’t believe this calculation takes into account the usual 15% Democrat fraud factor or the 5 to 10 million new illegal alien democrat votes.
Ted Cruz won over 40% of the Latino vote in 2012. Do you know what you call a Republican who wins 40% of the vote in a national election, all else remaining the same?
Mr. President. Unless the margin of cheat is too high.
RE: The west coast, Colorado, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, the NE, North Carolina, and Florida go dem.
You lose Virginia and Ohio, you lose the elections. Can you pronounce this: President Hillary Clinton?
Cruz / Palin....
The Hildewitch is making poisoned apples as we speak..
for Sarah and her little dog too...
Kill the blatant voter fraud in Detroit and Milwaukee, and both Wisconsin and Michigan go conservative. The key is for conservative areas, like Waukesha County in Wisconsin, withholding its vote count until after Milwaukee County, in Wisconsin, announces its totals. That worked very well in Walker’s recall election.
All depends on if Hillary can get out the same black vote Obama did. Her only qualification is that she has a second "x" in her DNA so there will be Republican women who vote for her....but the youth and blacks who carried Obama's cross for him might not do the same for her. She's not attractive, looks old, and is stiff. Bill's not cute or funny anymore. A half-way attractive candidate who speaks Spanish would be helpful for either team's ticket. Walker or Rubio with the right VP candidate would energize many.
They can always bus in more Somoli immigrants to vote Dem in Ohio.
If he can get 40 percent of Latino vote in the country that would help (instead of just TX).
Texas is a varied, diverse state of almost 30 million people and is in many ways a microcosm of the entire country.
Well stated. I applaud you.
Kasich seems to be giving some thought to a run. I don't think he will do very well competing for the conservative vote against Cruz and Walker, but if they falter maybe he would be seen as not as bad as some of the other candidates.
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