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Gallup: 2012 Electorate more Republican than 2004
Mike Flynn, Breitbart.com via Fox ^ | October 26, 2012 | Mike Flynn

Posted on 10/27/2012 9:56:44 AM PDT by GonzoII

In 2008, 54% of likely voters identified as Democrat or lean Democrat. 42% of likely voters identified as GOP or lean GOP. In other words, the electorate, including independents who lean towards a particular party, was D+12. This year, however, the Democrat advantage has disappeared. 49% of likely voters today identify as GOP or lean GOP. Just 46% of likely voters are or lean towards the Democrats. This is a 15-point swing towards the GOP from 2008 to an outright +3 advantage for the GOP. By comparison, in 2004, when Bush won reelection, the electorate was evenly split, with each party getting support from 48% of likely voters.

If these numbers are within even a few points of what this survey suggests, then Romney will win decisively and the GOP will pick up the Senate. We are likely standing on the edge of another GOP wave election.

(Excerpt) Read more at nation.foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup; romney2012; trends
"We are likely standing on the edge of another GOP wave election. "

I keep thinking 2010 was not that far back... I say Romney 55+..I pray we get the Senate!

1 posted on 10/27/2012 9:56:50 AM PDT by GonzoII
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To: GonzoII

I pray it be so


2 posted on 10/27/2012 9:59:00 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: GonzoII
Romney's PAC should remind people--the issues of 2010 are still out there and within spitting distance of being resolved if everyone holds the course.
3 posted on 10/27/2012 10:01:02 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: GonzoII

Praying without ceasing.


4 posted on 10/27/2012 10:04:38 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty ( For AMERICA's sake: Vote for the Mormon, NOT the muslim; The Capitalist, NOT the Communist! FUBO!)
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To: GonzoII

Obozo’s performance is destroying his party!


5 posted on 10/27/2012 10:06:20 AM PDT by tlp2001 (Capitalism is based on human strength, communism is based on human weakness)
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To: tlp2001
Just MHO, but I also believe there will be a fair number of people who still self-identify as a Democrat, but will either pull the lever for Romney or vote "present" on the Presidential race.
6 posted on 10/27/2012 10:09:36 AM PDT by Mygirlsmom (Zer0 Fiddled While Tyrone Burned. Impeachment NOW! !!)
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To: tlp2001
The Gallup survey suggests that voter turnout among Obama's biggest supporters, i.e. minorities and young voters, will generally match 2008 levels.

Not buying that. No way are the yutes going to turn out for Obama this year like they did in 2008.
7 posted on 10/27/2012 10:10:39 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: GonzoII
I say Romney 55+..I pray we get the Senate!

We must have the Senate. Even if RR are in WH Harry Reid can still stop everything. If Senate is tied, perhaps Leiberman can be persuaded to pull a "Jeffords"?
8 posted on 10/27/2012 10:16:40 AM PDT by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: Signalman

Yes. All the numbers show that voter enthusiasm among the youth is way off.


9 posted on 10/27/2012 10:16:40 AM PDT by tlp2001 (Capitalism is based on human strength, communism is based on human weakness)
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To: tlp2001

There is no ‘Democrat’ party. 0bama, Pelosi and Reid have transformed the party into the Socialist party. This irks me no end; That they STILL call themselves Democrats! THEY AREN’T. I wish they’d STOP HIDING BEHIND THAT BOGUS LABEL.


10 posted on 10/27/2012 10:17:04 AM PDT by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: Signalman

I agree. Without early voting and absentee voting hardly ANYONE would show up for 0bama on election day and wait in line to vote for that scumbag.


11 posted on 10/27/2012 10:19:23 AM PDT by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: GonzoII

10 more days!!! 10 more days!!!


12 posted on 10/27/2012 10:20:19 AM PDT by tlp2001 (Capitalism is based on human strength, communism is based on human weakness)
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To: Cheerio

If Romney gets anything north of 51%, we’ll have the Senate.

I’m expecting Romney to hit 53%, and I’ll go with a 55 seat majority for the GOP Senate.

