Posted on 11/19/2014 1:46:44 PM PST by jazusamo
Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) has opened up an 11-point lead over incumbent Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) in their runoff race for Senate, according to a new survey from Republican polling outlet Vox Populi.
The poll finds Cassidy with a 53-42 lead over Landrieu, with 5 percent undecided. That’s up from Cassidy’s 48 to 44 edge in the same poll in October.
Cassidy is crushing Landrieu 58 to 31 among independents in the state. In addition, the poll found that Landrieu’s efforts to pass the Keystone pipeline during the lame duck session may have backfired — 39 percent said it made them more likely to vote for Cassidy, against only 32 percent who said it made them more likely to vote for Landrieu.
Landrieu’s measure to approve the controversial energy project fell one vote short in the Senate on Tuesday. Last week, the House passed a similar measure offered by Cassidy. The two candidates have touted their energy credentials to sway Louisiana voters.
Securing passage of the Keystone measure could have helped Landrieu put space between herself and President Obama, who continues to be a drag on Democrats. Those polled said Obama’s job performance was their greatest concern heading into the runoff, surpassing even the healthcare law, the economy, and jobs.
Sixty-one percent said they disapprove of the job the president is doing with only 38 percent approving.
“Bill Cassidy heads into the Dec. 6 runoff with a huge lead over Senator Mary Landrieu,” Vox Populi Polling spokeswoman Lisa Boothe said in a statement. “Louisiana voters’ disdain for President Obama, coupled with the unpopularity of ObamaCare in the state, could be influential in their decision making as they cast their ballots next month.”
The Vox Populi poll of 761 voters was conducted between Nov. 16 and Nov. 17 and has a 3.5-percenatage point margin of error.
The Landrieu campaign has in the past challenged the results of other push-button polls, most notably when the Cassidy campaign released an internal survey showing him with a 16-point lead over the Louisiana Democrat.
Most of the polling in the race was conducted before Nov. 4, and showed Cassidy leading by about 5 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics average. But the race has tilted away from Landrieu in the runoff period.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee pulled the advertising money it had allocated for the runoff, and Republican groups are now outspending Landrieu on the airwaves in Louisiana.
Landrieu bet big on pulling together a coalition to pass a bill authorizing the Keystone XL pipeline, but fell short. Meanwhile, conservatives have rallied behind Cassidy, with big names turning out at events for him across the state.
With Keystone behind her, Landrieu is now turning her attention back to the campaign trail.
On Saturday, Democratic leaders from Louisiana and some members of Congress, including Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and Rep. Cedric Richmond (D-La.), and Louisiana Democratic Party Chairwoman Karen Carter Peterson will headline events across the state aimed at turning out early Democratic voters.
And musician Stevie Wonder, whom the Landrieu campaign calls a “longtime friend and supporter,” will headline a fundraiser for her on Dec. 1 in New Orleans. Landrieu and Cassidy are scheduled to have their only debate of the runoff cycle that day.
Ok Mary...time to find a new house - this time preferably IN Louisiana. Line up a u-haul...it’s over. Be a gracious loser.
She is going to need a “wide load” sign on that U-haul. It will take two trips to haul her ass.
Last I read, he had a 16 point lead. Is he slipping?
Adieu, Landrieu. Don’t let the door hit you......
Why? DC is her home. She will undoubtedly land a job in some lobbying firm in DC.
I’m sure she’ll wind up as a lobbyist, think tanker, hedge fund groupie, or whatever in the beltway.
She used to be a real estate agent and her husband is a DC real estate guy - well connected with all the usual suspects.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/08/30/mary-landrieu-husband-real-estate_n_3837993.html
Analyst for CNN or MSNBC.
That was an internal poll.
She won't be moving. Bet she stays in DC, lobbyist or the like.
24 hours from now it will be by 77 points.
In the November vote, Landrieu got 42.1%. Cassidy got 41.0%.
The other democrats collectively received a paltry 1.4% of the vote. Assuming she picks up all of that, she’s at 43.5%.
The other republicans on the ballot, led by Tea Party candidate Rob Maness, garnered a hefty 14.8% of the vote. If that all goes to Cassidy, he’s at 55.8% There was also a libertarian who received under 1% of the vote.
But, assuming no major dislocations between the two elections, something like 56-44 seems mathematically reasonable. Add to that the dispiriting effect of the Republican landslide on Election Day, the Gruber revelations and whatever Amnesty provisions our Lord & Master puts forth, there ain’t enough voter fraud this side of Cuba to re-elect her.
“Poll: Cassidy leads Landrieu by 11 points” in a poll done in the basement of the DNC.
Their 10/13 poll had the race at 38-38-10
http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads/files/la_toplines_vox.pdf
LOL! That's a good way to put it.
I love it.
Goodbye Landrieu...We hardly knew you!
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