Posted on 11/04/2012 2:02:44 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
Michael Barone, a senior political analyst for the Washington Examiner and co-author of the Almanac of American Politics, goes out on a limb and predicts victory for Mitt Romney – by a margin of nearly 100 electoral votes.
Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That's bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.
But it's also true that most voters oppose Obama's major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery -- Friday's jobs report showed an unemployment uptick.
Also, both national and target state polls show that independents, voters who don't identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans, break for Romney.
That might not matter if Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 39 to 32 percent, as they did in the 2008 exit poll. But just about every indicator suggests that Republicans are more enthusiastic about voting -- and about their candidate -- than they were in 2008, and Democrats are less so…
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.
In Barone’s estimation, Romney essentially sweeps the swing states, with the exception of Nevada, and even picks up Pennsylvania.
Michael’s views have drifted rightward over the years and he's become a prominent conservative voice,
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
I think I had it at 330 Romney. Will recalc tomorrow.
I just share. I typically don’t do Editorials.
I think certain entities are trying to discredit FR.
I don’t trust many of the Pollsters!
LOL! (I knew that one was coming, after I posted it.)
The End of Our National Tragedy? Romney Takes Lead in Final Rasmussen Poll ( Gallup also)
BTTT
Deficits of over a TRILLION dollars a year, stagnant wages, assaults on religion and the private sector, nationalization of the healthcare industry, and yet the demented communist in the White House still has the vote of 48-50% of the US population and might still win.
What that means is that this Republic will fall, but not before the Washingtonians rob every last dime from working Americans
The Republican Party is nothing more than a bunch of degenerate blue blood banker country clubbers who waged war against the sons of the Founders in 1861 and murdered the Republic via imposition of Universal Suffrage via Constitutional Amendment.
They have since conspired with the communist faction of their fellow Washingtonians to make slaves of the working man outside of DC, under penalty of imprisonment via the IRS and the DOJ.
The Washingtonians have got it figured out, and basically fight every 4 years over control of the cash extorted from the working class.
The RNC and their greedy pulled back wives aren’t much different than the DNC commies, it’s all a scam.
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