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I wonder what all the "age adjustment is. Also, it reads as if the comparison is from total homicide rates to firearm homicide rates.

Firearm homicide rates is a propaganda metric. I want to see the total homicide rate before and after.

1 posted on 02/15/2013 7:36:29 PM PST by marktwain
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To: marktwain

“Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Policy and Research”

After seeing the source, I don’t need to know anything else. Its like getting an analytical study on economics from the old Soviet Union.


2 posted on 02/15/2013 7:43:04 PM PST by SampleMan (Feral Humans are the refuse of socialism.)
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To: marktwain

Frankly, I don’t even care what the numbers are, because I don’t agree with the premise.

If they want to cut homicide rates in half, they could blind black males at birth. Statistically, that would do the trick. Now is that acceptable? Hell, no.

So eliminating my rights is a not starter, no matter what they claim the benefit will be.


3 posted on 02/15/2013 7:45:54 PM PST by SampleMan (Feral Humans are the refuse of socialism.)
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To: marktwain

The Johns Hopkins gun policy is funded by the Joyce Foundation. All gun grabbing work usually leads to the Joyce Foundation. One of their board members also used to be one Bacrock Hussein Osama.


4 posted on 02/15/2013 7:49:24 PM PST by Darren McCarty (If most people were more than keyboard warriors, we might have won the election)
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To: marktwain

Looks like background check legislation could be passed by congress and become law. My problem with that it could violate some citizen’s 1nd Amendment rights due to errors in the system.

For example there are errors in the “no-fly” database and some law abiding citizens get booted off public airlines flights.

But even more egregious to me is charging a fee for gun licensing, background checks & concealed carry permits. That most certainly will make it difficult for poor people to own guns.


5 posted on 02/15/2013 7:56:56 PM PST by entropy12 (The republic is doomed when people figure out they can get free stuff by voting democrats)
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To: marktwain; All

There was a jump in the overall murder rate in 2008. The murder rates from 2004 to 2011 are as follows: 6.15, 6.95, 6.30, 6.55, 7.65 (2008), 6.46, 7.00, 6.09(2011).

Interestingly, there were large increases in the murder rate right after the 1968 national gun law was passed, prohibiting sales across state lines:

1966, 5.42, 1967 7.32, 1968 8.81, 1969 10.41, 1970 10.66.

So it appears that the 1968 national gun control program pushed up homicide rates much more than a repeal of background checks might have in 2007-2008.

Too many factors to really consider, but this will be a talking point to try to push for universal gun registration.


6 posted on 02/15/2013 8:02:28 PM PST by marktwain (The MSM must die for the Republic to live. Long live the new media!)
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To: marktwain; All

Here are Missori crime rates, 1960 - 2011:

http://www.disastercenter.com/crime/mocrimn.htm


7 posted on 02/15/2013 8:04:41 PM PST by marktwain (The MSM must die for the Republic to live. Long live the new media!)
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To: marktwain
"...found that strict guidelines may actually reduce gun-related homicides."

"...law’s repeal may have translated into increases"

Looks inconclusive to me. Not good to make a law based on inconclusive data.

9 posted on 02/15/2013 8:09:44 PM PST by BattleFlag (The right to self defense, one without which none others matter)
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To: marktwain

Has anyone else noticed the seemingly escalation in violent multi victim gun related murders since obama took office? I would like to see a graph. You can’t watch the news anymore without multimurders involving guns being reported. Either they are being orchestrated on some human level, or it is because of the vast empowerment of satanic forces let loose on society through obama’s influence.


11 posted on 02/15/2013 8:20:52 PM PST by Bellflower (The LORD is Holy, separated from all sin, perfect, righteous, high and lifted up.)
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To: marktwain

Lie. The source proves it’s a lie.


14 posted on 02/15/2013 8:41:21 PM PST by ozzymandus
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To: marktwain
“From 1999 through 2007, Missouri’s age-adjusted homicide rate was relatively stable, fluctuating around a mean of 4.66 per 100,000 population per year. In 2008, the first full year after the permit-to-purchase licensing law was repealed, the age-adjusted firearm homicide rate in Missouri increased sharply to 6.23 per 100,000 population, a 34 percent increase. For the post-repeal period of 2008-2010, the mean annual age-adjusted firearm homicide rate was 5.82, 25 percent above the pre-repeal mean.”

Let's see, 4.66 per 100,000 goes to 6.23 per 100,000 which is an increase of less than 2 per 100,000. Without knowing the standard deviation of the "relatively stable" 4.66 rate it is difficult to judge but given that even that "spike" fell back to a ten year average increase of 1.2 per 100,000 I'd say that was statistically insignificant.

Regards,
GtG

16 posted on 02/15/2013 9:30:38 PM PST by Gandalf_The_Gray (I live in my own little world, I like it 'cuz they know me here.)
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To: marktwain

It changed in one year because the state background check law was repealed? BS! All FFLs still had to comply with FedMob NICs checks. No supporting data to reach any such conclusion given in the article. Pure propaganda.


17 posted on 02/15/2013 9:40:20 PM PST by TigersEye (The irresponsible should not be leading the responsible.)
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To: marktwain

If there’s a problem, I suspect it would be with the “unlicensed dealers.” Whatever that is.


18 posted on 02/15/2013 10:26:38 PM PST by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: marktwain

You can’t win these types of political arguments with statistics. For one thing, they are overused. For another, each side has their statistics and both believe the other is wrong. It just comes down to each faction quoting “facts” without either side changing many minds.

It comes down to this: we have a contract with the federal government called the US Constitution. The 2nd Amendment restrains government from infringing on the right to own and use guns. Don’t believe in guns? Don’t own them. Like guns? Buy whatever you want.

The President of the United States, Congress, and judges cannot legally or morally take away 2nd Amendment rights. Anyone who wants to go beyond their personal choice to bear arms (or not) and force their will on others is required to first amend the US Constitution. That’s how it was designed to work. Don’t want your neighbor to have guns? Amend the constitution, then we can talk.

So I don’t really care if universal background checks decrease or increase murders by some measureable amount. Maybe murders would be cut in half by universal background checks. That might be a good selling point for a constitutional amendment, but it isn’t justification by itself to ignore the law of the land, the US Constitution.


19 posted on 02/15/2013 11:32:40 PM PST by CitizenUSA (Why celebrate evil? Evil is easy. Good is the goal worth striving for.)
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To: marktwain
Here is the breakdown I want to see.

Crimes committed by Obama Loving Liberal Voters versus Crimes committed by Constitution Loving Conservative Voters.

20 posted on 02/16/2013 12:34:46 AM PST by Kickass Conservative (I only Fear a Government that doesn't Fear me.)
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To: marktwain

Surprisingly not considered a sharp increase.


21 posted on 02/16/2013 12:38:43 AM PST by Gene Eric (The Palin Doctrine.)
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To: marktwain

Very bogus assumption without indicating the source of guns. I doubt they were legally purchased and immediately used to murder someone. Study also fails to note impact of economic downturn. This is pure BS. As Mark Twain said: “There are lies,damned lies, and statistics.”


24 posted on 02/16/2013 5:26:09 AM PST by Boomer One
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To: marktwain

But the fact that national homicide rates have plummeted since the advent of shall-issue CCW means nothing.


27 posted on 02/16/2013 8:42:07 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("Somebody has to be courageous enough to stand up to the bullies." --Dr. Ben Carson)
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