Skip to comments.Politico/GWU/Battleground Poll - O49/R48 w/leaners (BRIT HUME WAS WRONG!)
Posted on 10/28/2012 11:21:51 PM PDT by profit_guy
On Fox News Sunday, Brit Hume said the poll would show Romney +5. He was very wrong.
(Excerpt) Read more at images.politico.com ...
Yes that is the poll, and several people on here were talking about it today. It is a poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (Ed Goeas) and Lake Partners (Celinda Lake) and is called the Battleground poll (Politico/GWU/Battleground Poll).
Obviously the article/interview below with Ed Goeas is wrong - regarding Romney by 5 points.
I never trusted anything from politico
Uh, how so? Goeas said the polls are currently "tight" but he wouldn't be surprised if Romney ended up winning by 5 points. Think. Battleground has one more poll to go. Goeas may take a look at his poll internals showing only 46% want to re-elect Obama (question 6), and allocate all of the undecideds to Romney.
You should never trust anything from Politico.
You have good insticts
This poll was from 10/22-10/25. Brit was no doubt talking about the next poll coming out.
I hate to disagree with you that half the country is moronic.
Obama has a lock on union members (85-15), lazy non-union government workers (65-35) (I worked for the government for 12 years so I have inside knowledge of lazy workers), people collecting unemployment, disability, rent subsidies, heat subsidies, food stamps, free language translators, Obama cell phones, free condoms & contraception pills, aid to dependent children, teachers (80-20), trial lawyers etc etc etc.
When you add all of above, it is half of the country.
From Twitter (2 hrs ago):
Michael Wilt @michaelpwilt @NumbersMuncher The Battleground poll is actually posted.
NumbersMuncher @NumbersMuncher @michaelpwilt That's definitely not the R+5 Brit Hume mentioned...
The scorecard for the polling agencies I posted #27 only applies to the National vote, not state polling.
“The pollsters were graded on both the accuracy of their final poll (popular vote) and the consistency of their polling during the month of October.”
“This poll was from 10/22-10/25. Brit was no doubt talking about the next poll coming out.”
Brit Hume specifically said “the Battleground poll coming out tomorrow” - which is today
This poll is a forgery. There are some glaring errors between this release and the release on the 22nd. Pair them side by side and you can see that someone it’s pulling a fast one. Hard to see at first. There is data missing, changed and different font types, and disclosure agreements that are missing from the 29th poll. It’s very easy to redirect a URL that you or I can’t see. the politico poll comes out at 5 am
It looks to be a forgery. No link on the politicos website matches this
And why should anyone care what Britt Hume had to say?
“I’m sorry, but this poll is run by wanna-be amateurs.”
What a foolish, foolish thing to say. These guys are HIGHLY respected Republican pollsters. Karl Rove speaks very highly of them too. In fact they do internal polling for many Republicans:
1996? Are you kidding?
Where in that interview with Ed Goeas does he say that this poll would come in at Romney +5?
Again. Goeas said the race was currently “tight”, but he was expecting a Romney win by 5 points.
Obama's approval numbers are going down, not up.
“And why should anyone care what Britt Hume had to say?”
Because Brit Hume is on our side and was sitting across the table this morning on FNS from Karl Rove, Joe Trippi, Chris Wallace and Juan Williams.
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