Posted on 12/22/2014 4:36:37 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
After three terms of service, Senator Mary Landrieu was defeated in the December runoff 56-44%. While pundits attributed her defeat to the unpopularity of President Obama in Louisiana, the seeds of her defeat were sown long before that.
Senator Landrieu’s fundamental problem was that she had a low ceiling of support – in the three election cycles (1996, 2002, and 2008) she was on the ballot before 2014, she never received more than 52% of the vote. And a closer examination of her 2008 vote revealed she was on shaky grounds even before Barack Obama was inaugurated as President in 2009.
If we were to go back to Senator Landrieu’s 2002 runoff victory, we see that the electorate in that year was 71-27% white/black. While she received a near unanimous black vote, she also received only 36% of the white vote.
Between her 2002 and 2008 re-elections, two events when combined gave her an electoral lift that was her 2008 margin of victory: (1) 2008 was a Presidential election year, which meant increased (and more Democratic friendly) turnout. Plus, with Barack Obama also on the ballot, black turnout surged from 27 to 30% of the electorate, and that 3% change in the electorate also helped the Landrieu campaign, (2) in the parishes in Metro New Orleans that saw the most damage from Hurricane Katrina, her performance improved from 56-44 to 59-39%.
Despite the electoral benefit she received from these two extraordinary events, her re-election percentage was the same 52% of the vote that it was in 2002. However, her share of the white vote fell from 36 to 34%, and in 39 of the state’s 64 parishes, her share of the vote fell from 50 to 47%.
(Excerpt) Read more at winwithjmc.com ...
What’s most interesting about this is that Landrieu’s efforts to turn out black voters was largely successful. She also made some inroads in the New Orleans suburbs in the runoff. But she got skunked in the rest of the state. Most damaging of all to her was that she lost the Cajun-populated, heavily Catholic voters in the southern end of the state, in spite of her French name and being Catholic. Louisiana Republicans would be well-advised to recruit candidates with French surnames in future elections.
...plus she has the IQ of dust.
Yes. Louisiana has a large Catholic population and is pro-life. Consequently, Landrieu pretended to be pro-life and pro-family, but when it came right down to it, she never missed an opportunity to vote for death.
I think that was what finished her off.
Ref “(2) in the parishes in Metro New Orleans that saw the most damage from Hurricane Katrina, her performance improved from 56-44 to 59-39%.”
It is interesting to note that the collapse of the levees in New Orleans after Katrina was directly attributable to the diversion of funds designated for the levees to the construction of the Super Dome by her father when he was Mayor of New Orleans.
It's the elephant in the room...
When an incumbent has to take it to a run-off, the defeat is a done deal. Even if you win, you lose. She wasted time and money and made an ass of herself.
“Someone” was distributing windshield flyers on parking lots the day before election saying that all Medicare, Social Security, Food stamps, school lunches, Headstart, daycare subsidies, and Medicaid would be ended immediately if she was not reelected.
Last time I looked, they didn’t.
Liberal lies caught up with Democrats across the board in November.
An interesting question is what is the racial breakdown of citizens under 20 years of age? That is the future and in the case of some states it is dismal: Demographics is destiny.
She got fatter and uglier.
That is also why Hillary can!t win. She’s old, fat, and ugly.
Yeah I tell you I hate those LA runoffs, state rats know what they are doing there, thank goodness it wasn’t nearly close enough to steal.
Before he pissed me off by backing a democrat redistricting plan that could have created a 2nd Black rat seat, I was of the mind that Boustany was the best choice to face ML. ‘
Clearly though Canjun country has completely turned on the rats. I don’t know if John Breuax could carry it now.
Sir, dust has asked to tell you that you have insulted it’s honor, and it demands satisfaction.
It doesn’t shock me that Cajun Catholics voted against a Senator that was bribed to pass Obamacare and voted against her pro-life position on paper.
fat dumbass skank
just like hillary.
“In the primary, that number (white voters) plunged to 21%, and only notched up to 22% in the runoff. In other words, her standing with white voters was not one where a winning coalition was possible to be built.”
These numbers are true of nearly every Democrat in the South now. I LOVE IT!
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