Mass Senate: Brown 49 Warren 47

Weekly Standard ^ | 11/2/12

[NoobRep]

In the second poll released this week, Republican Scott Brown has a two-point lead over Democrat Elizabeth Warren in the Massachusetts Senate race. A new poll from Kimball Political Consulting, a firm based in Massachusetts affiliated with the GOP, finds 49 percent support Brown while 47 percent support Warren. A Boston Globe poll released on Monday also showed a two-point lead for Brown, 45 percent to 43 percent.

[NoobRep]

GOP poll but goes along with the Boston Globe.

[Col Frank Slade]

It will be really, really funny if Brown wins in MA & McMahon wins in CT.

Dreaming ............

[JRandomFreeper]

Dewey beats Truman. I don't think much of electoral predictions.

/johnny

[FlingWingFlyer]

America is truly a nation divided. Those who give and those who take. Amazing. If the ‘RATS win next week, AMNESTY will become a reality and Americans will be overwhelmed by the takers.

[dfwgator]

Brown is trying to lose it by praising Lurch.

[Signalman]

When I look into the eyes of Warren, I see...a Happy Meal short of a few fries.

[Alistair Stratford IV]

As a life long resident of Massachusetts, I say this with complete confidence....Brown will win by 3-4 points...bank on it.

[Col Frank Slade]

I hope you are right, she seems like a complete Commie airhead.

[MAKOTHEDOG]

Excellent!!

[Parley Baer]

“As a life long resident of Massachusetts, I say this with complete confidence....Brown will win by 3-4 points...bank on it.”

I sure hope so. I would hate to see Harry Reid back in charge of the Senate.

[KC_Conspirator]

How so? I know little about MA. I do know that that fake squaw would make an atrocious senator.

[JediJones]

That would break the Dick Morris rule that says an incumbent doesn’t get the undecided vote and Brown is currently under 50% in the polls. Maybe the rule is mitigated since Brown has had a shorter tenure in office?

[NeverForgetBataan]

Of ALL the Senate races- a win on this one would be the MOST
delicious. ...even though Brown is a squish.

Warren is just vile.

[SunkenCiv]

This looks right, and remember, Massachusetts probably has above-average voter turnout.

IOW, Zero may carry the state — then again he may not, Romney’s won there too — but if he does, and Fauxahontas still loses, it’ll have serious repercussions in the state Demagogic Party. It will probably get pretty ugly. Pass the popcorn.

Thanks NoobRep.

[Lady Heron]

How does brown win in Mass. and Romney not?

The only presidential candidate not to win his home state was Gore...and they think Romney will not???

[Alistair Stratford IV]

Yep....hand picked by the Washington Socialist powerbrokers, they've dumped $40 million into the race. One of the worst candidates I have ever seen or heard, Pathological liar and complete communist.

I challenge you to try to listen to her speak for more then 3 minutes without ripping your ears off...

[muawiyah]

With the polling response rates down to 9% or less, small organized sectors of the population can appear to be 11 times more numerous than they really are.

Gallup may have found one such group ~ GBLT, or the homosexual lobby. They reported recently that it's their estimate that the GBLT are about 3.5% of the total population, or at least that 3.5% of total respondents to their polls are of that political persuasion.

That's probably 11 times their actual representation, but never mind, let's move on to how they get to be 3.5%, and what does that mean for Brown and Warren.

We know that in Massachusetts all those guys are Democrats. So, out of the 100% of the population the pollster suggests his polling numbers represent, there are 49% supporting Brown, 47% supporting Warren, and 3.5% GBLT supporting somebody? How about this, they're supporting Warren and are part of that 47%.

Stripping the overcounted GBLTs out of the results, that'd be Brown with 49%, and Warren with 43.5% ~ and another half percent scattered here and there.

That's a pretty good lead for Brown ~ A LANDSLIDE

There's not enough unaccountable numbers for Warren to pull out a surprise victory ~ total toast city!

[ConservativeInPA]

We have to hold on to this RINO. Brown is better than the alternative.

[Alistair Stratford IV]

There are a lot of conservative towns and cities in Mass outside of Boston...check out the map at the link for results of the 2010 race.....http://www.boston.com/news/special/politics/2010/senate/results.html

[Alistair Stratford IV]

That would break the Dick Morris rule that says an incumbent doesn’t get the undecided vote and Brown is currently under 50% in the polls. Maybe the rule is mitigated since Brown has had a shorter tenure in office?

I think that is a factor.