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To: GLDNGUN

With those internals how does Romney NOT win Wisconsin?


2 posted on 10/26/2012 9:04:06 AM PDT by GLDNGUN
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To: GLDNGUN

I hope the voters in Milwaukee (little Chicago) and Madison (liberal U. of Wisconsin) woke up!


3 posted on 10/26/2012 9:05:51 AM PDT by sarasota
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To: GLDNGUN
Pardon the CAPITAL LETTERS I'm rushing and just copying in an email I sent to friends, also rushed, once I turned on caps I just said the hell with it.

******

You know how we have 'likely voter" screens? Well Rasmussen asks likely voters, "are you CERTAIN" to vote …

Take a look at this stat from his Wisconsin Poll.

"Ninety-six percent (96%) of Badger State voters say they are sure to vote in this election. Romney leads 51% to 47% among these voters."

ASK YOURSELF THIS: IF 96% OF LIKELY VOTERS ARE CERTAIN TO VOTE, AND THE LIKELY VOTE IS TIED AT 49% …

AND THE RESULT IS CERTAIN VOTERS WILL VOTE 51%R TO 47%O? THAT'S 4 POINTS.

WITH ONLY A SLIGHT ROUND, THAT MEANS 100% OF NOT-CERTAIN VOTERS ARE OBAMA VOTERS, and we know Obama voters are going to "not turn out" at a rate of some percentage.

Be conservative and knock the 4% down to 2%, and Romney's up by 2 in Wisconsin.

(none of that takes into consideration that the polls are lagging the reality, and whatever state level skew Ras is using - we know as of today that national skew is now D+6 for Ras - sounds like he and Gallup agreed to comprimise.)

11 posted on 10/26/2012 9:15:03 AM PDT by HannibalHamlinJr
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