That should undue some socialism.


13 posted on 10/27/2012 10:22:21 AM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: Cheerio
If Senate is tied, perhaps Leiberman can be persuaded to pull a "Jeffords"?

Lieberman is not running for re-election.

The most likely candidate to abandon the Democrat party would be Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV).

14 posted on 10/27/2012 10:22:40 AM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America

Well said! These corrupt aholes and their radical agenda are the reason there is total gridlock in Washington.


15 posted on 10/27/2012 10:24:54 AM PDT by tlp2001 (Capitalism is based on human strength, communism is based on human weakness)
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To: Cheerio
We must have the Senate. Even if RR are in WH Harry Reid can still stop everything. If Senate is tied, perhaps Leiberman can be persuaded to pull a "Jeffords"?

If the Senate is tied and Romney wins, Ryan becomes the tie-breaker as President of the Senate.

16 posted on 10/27/2012 10:32:44 AM PDT by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: Senator Goldwater

The one thing that I think will make this thing tighter than everyone is hoping is the “entitlement” crowd thinking they will lose their welfare checks, food stamps, Obama phones, etc. under a Romney administration. Add that to historic fraud, and I am afraid this thing is going to be a nail biter.


17 posted on 10/27/2012 10:34:38 AM PDT by catfish1957 (My dream for hope and change is to see the punk POTUS in prison for treason)
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To: GonzoII

My swag at the overall vote has been 55% Romney and 40% O with 5% going to 3rd parties. No meat behind the swag but gut feelings and wishful thinking maybe because I do not want a close race, it needs to be define so that there are no mixed messages or open doors to angst. We will know for sure in about 10 days and a few hours...


18 posted on 10/27/2012 10:37:30 AM PDT by jafojeffsurf (Return to the Constitution)
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To: GonzoII
I say Romney 55+..I pray we get the Senate!

Maybe he'll take all 57 states.

19 posted on 10/27/2012 10:37:55 AM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: Mygirlsmom
Just MHO, but I also believe there will be a fair number of people who still self-identify as a Democrat, but will either pull the lever for Romney or vote "present" on the Presidential race.

Indeed, looking at the internals of the most recent poll done here in Oregon, of the republican undecideds 40% said they would ultimately vote for Romney if they had to choose someone right now, while 60% remained uncommitted or would pick someone other than Romney or Obama. ZERO % said they would vote for Obama. When they asked the undecided democrats the same question, Romney and Obama BOTH got 21% of that vote, while the other 58% remained uncommitted or would pick someone else.

This would seem to indicate that, yes, many democrats will ultimately decide to vote for Romney, and that the undecideds will break heavily for Romney.
20 posted on 10/27/2012 10:41:05 AM PDT by GLDNGUN
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To: tlp2001

“Yes. All the numbers show that voter enthusiasm among the youth is way off.”

They want lives and careers too. They are getting tired of their parent’s basement and attic rooms. Some will have been permanently enlightened during this dark period. They will become more cautions and liberty oriented for life, both skeptical and fearful of statist overreaching. This depression will have alienated them from the Democrats for life. The Geriatric Old Plotters ought not be too smug about it though. Kinder, gentler compassionate statist left stances are not very appealing either.

The bottom line though, this Reid-Pelosi-Obama Democrat party will have permanently alienated many younger people, and probably the majority of those with any savvy or sophistication.


21 posted on 10/27/2012 10:42:15 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (Voodoo Republicans. Don't read their lips. Watch their hands.)
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To: jafojeffsurf

I will be enormously surprised if the third party vote exceeds more than 2% in any but the deepest blue or red states, and possibly not even there. In my county, most elections I see a huge number of “green” or “libertarian” noises. This year it is hard to find any presence of those.


22 posted on 10/27/2012 11:26:13 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: hinckley buzzard

Absolutely.

There is still much gold to be mined in the hills of 2010.

I was just at my local TP elected Congresscritter. The same people are in there right now working the phones, while I was picking up signs, and arranging my schedule with them.


