With those internals how does Romney NOT win Wisconsin?
Is it too late to get a bunch of lardassed female teachers and weedy hippie male teachers to bus in for a protest?
Mitt opening up multiple paths to victory without Ohio. This is good news.
And a WI win makes Ohio non-essential.
Wisconsin is one state we undeniably have a superior GOTV apparatus. Our VP is from there and has his district team. The RNC chair is from WI, and got the job due to his WI strategy, and the whole recall debacle of the past 2 years built all the lists and organization for it. I think we win Wisconsin.
Bear in mind, that since Obama was elected:
- Progressive darling Sen. Russ Feingold was tossed out of office
- Scott Walker was elected and confirmed again by an even larger margin in the highly contentious recall following passage of ACT 10
- Republicans took control of the state legislature
- Conservative SC Justice David Prosser won (despite massive fraud)
- The competitor to Tommy Thompson for the dairy queens Senate seat is a radical progressive lesbian
- The Republican VP candidate is a well-liked brilliant conservative leader from Wisconsin
- Wisconsin democrats killed 600 badly-needed union jobs in the taconite mine deal and major employers such as Kimberley Clark and Oshkosh have announced major layoffs in recent days.
Given all the above, the only question I have is why Obama-Biden is not trailing by at least 10 points.
So Romney leads by 4 points amoung certain to vote and those who have made up their mind...and is at 49% overall. The only way Obama wins WI is if NONE of his supporters change their mind and they ALL decide to show up at the polls after indicating they may not...
R/R wins Wisconsin. Romney is a freakin genius - I remember people saying picking Ryan was stupid because he should have picked someone from a swing state. Romney had the foresight to realize Wisconsin WOULD be a swing state, and I bet Ryan is what pushes him over the top there.
>>Ninety-six percent (96%) of Badger State voters say they are sure to vote in this election. Romney leads 51% to 47% among these voters. <<
This has got to be wrong as written. First, it’s hard to believe that 96% of registered voters will vote. That would be a huge turnout.
Second, 96% is essentially everyone in the poll, and if the 96% are splitting 51/47, how does the overall polling result get down to a tie? Not possible mathematically.
I’m guessing that the statement has a misprint on the percentage sure to vote. It would make sense if it said 46% said they are certain to vote and Romney leads 51/47 in that group, or any other percentage between 40% and 60%, but the 96% number is clearly impossible.
Mitt Romney to Hold Rally at State Fair Park
Republican presidential candidate to campaign Monday in West Allis, while Obama coming to Green Bay on Tuesday.
By Mark Maley
Email the author
Upload Photos and Videos
Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney is coming to West Allis and will hold a rally at Wisconsin State Fair Park on Monday night.
Doors will open at 5 p.m. for the rally at the Wisconsin Products Pavilion, 640 S. 84th Street, with the event scheduled to begin at 7 p.m.
Free tickets for the rally are now available online.
Romney is coming to Wisconsin one day before President Barack Obama is scheduled to appear in Green Bay. No details are yet available on Obama’s visit Tuesday.
Vice President Joe Biden is making stops in Kenosha and Oshkosh on Friday, while Republican vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan also is expected to campaign in Milwauke next week.
I live in rural Wisconsin, but claim no particular insight as to the facts on the ground, so to speak. However, during the Walker recall, the unions were very organized, and unified as well. Just the fact that they got about a million petitioner’s signatures was proof of that. If you went for a drive during the petition gathering period, you’d often pass a spot where they were gathering petitions from people in passing cars.
Offsetting that, a lot of people felt Walker should be given a chance, so he got some votes from people that might well have voted against him initially, and might do so again in 2014. And when Walker was initially elected, he didn’t make it clear how quickly and aggressively he was going to take on the unions. If he had, I doubt he’d be Governor today.
However, after Nov 2010, the GOP had commanding control of both the Assembly and the Senate (which was unfortunately lost in the ensuing recalls) and Gov. Walker was elected at that time.
So, to assume Wisconsin is not at least a toss up would be foolish. In fact, it’s starting from an obvious GOP bias, and the Dems have work to do to get it back.
But will the unions be as united this time as they were in the recall? Personally, I doubt it, as the Walker recall was specifically about union power, whereas this one is about jobs, plus many other issues that are unrelated to union power. Many union members hunt, for example, and are aware of the Dem’s stance on guns. Many are pro-life, and disagree with the Dems on that issue as well. Plus, teachers haven’t lost jobs, as feared, and private unions are seeing employers threatened by Obama’s policies. And the teachers union itself has lost both funding and staffing under Walker’s law requiring the teacher to pay his own union dues directly, so they are unlikely to be at full force for the election, especially after blowing so much on two recall elections.
It appears, for these reasons, that unions won’t have the clout they had in the Walker recall, an election they lost in any case. In addition, Benghazi is gradually getting more and more press and a lot of rural Dem voters are going to be disgusted by the facts being revealed. There’s a lot of connection to the military in rural Wisconsin, even in traditional Dem areas.
Given recent history, I’m actually surprised Wisconsin is even considered a toss up. One would think Romney would have looked at it as a near certain pickup, even before he selected Paul Ryan for his VP. Still, one never knows....