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The Latest Look Into Elon Musk's Crystal Ball
fool.com ^ | July 4, 2013 | Daniel Sparks

Posted on 07/04/2013 1:44:55 PM PDT by ckilmer

Elon Musk, the co-founder of PayPal and Tesla Motors (NASDAQ: TSLA ) , and founder of SpaceX, has a keen ability to make good predictions.



Source: Businessweek.

Though not always accurate, many of his predictions are eerily on target -- especially for Tesla. For the most part, Musk has been able to stay on schedule with his original plan for the electric car manufacturer.

Perhaps Tesla's soaring stock price has emboldened Musk's forecasting spirit, because he's made quite a few bold predictions lately. Though they should be taken with a grain of salt, four of his recent predictions are worth pondering, says Fool contributor Daniel Sparks in the video below.

While Tesla is disrupting this auto industry, this stock is changing everything we know about professional networking, taking investors for a ride while it's at it. Watch our jaw-dropping investor alert video today to find out why The Motley Fool's Chief Technology Officer is putting $117,238 of his own money on the table. And why he's so confident this will be a huge winner in 2013 and beyond. Just click here to watch!

Tesla Predictions


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: apple; electriccar; elonmusk; musk; tesla; titan
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1 posted on 07/04/2013 1:44:56 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer

“...Though not always accurate, many of his predictions are eerily on target...”

I stopped right there.


2 posted on 07/04/2013 2:01:52 PM PDT by Carriage Hill (Guns kill people, pencils misspell words, cars drive drunk & spoons make you fat.)
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To: ckilmer
"The Latest Look Into Elon Musk's Crystal Ball"

Wouldn't the information revealed in the "latest look" have already been revealed in an earlier look into Elon Musk's Crystal Ball?

3 posted on 07/04/2013 2:06:46 PM PDT by Steely Tom (If the Constitution can be a living document, I guess a corporation can be a person.)
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To: ckilmer
Though not always accurate, many of his predictions are eerily on target -- especially for Tesla.

"I predicted, if I campaigned for Barack Obama in 2008, he would throw some green boondoggle cash my way...and I was right!"

4 posted on 07/04/2013 3:08:44 PM PDT by montag813 (NO AMNESTY * ENFORCE THE LAW * http://StandWithArizona.com)
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To: ckilmer
Ok, let me get this straight, an uber high end electric car, that will need you to pull into a certain station for a rapid battery change is trading @ $116 / share, and those certain stations aren't everywhere.

Yet the best dang company IMHO on the planet Ford, who has more models and power train options than Telsa ever will have is trading @ $16 / share...

This isn't investment advice folks, please, but flippin' beam me up Scotty, no intelligent investors on this planet...

5 posted on 07/04/2013 4:14:16 PM PDT by taildragger (The E-GOP won't know what hit them, The Party of Reagan is almost here, hang tight folks.....)
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To: taildragger

Man, you got to get into the “green” bubble in the
beginning. It’s how bubbles work.


6 posted on 07/04/2013 4:19:17 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: taildragger

Elon is going to build charging stations all over the US, entirely funded by Tesla monies...whatever that is.

I think he’s full of crap but, when I met him 7 years ago and took a test drive the concept speedster across the parking lot I told him “Kewel! Thanks! Maybe the high end, luxury, exclusive market will work”.

So, now I’m seeing these things everywhere. Got two neighbors who have em and 6 or seven friends who are waiting the Gen 2.


7 posted on 07/04/2013 4:40:21 PM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously, you won't live through it anyway)
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To: ckilmer

“While Tesla is disrupting this auto industry”

NOT

and then I quit reading


8 posted on 07/04/2013 4:41:10 PM PDT by Wuli (qu)
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To: tet68
Man, you got to get into the “green” bubble in the beginning. It’s how bubbles work.

You and I don't do bubbles Tet68, man I don't get it, I need something that works, not a flippin toy. I am still waiting for the magical breakthrough battery that will make these things work and solar power, because it don't shine @ night, and I am glad I didn't hold my breath...

