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Nate Silver's new Senate forecast could terrify Democrats into action
Yahoo News ^ | 23 Mar 2014 | Mark Sappenfield

Posted on 03/23/2014 5:02:53 PM PDT by mandaladon

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To: okie01

My concern is not that we will have elections in 2016, but that the Dem fraud machine will have reached the point where any (real world) Republican lead of less than 5-7% will guarantee Dem wins.

As long as Republicans rely on the courts to rein in Dem fraud, it will only get worse.


21 posted on 03/23/2014 5:44:27 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s ((If you can remember the 60s.....you weren't really there)
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To: ChildOfThe60s
My concern is not that we will have elections in 2016, but that the Dem fraud machine will have reached the point where any (real world) Republican lead of less than 5-7% will guarantee Dem wins.

Many more states will require photo ID in 2016 than was the case in 2012.

That should be a major step toward controlling election fraud.

22 posted on 03/23/2014 5:56:02 PM PDT by okie01 (The Mainstream Media -- IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
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To: Mich Patriot
Last episode of The Walking Dead, I saw Democrats in the background trying to register them.

The Democrat Party is the American Zombie Party. They go blindly into the voting booth without any ideas of what is going on with taxes.

23 posted on 03/23/2014 6:07:31 PM PDT by ExCTCitizen (I'm ExCTCitizen and I approve this reply. If it does offend Libs, I'm NOT sorry...)
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To: 9422WMR

Here’s hoping that the electoral margins are large that even the RATs manifold methods used to steal elections will be unable deliver.


24 posted on 03/23/2014 6:18:17 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: mandaladon

Attention author Mark Sappenfield:

Democratic pocketbooks
Democratic operatives
Democratic e-mails
Democratic Senatepocalypse
Democratic digital fundraising consultant
and those voters often trend Democratic
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
Democratic campaign operatives

If you’re gonna be a big time jourinalist, you need to learn they are Democrats. There little, if anything democratIC about them.


25 posted on 03/23/2014 6:27:50 PM PDT by upchuck (South Carolina Representative Trey Gowdy for Speaker of the House!!!)
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To: 9422WMR

You know that Missing plane, look for it over the US right before the Election with an EMP or Small nuke. Then the election will be “Delayed until the crises is over”. Sounds like a Clancy book but with Opsycho in off anything is possible.


26 posted on 03/23/2014 7:00:13 PM PDT by crazydad (Obamamohamed is a traitor)
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To: PROCON

“I want the ‘pubs to take the senate and then immediately the House files for Articles of Impeachment, an early Christmas present, donchaknow...”

That won’t happen. You can argue it should but it will not. Taking the Senate does not mean getting the votes to convict and even if convicted think how the media would spin it.

Instead the Republicans, if they get a majority should do three things

1. Tax reform - not just temporary tax breaks but reform the system in a way that the IRS lays off most of its staff. Make it so that the tax code cannot be used for political advantage for ANY party.
For personal taxes:

2. If there are not the votes to override a veto then gut Obamacare by removing funding or making exceptions that apply to anyone. I must give Obama credit. I did not think it was possible to make a worse system than the British National Health system, but he did!

3. Election reform. Federal elections should be free from fraud. Groups, from the left or the right that engage in rigging elections should go to jail. Illegal voting should be suppressed.

4. Enforce immigration laws and make them reciprocal. Treat Mexican or Chinese or French citizens illegally in the US in the same manner that US citizens would be treated in the illegal alien’s county.

If the Republicans can do these things Obama is irrelevant for 2 years. The last thing the left needs is another Martyr. Let the fool retire and give speeches.


27 posted on 03/23/2014 7:15:22 PM PDT by Fai Mao (Genius at Large)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

“My concern is not that we will have elections in 2016, but that the Dem fraud machine will have reached the point where any (real world) Republican lead of less than 5-7% will guarantee Dem wins.”

you’ve nailed it. the demoncrats don’t need to energize their base. may of them are dead, but they still vote in large enough numbers to win elections. republicans don’t seem to have the cojones to challenge the demoncratic fraud that is rife in every election.


28 posted on 03/23/2014 7:16:24 PM PDT by IWONDR
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To: PROCON
I want the ‘pubs to take the senate and then immediately the House files for Articles of Impeachment, an early Christmas present, donchaknow...

Christmas 2015 maybe. The new congress is sworn in in Jan. 2015.

29 posted on 03/23/2014 7:37:20 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (God is not the author of confusion. 1 Cor 13: 33)
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To: PROCON

How many Republican senators do you imagine would vote to convict Obama? Five? Seven?

Any way you look at it, it’s not happening.


30 posted on 03/23/2014 7:39:06 PM PDT by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise. H)
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To: mandaladon

Nate Silver is a partisan hack, a Democrat shill. And even he says the GOP is likely to take over the Senate.


31 posted on 03/23/2014 8:17:01 PM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: SeekAndFind
I remember not long ago when John Zogby was the polling superstar of the late 90’s and early 2000’s until his disastrous prediction of the 2004 race. It remains to be seen how long Nate Silver’s streak will continue...
His math is pretty good. Me, I'll be giving him about 6 more years before I use him as my main indicator. Seasoning. See how those models do over time.
32 posted on 03/23/2014 8:38:53 PM PDT by GAFreedom (Freedom rings in GA!)
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To: GAFreedom

“....President Obama’s convincing victory in 2012.”

I missed that one. He won by a smaller margin than last time against a guy who threw the thing.


33 posted on 03/23/2014 9:02:19 PM PDT by Luke21
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To: mandaladon
That prediction could open Democratic wallets. Nate Silver, the political prognosticator pilloried by Republicans for correctly predicting President Obama's convincing victory in 2012...so when he predicts something Republicans don't like, they pillory him - when he predicts something 'rats don't like, they open their wallets - interesting spin.......
34 posted on 03/23/2014 9:11:46 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: PROCON

Nope. There’s a better chance republicans restore the filibuster rules to what existed before Harry Reid changed them, thus handing libs the weapons to halt a counter-offensive they have little stomach for.


35 posted on 03/23/2014 9:48:02 PM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (A half-truth is a complete lie)
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To: Fai Mao

Obama will not sign one bill into law this is passed by a Republican senate. A Republican controlled senate will not stop him. He will rule by executive order and the congress be damned...


36 posted on 03/24/2014 5:15:37 AM PDT by Russ (Repeal the 17th amendment)
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