Gee whiz; Maybe some of these Pollyannas finally found a dictionary and a spreadsheet tool.
That’s my reaction too.
Most people don’t know what a semi-log plot is used for. It’s used to show the progression of numbers from small to big in a short period of time. If your semi-log plot shows a straight line, it’s exponential.
The WHO reported over 300 new cases in a single reporting period, and for the first time the reporting period only spanned a single calendar day. By Sep 30, we will be at 6000 open cases.
This reflects a global R naught of 1.5. If it turns out we hit 6000 PRIOR to Sep 30, then the global R naught has increased.
The rule, so far, is that the number of open cases is doubling every 30 days. This has been consistent going back to May.
WHO isn’t counting an outbreak in Congo, because it appears to be a ‘mixture’ of Ebola Zaire and Ebola Congo that did the killing. What they haven’t commented on was whether the symptoms developed in the same way they have with Ebola Guinea.
Anyway, no kidding to the journos that finally realize this is off the chain now. Thanks for finally noticing.