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Polling avalanche: GOP leads in eight races for Democrat-held Senate seats
Hot Air ^ | 8 Sep 2014 | Guy Benson

Posted on 09/08/2014 11:48:43 AM PDT by mandaladon

Jim Geragthy, acclaimed author and National Review’s chief campaign analyst, has been grousing about the lack of quality polling in key Senate races this year. His frustration is well-founded. So yesterday must have felt like Christmas in September for Jim and political junkies everywhere, as two pollsters released a deluge of surveys covering the most contested races in the country. In light of the results, I’d expect that national Republicans are kicking off the week with an extra spring in their step, as well. We were leaked an advance copy of last week’s much-anticipated Politico/GWU Battleground poll, which was packed with more than a few hopeful morsels for conservatives. This weekend’s polling volley applies those national trends to roughly a dozen contests across the 2014 Senate landscape — the contours of which I outlined here. An overview of the fresh data:

Alaska: Accurately polling this state is infamously difficult, but the new New York Times/CBS News/YouGov poll shows a stark reversal in the race, with Republican Dan Sullivan now leading incumbent Sen. Mark Begich by six points — 45 to 39, including leaners. The Begich campaign is still reeling from a furious backlash over their desperate TV ad that falsely tied Sullivan to a terrible case involving child rape and a double murder. The family of the victims demanded that Begich pull the ad, with Sullivan slamming the spot for being factually inaccurate. Begich has voted with President Obama 97 percent of the time, according to a Congressional Quarterly analysis.

Arkansas: Three new polls out of this race, one of which Jazz covered yesterday. NBC/Marist finds Republican challenger Tom Cotton leading Sen. Mark Pryor by five points, 45-40, among likely voters. NYT/CBS/YouGov shows Cotton up four (with leaners), 43-39.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Alaska; US: Arkansas; US: Colorado; US: Georgia; US: Iowa; US: Kentucky; US: Louisiana; US: Michigan; US: Montana; US: New Hampshire; US: North Carolina; US: South Dakota; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: alaska; arkansas; billcassidy; brucebraley; chuckgrassley; colorado; corygardner; dansullivan; davidperdue; elections; garypeters; georgia; gop; iowa; jeanneshaheen; jimgeragthy; joniernst; kayhagan; kentucky; louisiana; lundergangrimes; markbegich; markpryor; markudall; marylandrieu; michellenunn; michigan; mitchmcconnell; montana; nationalreview; newhampshire; northcarolina; scottbrown; shelleymoorecapito; southdakota; terrilynnland; thomtillis; tomcotton; westvirginia
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To: AlmaKing

Polling was good, but the cheating was extensive and the election manipulated:

1) Debate moderators (Candy Crowley) giving clear advantage to BHO.

2) IRS intimidating conservative groups.

3) Media totally in the tank as usual.

4) Heavily Democrat urban precincts casting more ballots than the number of registered voters in the precinct.

A lot of hanky panky to say the least.


21 posted on 09/08/2014 12:31:00 PM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: mandaladon

They might.

If they manage to pull off a majority win, it won’t make very much difference if the winners are GOPe/RINO’s etc.

And that’s the way it looks from here.

ECCCCCH!!!


22 posted on 09/08/2014 12:31:04 PM PDT by Peter W. Kessler
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To: Theodore R.

That simply shows you the GOP now is considerably more conservative than it was back then.

Few Lowell Weickers, Jim Jeffords, Olympia Snowes, and Arlen Spectors left anymore.


23 posted on 09/08/2014 12:33:05 PM PDT by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: mandaladon

It’s still early. The GOP still has a good chance of blowing it. All they need is a Todd Akin to step forward, and then they could lose all eight.


24 posted on 09/08/2014 12:35:10 PM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Section 4)
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To: mandaladon

Praying that they won’t, If they do, there will be no chance of securing the borders and stopping the mad one.


25 posted on 09/08/2014 12:37:59 PM PDT by reefdiver (The fool says there is no God. And the bigger fools sees direct evidence and rages against it.)
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To: mandaladon
They should also be leading in Oregon, Minnesota, and Virginia. And they would be if they actually had a coherent message. But they don't.