9 posted on 07/04/2013 4:48:58 PM PDT by taildragger (The E-GOP won't know what hit them, The Party of Reagan is almost here, hang tight folks.....)
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To: Wuli

NOT

and then I quit reading
,,,,,,,,,,,,
true, NOT now.


10 posted on 07/04/2013 6:17:31 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer; Vendome; tet68; taildragger; montag813; Steely Tom; carriage_hill; Wuli

imho Elon Musk is the same caliber entrepreneur as Bill Gates or Steve Jobs. He’s already started two successful companies PayPal and SpaceX. If you listen to the video you’ll notice that his strategy is completely correct. Start at the top of the line category, ie rich man’s car and work your way down. Internal combustion engine cars started as a rich man’s toy in the late 19th century before working their way down to the Model T.

Musk is currently working at getting stations to allow him to swap out batteries in 20 minutes anywhere in the USA. He expects to have a midrange 30k car in 4 years. His cousin is in the solar cell business. They’re working at getting batteries cheaper so that solar can store energy cheaply. If they can do that—then solar works and batteries become more ubiquitous and cheap.

His strategy is the correct strategy to make electric cars happen. He has a track record of great execution.

That’s why the stock is so high. Because of Elon Musk.

The reason Apple’s valuation was so high was because of Steve Jobs. Its no coincidence that the stock fell soon after his death.


11 posted on 07/04/2013 6:32:07 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer

http://www.steelesettlement.com/


12 posted on 07/04/2013 6:45:08 PM PDT by utax
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To: ckilmer

That’s what he told me.

LOL

It was at an investor conference and I blew it off.


13 posted on 07/04/2013 7:23:55 PM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously, you won't live through it anyway)
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To: Vendome

I buy the Tesla arguments—but not so much that I would invest in Tesla.


14 posted on 07/04/2013 9:46:36 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer
Coal powered cars? Neat

But isn't Obastard making coal a bad word? Isn't he going to make electricity prohibitively expensive, just as the US is poised to become the world's largest oil producer?

Just another snob mobile for the elite and the foolish.

15 posted on 07/04/2013 9:51:55 PM PDT by Trailerpark Badass (There should be a whole lot more going on than throwing bleach, said one woman.)
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To: Trailerpark Badass

Just another snob mobile for the elite and the foolish.
...........
True for now. Still enough to sell 10,000 cars in 2012. 2013 looks to double that number. These numbers are typical volume of the high end cars like the mercedes. The next big test comes in 4 years when the mid priced model comes out for 30k.


16 posted on 07/04/2013 10:59:56 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer

by the time Musk is ready and able to MASS produce “his kind of car” the majors will have “caught up to” his technology and “mimiced” it, with a ton more capital than he will ever have

everything he is doing, and how he is doing what he is doing is (a) no secret to anyone, and (b) in the R&D tanks of the majors as well


17 posted on 07/05/2013 11:13:23 AM PDT by Wuli (qu)
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To: Wuli

everything he is doing, and how he is doing what he is doing is (a) no secret to anyone, and (b) in the R&D tanks of the majors as well
............
all true.

so why are not the majors already doing what Musk is doing now.

They will at some point have to play catch up. They do have the resources to play catch up. Could be that at just the right time the majors will come out and crush Tesla.

So we shall see.


18 posted on 07/05/2013 1:10:55 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: Wuli

The important thing to note at this point is that Tesla has created a business model and car that is profitable. Something none of the majors have done so far.


19 posted on 07/05/2013 2:28:14 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer

“Something none of the majors have done so far.”

ONLY because the super-rich are not their only market and they are building hundreds of thousands of cars the majority can afford

Being just a single niche, an expensive niche, is always less costly, and more profitable to do.

regardless, like the early car industry, it will be sheer capital that wins out ‘cause in time it can buy or develop any technology it needs to outcompete the smaller blokes


20 posted on 07/05/2013 3:03:25 PM PDT by Wuli (qu)
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