Artificial Intelligence Isn’t a Threat—Yet

The Wall Street Journal ^ | Dec. 11, 2014 | Gary Marcus

[presidio9]

“The development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race.”

—Stephen Hawking, Dec. 2

Does artificial intelligence threaten our species, as the cosmologist Stephen Hawking recently suggested? Is the development of AI like “summoning the demon,” as tech pioneer Elon Musk told an audience at MIT in October? Will smart machines supersede or even annihilate humankind?

As a cognitive scientist and founder of a new startup that focuses on “machine learning,” I think about these questions nearly every day.

But let’s not panic. “Superintelligent” machines won’t be arriving soon. Computers today are good at narrow tasks carefully engineered by programmers, like balancing checkbooks and landing airplanes, but after five decades of research, they are still weak at anything that looks remotely like genuine human intelligence.

-SNIP-

[Star Traveler]

He’s right ...

[kosciusko51]

Artificial Intelligence Isn’t a Threat—Yet

However, natural stupidity is a threat...

[cripplecreek]

I don’t expect it to be a threat.

[blueunicorn6]

Carbon-based organic creatures......ignore this story. These are tanning bed pods. Climb into one. The sharp thing being inserted into the back of your head is a new form of headphones.

[Elsie]

Artificial Intelligence Isn’t a Threat—Yet

We do well enough with realistic stupidity.

[familyop]

Little did the author know, that the morons would be playing the roles of leaders.

“The Marching Morons”
by Cyril Kornbluth
http://www.gutenberg.ca/ebooks/kornbluthcm-marchingmorons/kornbluthcm-marchingmorons-00-e.html

[Elsie]

“Superintelligent” machines won’t be arriving soon.

http://www.manifestation.com/neurotoys/eliza.php3

[Elsie]

GMTA

[Elsie]

also...

smta

[Born to Conserve]

We used to measure computers against each other. Now we measure computers against humans. In the future, computers will measure themselves against each other — humans will be irrelevant.

[rightwingcrazy]

Just wait til they come up with real intelligence.

[presidio9]

We used to measure computers against each other. Now we measure computers against humans. In the future, computers will measure themselves against each other — humans will be irrelevant.

The North Korea story makes me think that we are not far from a time when nations will use limited AI to hack their enemies more quickly and more efficiently.

[Celtic Conservative]

I’m not worried about artificial intelligence- I’m worried about all natural stupidity.

CC

[TigersEye]

When machines notice that most humans are stupid and a lot of us are insane things will get interesting.

[roadcat]

AI will come someday, but is likely decades away. Problem is, computers are still built that think like they did fifty years ago, in ones and zeros. In other words, binary digital computing. We need analog computing. Ironic, since computers started out as analog computers long ago. With 3D printing of cellular structures, we may see attempts at printing biologic material that mimics the brain and computes as analog. It's a lot tougher for humans to program in more than binary fashion. But it will happen. Original memory cores were donut shaped toroids with sensor wires passing through them. They sensed the voltage spike of multiple wires having current. At a certain voltage that signaled a "one" while below that voltage was considered a "zero". However, various voltages could signal multiple values but the programming was difficult for anyone to master. That's why binary computing took hold and is the norm.

With smarter programmers and biologic materials we may see AI equivalent to human brainpower in a couple decades or more.

[ExCTCitizen]

AI will be a threat... to liberals, since machines will be SMARTER THAN libs.