In Virginia, they have done just about everything they could possibly do to ensure that the Democrat wins. Ed Gillespie? Seriously? That's the best they could come up with?

26 posted on 09/08/2014 12:42:49 PM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Section 4)
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To: mandaladon

The GOPe is attacking ALL conservatives, mocking them,
and again inviting Dems in for the primaries.

Vote conservative and end the GOPe ... or support Obama.


27 posted on 09/08/2014 12:47:46 PM PDT by Diogenesis (The EXEMPT Congress is complicit in the absence of impeachment)
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To: mandaladon

Don’t count your votes before the liberal activist judges do. :)


28 posted on 09/08/2014 12:51:42 PM PDT by Tzimisce
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To: Tzimisce

It’s not who votes that counts.

The rino party is no different from the d-rat party. What will change after the rino party has the senate?

Best we can hope for is stalemate. The r azzholes won’t do anything to help this country.


29 posted on 09/08/2014 12:56:39 PM PDT by bicyclerepair (Barry is but a symptom of the disease that killed this republic. TERM LIMITS ... TERM LIMITS)
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To: mandaladon

The GOP has two mos to muck it all up.


30 posted on 09/08/2014 1:02:10 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose o f a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: C210N
Want to see the jerk RINOs win that stole their primaries (Cochran race, McConnell race...), but then a LOT more conservatives win to keep them relegated to the back benches, as conservatives take of Speaker/Majority-Leadership.

I want to see both Cochran and McConnell lose. By my reckoning, there are more important things at stake than a Republican Majority in the Senate.


31 posted on 09/08/2014 1:06:41 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp (Partus Sequitur Patrem)
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To: mandaladon

I’d vote for anything at all before I’d vote for Obama man Begich. I include Sullivan as “anything at all,” I think he is a RINO. Since he is the Repub nominee, I’ll have to vote for him.


32 posted on 09/08/2014 1:20:53 PM PDT by sasportas
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To: mandaladon

Begich is pulling this “Real Alaskan” crap. He’s desperate, and he should be. Man, I hope Alaskans pull their heads out of their 3rd point of contact and vote that SOB out!


33 posted on 09/08/2014 1:24:39 PM PDT by vpintheak (Keep calm and Fire for Effect!)
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To: mandaladon

The GOPe will find a way to lose, they are professionals at it


34 posted on 09/08/2014 1:25:20 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: mandaladon

The Media has selected Scott Brown for our GOP candidate. There is Hemingway, Rubins, and Smith. I am not voting for Brown and if he wins, I am not voting.


35 posted on 09/08/2014 1:32:41 PM PDT by lucky american (Progressives are attacking our rights and y'all will sit there and take it.)
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To: mandaladon

Better have the legal teams on standby. Surely at least one or two of these races will be very close. And we all know what that will mean. Recount city.

I’d always be wary of judges who order polls in key areas to stay open five extra hours (sure help McCaskill get elected the first time).


36 posted on 09/08/2014 1:45:53 PM PDT by DemforBush (A Repo Man is always intense.)
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To: vpintheak

Begich is pulling this “Real Alaskan” crap.

I’ve noticed that, too. Sad to say, the masses out there fall for such propaganda. Keep the focus on anything but his almost 100% support of Obama.


37 posted on 09/08/2014 2:00:13 PM PDT by sasportas
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To: DiogenesLamp

I can’t wait to vote AGAINST Cochran.


38 posted on 09/08/2014 2:06:12 PM PDT by Sybeck1 (Thad is a thud for me)
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To: lucky american

Yay, Shaheen! We can’t countenance a 70% conservative Senator like Scott Brown, not when there is a 5% conservative alternative in Jeanne Shaheen.


39 posted on 09/08/2014 2:15:05 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: mandaladon

Whatever. If the GOPe holds the Senate, they’ll whine “What can we do without the Presidency?”

If the GOPe then won the Presidency, they’d pass corporate welfare, amnesty and tax increases.


40 posted on 09/08/2014 2:20:50 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (FReerepublic: Bring a FRiend!)
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