23 posted on 10/27/2012 11:28:07 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: Psalm 144

In addition to your observations, I believe that any young woman who sees that ‘make love with -bama by voting for him’ campaign ad more than a couple times is very likely to vote against him.

I wish I were versed in video production and could rapidly put together a counter-ad along the lines of “the first time didn’t turn out to be so hot for me”, associating it with -bama’s failure. Unfortunately, many of these youngsters know that for a fact themselves. Such an ad could be a devastating counter.


24 posted on 10/27/2012 11:51:59 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: GonzoII

Just off the phone with my sister in Miami. She tried to early-vote but the line was astronomical and she wasn’t even able to park. She then drove around the Coral Gables neighborhoods and saw an ocean of Romney signs, completely the opposite of 2008. Get ready for a landslide!!


25 posted on 10/27/2012 12:24:14 PM PDT by Factfinder
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To: GonzoII

Though it seems like a hundred years ago it wasn’t.

Has ANYTHING made people more likely to vote Democrat than in 2010? Anything?

This is why I have been saying a landslide is coming as in 2010.

Is the ANYTHING which could stop you from voting short of death or hospitalization?


26 posted on 10/27/2012 12:26:54 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: okie01

Maybe Pryor from Arkansas or Landreau from Louisiana. Heck, one of the Maine girls might even turn Republican.


27 posted on 10/27/2012 12:29:16 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: GonzoII

Things have definitely been trending Romney’s way the last two weeks. His chances of winning are raising with each day. I do think to the polls are very fluid now due to the economy but most recently due to the Libya scandal that has more damaging revelations with each passing day.

I think that Romney will likely win but I would not rule out a landslide. A landslide against anything Obama is possible given how things are going.

Having written that, I urge all of you to continue to pray, volunteer, donate and pray!!


28 posted on 10/27/2012 12:44:00 PM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: CA Conservative

Actually, since the Senate organizes itself in early January, prior to the Presidental inauguration, the lame duck Joe Biden would get to be the tie breaker.


29 posted on 10/27/2012 12:53:56 PM PDT by reg45 (Barack 0bama: Implementing class warfare by having no class.)
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To: GonzoII

if we win this election then it should go down as the greatest victory in modern history.

We have had to fight the media and the street thugs machine, the massive name calling and immature acting.

People are now saying screw you media , sadly there are still millions out there who thinks the media does tell the truth or they;re just plain stupid and trust me I;ve met obama voters and talked to them and they have no idea what he stands for.


30 posted on 10/27/2012 1:53:44 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: Factfinder

It is hard to tell you how excited that I am to hear your report of the FL voting enthusiasm. Must pray harder...


31 posted on 10/27/2012 1:54:41 PM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: GonzoII
I predict that Romney wins with around 330-350 electoral votes.

Afterwards, put out this full buffet spread:

Because we're going to need it watching the Left pointing fingers at why Obama lost.

32 posted on 10/27/2012 1:56:41 PM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: catfish1957

only two obama yard signs in my county from what I have seen.
One is at a run down trailer park and the other is at a rented small house who is being rented ot a family from NY and have just moved in the summer, their two daughters are always in trouble at school, they are on welfare, free breakfast, lunch , food stamps and we know this because the youngest girl is always telling other kids proudly how her family does not pay for food.
Course it also might because of color because the older daughter was heard by one of my sons saying”oabma is one of us he;s a brother and we;ll defend him”


33 posted on 10/27/2012 1:58:46 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: AFPhys

2%, Well that would be good but I do know several people that are most likely going to do such, vote 3rd party, who know what they will really do but that is the noise they are making and I have no doubt they will vote. Never the less 2% would be good because O would not get any of those other 3% of votes I would think. (that 3% is what is left from the 5% I was guessing would vote 3rd party).


34 posted on 10/27/2012 2:16:50 PM PDT by jafojeffsurf (Return to the Constitution)
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To: RayChuang88

Nice upgrade from the usual popcorn!


