Posted on 11/03/2014 7:59:40 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
... Quinnipiac University released a poll today showing Ernst and Braley split 47-47 with 4 percent of voters undecided.
...
Also, some might find your suggestion humorous that you were providing them with some sort of “privileged” information — from a publicly posted poll that shows up at RCP, which believe it or not most of the Freepers actually know about, and many have book-marked.
Seven past polls have shown the candidates tied or up by one or two and then a single poll comes along that shows one up by 7? I'd tend to think it's an outlier as well. Ernst has been up more often than Braley so I think she may pull out a narrow win.
The race will be called early for Lt Colonel Ernst. She will be a great addition to the US Senate and is a staunch conservative. Her husband is an Army full colonel.
I think so too. She is a vastly superior candidate.
If the clueless Kay Hagan eaks out a win in NC it will be 100% voter fraud that carries the day. She has voted for Urkel 99% of the time and has been the absolute worst senator in Washington DC since she went on in Urkel’s coattails.
Her husband is a retired Army Command Sergeant Major, according to her own biography.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2110
56% of the Braley voters have already voted
36% of the Ernst voters have.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/early-voting-10-states-compared-2010-26646425
“Iowa... there are more registered Republicans voting early than registered Democrats — 21,200 to 8,500”
Now these two statistics CANNOT both be true.
We’ll see Tuesday.
Let me rephrase that :
Q says 56% of those who have voted voted for Braley and 36% for Ernst.
Yet registered voter who have voted are over two to one Republican.
“Her husband is a retired Army Command Sergeant Major, according to her own biography”
That’s even better! I hope and pray she wins it.
She just “may” pull out a win? You’re not optimistic?
A tie is an outlier too, Ernst is ahead, maybe not by 7 but she is ahead.
Not overly. Not really pessimistic either. We'll see what happens.
I predict Joni wins 53-47
So much for it being an “outlier”, eh? :)
My post on a similar thread.
7 percent, the same margin reported in the Selzer poll. They seem to know what they are doing. Good for the people of Iowa, it’s nice to see the Harkin era come to an end.
52.2-43.7 Not too bad
“I knew the Des Moines Register poll would give a false sense of security, whether that was intended or not.
I warned people that this was not in the bag for Ernst, but no, I get called a concerntroll by trolls here at FR for my efforts in trying to warn people to get out and vote for Ernst.”
Boy were you wrong!
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