35 posted on 10/27/2012 2:24:26 PM PDT by Psalm 144 (Voodoo Republicans. Don't read their lips. Watch their hands.)
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To: GonzoII

i may get flamed for this - but i am more pumped for Romney Ryan than any election in my lifetime. I am 37 and have been voting since Bob Dole ran in 1996 which was my first vote.

Romney Ryan to me is the best ticket we have fielded yet in terms of sheer competency presentation and intelligence.

Could W, McCain, Dole, GHWB, have utterly immasculated Obama like Romney did and has so far? NO!!!!

LETS ROLL!!!!


36 posted on 10/27/2012 2:37:51 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: The Sons of Liberty

Me too. I have gone from ABO to Pro-RR. They need our prayers.

We need to rid ourselves of this communist filth and make the hard choices to get back on track


37 posted on 10/27/2012 2:45:26 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Cheerio
If Senate is tied, perhaps Leiberman can be persuaded to pull a "Jeffords"?

Lieberman is retiring, it's his seat that McMahon is battling for.

38 posted on 10/27/2012 2:47:26 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
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To: manc

I am as masculine, testosterone driven, as filled with rage anger and disgust w obama as anyone, but if we win this, i want a huge Free Republic GROUP HUG!!!!!

These last 4 years have been HELL!


39 posted on 10/27/2012 2:51:25 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GonzoII
Based on the spread that RR have with white voters (20-23% in pretty much every poll), I've plotted previous data from the amount the GOP candidate has won the white vote versus their amount of the popular vote, and extrapolated that Romney will get right at 55% of the PV. I'd give him 300 EV as his basement.
40 posted on 10/27/2012 3:06:51 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
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To: GonzoII
Based on the spread that RR have with white voters (20-23% in pretty much every poll), I've plotted previous data from the amount the GOP candidate has won the white vote versus their amount of the popular vote, and extrapolated that Romney will get right at 55% of the PV. I'd give him 300 EV as his basement.
41 posted on 10/27/2012 3:07:08 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
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To: GlockThe Vote

got that right.

If we get this it will go down in the histyory books, we fought the most corrupt admin, the most biased media and a large part of a population who were to dumb to understand that they are supporting socialism, wanted their food stamps as if their lived depended on it and part of a population which voted on color and yet were against the homosexual agenda.


42 posted on 10/27/2012 5:57:14 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: GlockThe Vote
"Could W, McCain, Dole, GHWB, have utterly immasculated Obama like Romney did and has so far? NO!!!!

Maybe not.....but all you're really saying with comparison is that he's the tallest midget. Talk about damning with faint praise! Hank

43 posted on 10/27/2012 6:40:34 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball (Myth Romney is a vile Fabian Socialist - his opponent is infinitely worse. How did it come to this?)
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To: County Agent Hank Kimball

What I am saying is that Romney has done mostly likely what the others could not have.


44 posted on 10/27/2012 6:47:28 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Don Corleone
"Maybe he'll take all 57 states. "

I didn't want to sound overconfident lest we get complacent!!

But go ahead and throw Ca. and Minn. in there and we'll have that big "57" sweep....;0)

45 posted on 10/27/2012 11:38:36 PM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
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To: Cheerio

Lieberman won’t be in the Senate in 2013; he did not run in 2012.


46 posted on 10/28/2012 7:09:36 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Annoy the Establishment! Vote for Akin!)
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To: arrogantsob

Pryor and Landrieu are from historically Democrat families and as loyal to “democracy” as Obama himself.


47 posted on 10/28/2012 7:11:04 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Annoy the Establishment! Vote for Akin!)
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To: Theodore R.; Yashcheritsiy; CA Conservative; okie01
For someone that follows politics on a daily basis, I am not sure how I missed the fact Lieberman was retiring. Maybe because living in AZ I don't watch what is happening on the east coast.

Sorry for the ignorant remark.
48 posted on 10/28/2012 8:41:22 AM PDT by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: Theodore R.

I don’t know when Mary is up again but Pryor is also a survivor. I can’t quite work out the logistics of a switch by him but he will be desperate to paint himself as a moderate.


49 posted on 10/28/2012 7:21:00 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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